Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 23:00 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Orlando City SC H 1–1 D
21 Sep Los Angeles Galaxy A 3–2 W
13 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
30 Aug Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
23 Aug New York City FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Portland Timbers A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep FC Cincinnati A 1–1 D
20 Sep Nashville SC H 3–2 W
13 Sep D.C. United SC A 1–1 D
24 Aug Nashville SC A 1–5 L
17 Aug Sporting Kansas City H 3–1 W
11 Aug Internacional CF Miami H 4–1 W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Orlando City SC
#6 Position #11
26 Points 20
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 2 / 10
45 Scored 30
44 Conceded 47
+1 GD -17
1.44 PPG 1.11
39% Win % 33%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
16% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G
Orlando City SC
Martin Ojeda 11 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at TQL Stadium!
  • 5' Pavel Bucha has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Orlando City SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' It’s high time Óscar Pareja made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Óscar Pareja might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 32' It’s gonna be a card for Eduard Atuesta.
  • 37' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 42' Nick Hagglund needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 16 Yellow cards this season.
  • 45' Samuel Gidi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 50' Orlando City SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 54' Alex Freeman picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 64' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Evander is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 66.
  • 66' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Nick Hagglund has done his job and it is now time for Alvas Powell to step up.
  • 67' Kyle Smith catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Joran Gerbet. He replaces Kyle Smith on 69 minute.
  • 70' Tyrese Spicer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ivan Angulo at the 70 minute mark.
  • 73' Kevin Denkey is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
  • 75' It’s gonna be a card for Kevin Denkey.
  • 79' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — David Brekalo exits the field as Adrian Marin enters on 79.
  • 80' Brian Anunga is replacing Pavel Bucha for the FC Cincinnati side.
  • 83' Nicolas Rodriguez gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Marco Pasalic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 88' A tactical swap from FC CincinnatiYuya Kubo on, Samuel Gidi off on 88 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
3 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati56% Draw20% Orlando City SC24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 51%
49%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
76%
Draw or Orlando City SC
44%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati48% Draw33% Orlando City SC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
Actual
4 – 1
4.9%
4 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
3 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Orlando City SC covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 17% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 18% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 11% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.