Sunday , 4 October 2026

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
New York Red Bulls
0 – 0
Upcoming
Toronto FC
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 27 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 St. Louis City 27 47
18 FC Dallas 27 47
19 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Seattle Sounders FC 27 38
23 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
24 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 27 21

Head-to-Head

11
5
1
New York Red Bulls 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals Toronto FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep St. Louis City H 0–3 L
18 Sep New York City FC A 1–0 W
12 Sep Columbus Crew SC A 1–0 W
10 Sep Los Angeles FC A 0–2 L
06 Sep Seattle Sounders FC A 0–0 D
29 Aug Philadelphia Union H 1–3 L
Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Nashville SC A 0–2 L
20 Sep St. Louis City A 1–3 L
12 Sep Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
09 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
05 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 4–4 D
29 Aug New York City FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls Toronto FC
#10 Position #13
33 Points 29
27 Played 27
9 / 6 / 12 W / D / L 6 / 11 / 10
34 Scored 39
51 Conceded 51
-17 GD -12
1.22 PPG 1.07
33% Win % 22%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/5
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 10 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Lewis Morgan 5
Emil Forsberg 3
Luquinhas 3
Tom Barlow 3
Brian White 2
Pozuelo 2
Elias Manoel 2
Kemar Lawrence 2

Head to Head

2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC

New York Red Bulls Form

2026-09-30 New York Red Bulls 0–3 St. Louis City L 2026-09-18 New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls W 2026-09-12 Columbus Crew SC 0–1 New York Red Bulls W 2026-09-10 Los Angeles FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls L 2026-09-06 Seattle Sounders FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2026-08-29 New York Red Bulls 1–3 Philadelphia Union L

Toronto FC Form

2026-09-27 Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC L 2026-09-20 St. Louis City 3–1 Toronto FC L 2026-09-12 Orlando City SC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2026-09-09 Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC W 2026-09-05 Toronto FC 4–4 Chicago Fire FC D 2026-08-29 Toronto FC 1–1 New York City FC D

Predictions

1.76 New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

New York Red Bulls48% Draw24% Toronto FC28%

Both Teams to Score

Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.27

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw
72%
Draw or Toronto FC
52%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
76%

Half-Time Result

New York Red Bulls32% Draw42% Toronto FC26%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap New York Red Bulls covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
23%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.