FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 27 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Oct | New York City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | Minnesota United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | FC Dallas | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #7 |
| 33 | Points | 34 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 4 / 13 |
| 55 | Scored | 48 |
| 64 | Conceded | 64 |
| -9 | GD | -16 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.26 |
| 31% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
19%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/3
16-30
8/8
31-45
1/7
46-60
8/6
61-75
7/4
76+
9/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 13 G | 1 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 8 G | 4 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FC Cincinnati welcome Orlando City SC for this crunch clash at TQL Stadium.
- 5' Luciano Acosta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Ramiro Enrique has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 10 minutes.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 17' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 17.
- 22' The travelling Orlando City SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' Poor challenge from Kevin Kelsy. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' What an equalizer from Luciano Acosta!
- 46' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Kevin Kelsy has done his job and it is now time for Yuya Kubo to step up.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pavel Bucha made 166 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 55' Ian Murphy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Teenage Hadebe on 55 minute.
- 60' The 22-year-old Kevin Kelsy has been sensational this season — 8 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 65' Yamil Asad needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 66' Ivan Angulo makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Orlando City SC are in front.
- 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 72' Ramiro Enrique makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Orlando City SC are in front.
- 74' Nicholas Gioacchini makes way for Corey Baird at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 79' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Orlando City SC's shape.
- 81' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 81 minute. Pavel Bucha leaves to be changed by Gerardo Valenzuela.
- 86' Roman Celentano, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 88' Another change for Orlando City SC made on 88 minute. Ramiro Enrique leaves to be changed by Jack Lynn.
- 90' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 90.
- FC Cincinnati will have plenty to reflect on. Orlando City SC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Luca Orellano 55'
- 10
- 27
- 12
- 20
- 5
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Ian Murphy 55'
- 9
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Yuya Kubo 46'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 46'
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 74'
- 36
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 55'
- 15
-
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 55'
- 14
- 26
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 81'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luis Muriel ↓ Nicolas Lodeiro 74'
- 15
- 1
- 16
- 3
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Michael Halliday 81'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Felipe Martins 81'
- 10
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↓ Jack Lynn 88'
- 5
Bench
-
11
Martin Ojeda ↑ 88'
-
14
Nicolas Lodeiro ↑ 74'
-
8
Felipe Martins ↑ 81'
-
26
Michael Halliday ↑ 81'
- 20
-
27
Jack Lynn ↑ 88'
- 50
- 34
- 18
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Ramiro Enrique | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.33
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
61%
Draw or Orlando City SC
62%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.1%
2 – 4
2.9%
2 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 17% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 16% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 11% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

