Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Inter&Co Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 28 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 28 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 48 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 46 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 32 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 27 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 28 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 28 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28 | 51 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 28 | 50 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 28 | 47 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 46 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 45 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 42 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 41 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids SC | 28 | 37 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 36 |
| 25 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 33 |
| 26 | San Diego FC | 28 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 28 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | 30 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jun | St. Louis City | A | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 May | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #8 |
| 37 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 11 / 4 / 13 | W / D / L | 9 / 9 / 9 |
| 51 | Scored | 58 |
| 66 | Conceded | 65 |
| -15 | GD | -7 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Orlando City SC are 7th (37 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
3/4
16-30
9/8
31-45
1/7
46-60
8/7
61-75
7/4
76+
10/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/11
61-75
4/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 13 G | 2 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 9 G | 5 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 16 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 8 G | 3 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Orlando City SC have kicked off against FC Cincinnati. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Orlando City SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Martin Ojeda scoring 2 goals.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Orlando City SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Corey Baird suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gilberto Flores on 43 minutes.
- 45' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Orlando City SC make a change. Ivan Angulo trudges off to be replaced by Luis Muriel on 46 minutes.
- 49' Magnificent from Evander! That is 58 goals in 297 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 54' It’s a booking for Orlando City SC player. Ramiro Enrique gets a card.
- 59' Orlando City SC is showing some good football. However, Orlando City SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 60' Kei Kamara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gerardo Valenzuela on 60 minute.
- 65' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Orlando City SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 70' The crowd applauds Rodrigo Schlegel as he leaves the pitch. Rafael Santos steps in for Orlando City SC.
- 74' The Brazil Evander breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 0-2!
- 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 80' FC Cincinnati make a change. Lukas Engel trudges off to be replaced by Brad Smith on 80 minutes.
- 83' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Evander is replaced by Corey Baird on 83 minute.
- 87' What a strike from Marco Pasalic! The score is 1-2.
- 90' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Nicolas Rodriguez is replacing Martin Ojeda for the Orlando City SC side.
- FC Cincinnati celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 6
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Luis Muriel 46'
- 7
- 5
- 4
- 87
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↓ Kyle Smith 80'
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 46'
-
3
Rafael Santos ↑ 70'
- 68
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 80'
- 12
- 25
-
11
Nicolas Rodriguez ↑ 90'
- 65
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Corey Baird 83'
- 91
- 21
- 20
- 9
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Alvas Powell 83'
- 27
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Brad Smith 80'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Kei Kamara 60'
- 3
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 83'
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 83'
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 80'
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 60'
- 37
- 19
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Ramiro Enrique | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.11
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
60%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
63%
Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 4
3%
2 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 17% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

