Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 29 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 29 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 29 | 66 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 29 | 52 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 29 | 49 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 29 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 29 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 29 | 38 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 33 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 28 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 29 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 30 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 29 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 29 | 52 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 29 | 51 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 29 | 50 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 47 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 46 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | 45 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 29 | 41 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 39 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 29 | 38 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 29 | 33 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 33 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 33 |
| 28 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 31 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 29 | 31 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | St. Louis City | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Orlando City SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #11 |
| 30 | Points | 33 |
| 29 | Played | 29 |
| 8 / 6 / 15 | W / D / L | 7 / 12 / 10 |
| 36 | Scored | 44 |
| 48 | Conceded | 55 |
| -12 | GD | -11 |
| 1.03 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 28% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
10%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (30 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
4/5
31-45
3/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
5/7
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/7
46-60
5/8
61-75
7/6
76+
12/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 6 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 2 |
| Lucas Janson | 2 |
| Jordan Perruzza | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2026-10-14
Montreal Impact FC
0–3
Atlanta United FC
W
2026-10-10
Atlanta United FC
1–3
FC Cincinnati
L
2026-09-26
Atlanta United FC
2–2
New York City FC
D
2026-09-20
Portland Timbers
0–1
Atlanta United FC
W
2026-09-12
D.C. United SC
0–0
Atlanta United FC
D
2026-09-09
Atlanta United FC
2–3
Orlando City SC
L
Predictions
1.7
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Toronto FC
54%
Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC
75%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.