FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Nashville SC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Kansas City | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #11 |
| 26 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 10 |
| 45 | Scored | 30 |
| 44 | Conceded | 47 |
| +1 | GD | -17 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at TQL Stadium!
- 5' Pavel Bucha has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Orlando City SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' It’s high time Óscar Pareja made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Óscar Pareja might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 32' It’s gonna be a card for Eduard Atuesta.
- 37' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 42' Nick Hagglund needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 16 Yellow cards this season.
- 45' Samuel Gidi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 50' Orlando City SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 54' Alex Freeman picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 64' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 66' The referee has no hesitation. Evander is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 66.
- 66' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Nick Hagglund has done his job and it is now time for Alvas Powell to step up.
- 67' Kyle Smith catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Joran Gerbet. He replaces Kyle Smith on 69 minute.
- 70' Tyrese Spicer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ivan Angulo at the 70 minute mark.
- 73' Kevin Denkey is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
- 75' It’s gonna be a card for Kevin Denkey.
- 79' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — David Brekalo exits the field as Adrian Marin enters on 79.
- 80' Brian Anunga is replacing Pavel Bucha for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 83' Nicolas Rodriguez gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Marco Pasalic and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 88' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Yuya Kubo on, Samuel Gidi off on 88 minutes.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 8
- 13
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Alvas Powell 66'
- 12
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Brian Anunga 80'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 80'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Dominik Marczuk 80'
- 29
- 66
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Yuya Kubo 88'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 88'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 66'
- 85
- 1
- 16
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 80'
- 22
-
26
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 80'
-
15
Dominik Marczuk ↑ 80'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Joran Gerbet 69'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Tyrese Spicer 70'
- 30
-
4
David Brekalo ↓ Adrian Gomez 79'
- 87
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↓ Luis Muriel 79'
Bench
-
21
Adrian Gomez ↑ 79'
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 79'
- 68
- 12
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 70'
- 25
-
11
Nicolas Rodriguez ↑ 83'
-
35
Joran Gerbet ↑ 69'
- 65
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Kenji Mboma | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
3
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
76%
Draw or Orlando City SC
44%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
Actual
4 – 1
4.9%
4 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
3 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 17% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 18% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

