FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Oct | New York City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | Minnesota United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | FC Dallas | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 7 / 14 |
| 67 | Scored | 63 |
| 75 | Conceded | 78 |
| -8 | GD | -15 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 35% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/10
31-45
5/8
46-60
10/10
61-75
7/5
76+
13/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 16 G | 4 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 14 G | 6 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FC Cincinnati welcome Orlando City SC for this crunch clash at TQL Stadium.
- 5' Luis Muriel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' GOAL! Ramiro Enrique fires home to make it 0-1!
- 15' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 17' Poor challenge from Wilder Cartagena. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 22' Orlando City SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Martin Ojeda scoring 2 goals.
- 27' It looks like no one’s ball. Orlando City SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 32' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 35' Kevin Kelsy catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 35.
- 40' Robin Jansson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 45' Against the run of play, Luciano Acosta has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 46' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Kevin Kelsy is replaced by Yuya Kubo on 46 minute.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 55' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Teenage Hadebe departs to be replaced by Ian Murphy.
- 60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 65' Miles Robinson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 302 appearances.
- 66' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ivan Angulo makes it 1-2.
- 71' With 0 assists to his name this season, Wilder Cartagena is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Orlando City SC.
- 72' Ramiro Enrique makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Orlando City SC are in front.
- 74' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Nicholas Gioacchini exits the field as Corey Baird enters on 74.
- 79' FC Cincinnati have won 381 goals from 263 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 81' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Pavel Bucha is withdrawn and Gerardo Valenzuela gets his opportunity.
- 86' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Orlando City SC's shape.
- 88' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Ramiro Enrique is replaced by Jack Lynn on 88 minute.
- 90' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Cincinnati 1-3 Orlando City SC.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Luca Orellano 55'
- 10
- 27
- 12
- 20
- 5
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Ian Murphy 55'
- 9
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Yuya Kubo 46'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 46'
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 74'
- 36
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 55'
- 15
-
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 55'
- 14
- 26
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 81'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luis Muriel ↓ Nicolas Lodeiro 74'
- 15
- 1
- 16
- 3
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Michael Halliday 81'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Felipe Martins 81'
- 10
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↓ Jack Lynn 88'
- 5
Bench
-
11
Martin Ojeda ↑ 88'
-
14
Nicolas Lodeiro ↑ 74'
-
8
Felipe Martins ↑ 81'
-
26
Michael Halliday ↑ 81'
- 20
-
27
Jack Lynn ↑ 88'
- 50
- 34
- 18
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Kenji Mboma | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.14
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.17
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.31
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
60%
Draw or Orlando City SC
63%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 4
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 17% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 17% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.