FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Nashville SC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Kansas City | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #13 |
| 20 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 9 |
| 36 | Scored | 23 |
| 37 | Conceded | 44 |
| -1 | GD | -21 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 0.93 |
| 33% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Cincinnati have kicked off against Orlando City SC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' Orlando City SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 32' Eduard Atuesta picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 37' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 37.
- 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolas Rodriguez made 283 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Samuel Gidi argues furiously but the card stands.
- 50' The 29-year-old Adrian Gomez has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 54' Controversy at the stadium! Alex Freeman argues furiously but the card stands.
- 59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 64' It’s high time Óscar Pareja made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 66' Evander catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 66.
- 66' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Alvas Powell comes on to replace Nick Hagglund.
- 67' Kyle Smith is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
- 69' Joran Gerbet is replacing Kyle Smith for the Orlando City SC side.
- 70' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tyrese Spicer is hanging Ivan Angulo on the field on 70 minute.
- 73' The Togo Kevin Denkey breaks the deadlock on 73 minutes. 1-0!
- 75' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Kevin Denkey will be fuming at that decision.
- 79' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adrian Marin is hanging David Brekalo on the field on 79 minute.
- 80' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Pavel Bucha is replaced by Brian Anunga.
- 83' Orlando City SC make a change. Marco Pasalic trudges off to be replaced by Nicolas Rodriguez on 83 minutes.
- 86' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 88' Yuya Kubo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Samuel Gidi at the 88 minute mark.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 8
- 13
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Alvas Powell 66'
- 12
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Brian Anunga 80'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 80'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Dominik Marczuk 80'
- 29
- 66
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Yuya Kubo 88'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 88'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 66'
- 85
- 1
- 16
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 80'
- 22
-
26
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 80'
-
15
Dominik Marczuk ↑ 80'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Joran Gerbet 69'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Tyrese Spicer 70'
- 30
-
4
David Brekalo ↓ Adrian Gomez 79'
- 87
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↓ Luis Muriel 79'
Bench
-
21
Adrian Gomez ↑ 79'
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 79'
- 68
- 12
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 70'
- 25
-
11
Nicolas Rodriguez ↑ 83'
-
35
Joran Gerbet ↑ 69'
- 65
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Kenji Mboma | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
3.12
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
78%
Draw or Orlando City SC
41%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
5.3%
1 – 1
Actual
4 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.3%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
3.7%
5 – 1
3.4%
4 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 18% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 18% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

