Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 29 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 29 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 29 | 66 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 29 | 52 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 29 | 49 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 29 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 29 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 29 | 38 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 33 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 28 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 29 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 30 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 29 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 29 | 52 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 29 | 51 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 29 | 50 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 47 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 46 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | 45 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 29 | 41 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 39 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 29 | 38 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 29 | 33 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 33 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 33 |
| 28 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 31 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 29 | 31 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Real Salt Lake | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 4–3 | W |
| 14 Sep | San Diego FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 09 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | St. Louis City | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Orlando City SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #11 |
| 45 | Points | 33 |
| 29 | Played | 29 |
| 13 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 12 / 10 |
| 59 | Scored | 44 |
| 46 | Conceded | 55 |
| +13 | GD | -11 |
| 1.55 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 45% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
10%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (45 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
7/5
46-60
11/1
61-75
15/3
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/7
46-60
5/8
61-75
7/6
76+
12/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 18 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 11 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 7 G | 5 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 6 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sergio Santos | 6 |
| Mikael Uhre | 4 |
| Daniel Gazdag | 4 |
| Deandre Kerr | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 3 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Nathan Harriel | 2 |
| Julian Carranza | 2 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2026-10-15
Chicago Fire FC
1–3
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-10-10
Philadelphia Union
2–1
Real Salt Lake
W
2026-09-26
Philadelphia Union
4–2
Orlando City SC
W
2026-09-20
Sporting Kansas City
3–4
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-09-14
San Diego FC
0–5
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-09-09
Philadelphia Union
5–0
FC Cincinnati
W
Predictions
2.61
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.83
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
84%
Draw or Toronto FC
36%
Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC
81%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
4 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 19% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 20% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
30%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
8%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

