Thursday , 2 July 2026

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 28 Jun 2025 · 23:30 UTC Inter&Co Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun FC Cincinnati H 1–2 L
26 Jun St. Louis City A 4–2 W
15 Jun Colorado Rapids SC A 1–0 W
31 May Chicago Fire FC H 1–3 L
28 May Atlanta United FC A 2–3 L
24 May Portland Timbers H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Orlando City SC A 2–1 W
25 Jun Montreal Impact FC A 3–1 W
14 Jun New England Revolution A 1–0 W
31 May D.C. United SC H 1–2 L
28 May FC Dallas H 3–3 D
25 May Atlanta United FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Orlando City SC FC Cincinnati
#13 Position #7
14 Points 20
15 Played 15
4 / 2 / 9 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 5
23 Scored 36
44 Conceded 37
-21 GD -1
0.93 PPG 1.33
27% Win % 33%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Orlando City SC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
  • 5' Corey Baird has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Orlando City SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Martin Ojeda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Orlando City SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Denmark international Lukas Engel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 43' The referee has no hesitation. Gilberto Flores is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 43.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marco Pasalic on 45.
  • 46' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Ivan Angulo is withdrawn and Luis Muriel gets his opportunity.
  • 49' Goal! Evander scores his 55 goal in 287 matches.
  • 54' That is a card for Orlando City SC. Ramiro Enrique will be fuming at that decision.
  • 59' Alvas Powell has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 60' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Gerardo Valenzuela departs to be replaced by Kei Kamara.
  • 65' Over 65 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 70' Rodrigo Schlegel makes way for Rafael Santos at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Orlando City SC.
  • 74' Evander with the second goal in the match!
  • 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Brad Smith. He replaces Lukas Engel on 80 minute.
  • 83' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Evander is withdrawn and Corey Baird gets his opportunity.
  • 87' What a strike from Marco Pasalic! The score is 1-2.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Corey Baird.
  • 90' Nicolas Rodriguez gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Martin Ojeda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Another three points for FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.87 Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.83 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Orlando City SC28% Draw22% FC Cincinnati50%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

Orlando City SC or Draw
50%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
72%
Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Orlando City SC22% Draw34% FC Cincinnati44%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.7%
1 – 1
5.5%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 4
4.4%
2 – 4
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC

Handicap Orlando City SC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 7% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 12% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 18% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 16% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
7%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.