FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 27 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Nashville SC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Kansas City | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #7 |
| 33 | Points | 34 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 4 / 13 |
| 55 | Scored | 48 |
| 64 | Conceded | 64 |
| -9 | GD | -16 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.26 |
| 31% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
19%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/3
16-30
8/8
31-45
1/7
46-60
8/6
61-75
7/4
76+
9/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 13 G | 1 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 8 G | 4 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at TQL Stadium as FC Cincinnati face off against Orlando City SC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The 34-year-old Robin Jansson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Kyle Smith is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Orlando City SC so far.
- 15' Duncan McGuire, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' USA international Nick Hagglund has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Orlando City SC is showing some good football. However, Orlando City SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Orlando City SC's compact .
- 32' It’s gonna be a card for Eduard Atuesta.
- 37' The referee has no hesitation. David Brekalo is booked for Orlando City SC — card on 37.
- 42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Samuel Gidi.
- 50' Orlando City SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alex Freeman.
- 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 64' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 66' The referee has no hesitation. Evander is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 66.
- 66' The crowd applauds Nick Hagglund as he leaves the pitch. Alvas Powell steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 67' Kyle Smith catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
- 69' Joran Gerbet is replacing Kyle Smith for the Orlando City SC side.
- 70' Tyrese Spicer is replacing Ivan Angulo for the Orlando City SC side.
- 73' A stunning finish from Kevin Denkey — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Denkey on 75.
- 79' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. David Brekalo is replaced by Adrian Marin on 79 minute.
- 80' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 80 minute. Pavel Bucha leaves to be changed by Brian Anunga.
- 83' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolas Rodriguez is hanging Marco Pasalic on the field on 83 minute.
- 86' That is a card for Orlando City SC. Rodrigo Schlegel will be fuming at that decision.
- 88' FC Cincinnati make a change. Samuel Gidi trudges off to be replaced by Yuya Kubo on 88 minutes.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 8
- 13
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Alvas Powell 66'
- 12
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Brian Anunga 80'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 80'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Dominik Marczuk 80'
- 29
- 66
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Yuya Kubo 88'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 88'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 66'
- 85
- 1
- 16
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 80'
- 22
-
26
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 80'
-
15
Dominik Marczuk ↑ 80'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Joran Gerbet 69'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Tyrese Spicer 70'
- 30
-
4
David Brekalo ↓ Adrian Gomez 79'
- 87
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↓ Luis Muriel 79'
Bench
-
21
Adrian Gomez ↑ 79'
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 79'
- 68
- 12
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 70'
- 25
-
11
Nicolas Rodriguez ↑ 83'
-
35
Joran Gerbet ↑ 69'
- 65
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Kenji Mboma | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Ramiro Enrique | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.46
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
71%
Draw or Orlando City SC
52%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 19% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.