San Diego FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
San Diego FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Snapdragon Stadium.
- San Diego FC 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 May | Austin FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 10 May | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Los Angeles FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Apr | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | San Diego FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 13 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 May | Charlotte FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–4 | D |
Season Stats
| San Diego FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #25 | Position | #9 |
| 32 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 8 / 8 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 47 | Scored | 55 |
| 47 | Conceded | 64 |
| +0 | GD | -9 |
| 1.19 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 30% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
San Diego FC this season
San Diego FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
San Diego FC are 25th (32 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
San Diego FC
0-15
6/8
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/9
46-60
5/3
61-75
7/7
76+
7/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
San Diego FC
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 12 G | 3 A |
| Anders Dreyer | 11 G | 9 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and San Diego FC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
- 5' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 11' Goal! Kenji Mboma scores his 4 goal in 255 matches.
- 16' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 21' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 24' Miles Robinson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 24.
- 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. San Diego FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 32' The Denmark Marcus Ingvartsen breaks the deadlock on 32 minutes. 1-1!
- 37' Onni Valakari has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 42' It looks like no one’s ball. San Diego FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 47' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Tom Barlow scoring 2 goals.
- 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tom Barlow makes it 1-2.
- 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for David Vazquez on 54 minutes.
- 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 64' David Vazquez, a USA , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 66' Against the run of play, Amahl Pellegrino has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 71' It looks surprising San Diego FC does not make any changes. Pavel Bucha has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 76' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 81' It is a cagey affair so far. San Diego FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact 3-5-2.
- 86' San Diego FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 88' Obinna Nwobodo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 88.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Tom Barlow.
- The points are shared — San Diego FC 3-3 FC Cincinnati. Honours even.
Lineups
San Diego FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 20
- 7
- 10
- 8
- 97
- 90
- 5
- 27
- 19
- 18
- 26
Bench
- 9
- 77
- 1
- 70
- 33
- 25
- 29
- 15
- 14
Coach
Mikey Varas
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 4
- 12
- 20
- 9
- 27
- 18
- 22
- 17
- 11
Bench
- 13
- 5
- 24
- 16
- 99
- 3
- 66
- 29
- 55
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Barlow | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Amahl Pellegrino | 1 |
| Kenji Mboma | 1 |
Head to Head
San Diego FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.96
San Diego FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.36
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 85%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 4.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
Double Chance
San Diego FC or Draw
68%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
53%
San Diego FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.5%
3 – 3
Actual
4 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
4.2%
1 – 1
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
4 – 3
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — San Diego FC
| Handicap | San Diego FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 14% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 14% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 9% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
San Diego FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.