FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Nashville SC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Kansas City | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 7 / 14 |
| 67 | Scored | 63 |
| 75 | Conceded | 78 |
| -8 | GD | -15 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 35% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/10
31-45
5/8
46-60
10/10
61-75
7/5
76+
13/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 16 G | 4 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 14 G | 6 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC is underway.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Orlando City SC's compact .
- 10' Robin Jansson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Orlando City SC tonight.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 32' Eduard Atuesta has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
- 37' Controversy at the stadium! David Brekalo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 42' Orlando City SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' Samuel Gidi is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 50' David Brekalo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 54' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 54.
- 59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 64' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 66' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 66.
- 66' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Nick Hagglund has done his job and it is now time for Alvas Powell to step up.
- 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kyle Smith.
- 69' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Kyle Smith is replaced by Joran Gerbet on 69 minute.
- 70' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Ivan Angulo is replaced by Tyrese Spicer on 70 minute.
- 73' GOAL! Kevin Denkey scores on 73. Assisted by Evander
- 75' A moment of madness from Kevin Denkey on 75 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 79' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adrian Marin is hanging David Brekalo on the field on 79 minute.
- 80' Pavel Bucha makes way for Brian Anunga at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 83' Nicolas Rodriguez gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Marco Pasalic and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Rodrigo Schlegel catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 86.
- 88' Yuya Kubo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Samuel Gidi at the 88 minute mark.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 8
- 13
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Alvas Powell 66'
- 12
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Brian Anunga 80'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 80'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Dominik Marczuk 80'
- 29
- 66
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Yuya Kubo 88'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 88'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 66'
- 85
- 1
- 16
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 80'
- 22
-
26
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 80'
-
15
Dominik Marczuk ↑ 80'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Joran Gerbet 69'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Tyrese Spicer 70'
- 30
-
4
David Brekalo ↓ Adrian Gomez 79'
- 87
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↓ Luis Muriel 79'
Bench
-
21
Adrian Gomez ↑ 79'
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 79'
- 68
- 12
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 70'
- 25
-
11
Nicolas Rodriguez ↑ 83'
-
35
Joran Gerbet ↑ 69'
- 65
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Kenji Mboma | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.27
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
70%
Draw or Orlando City SC
53%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 19% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

