Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Inter&Co Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jun | St. Louis City | A | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 May | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #7 |
| 14 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 2 / 9 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 23 | Scored | 36 |
| 44 | Conceded | 37 |
| -21 | GD | -1 |
| 0.93 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 27% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Orlando City SC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Corey Baird has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Orlando City SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Martin Ojeda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Orlando City SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' Denmark international Lukas Engel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 43' The referee has no hesitation. Gilberto Flores is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 43.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marco Pasalic on 45.
- 46' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Ivan Angulo is withdrawn and Luis Muriel gets his opportunity.
- 49' Goal! Evander scores his 55 goal in 287 matches.
- 54' That is a card for Orlando City SC. Ramiro Enrique will be fuming at that decision.
- 59' Alvas Powell has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 60' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Gerardo Valenzuela departs to be replaced by Kei Kamara.
- 65' Over 65 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 70' Rodrigo Schlegel makes way for Rafael Santos at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Orlando City SC.
- 74' Evander with the second goal in the match!
- 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Brad Smith. He replaces Lukas Engel on 80 minute.
- 83' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Evander is withdrawn and Corey Baird gets his opportunity.
- 87' What a strike from Marco Pasalic! The score is 1-2.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Corey Baird.
- 90' Nicolas Rodriguez gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Martin Ojeda and will look to change the dynamic.
- Another three points for FC Cincinnati.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 6
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Luis Muriel 46'
- 7
- 5
- 4
- 87
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↓ Kyle Smith 80'
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 46'
-
3
Rafael Santos ↑ 70'
- 68
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 80'
- 12
- 25
-
11
Nicolas Rodriguez ↑ 90'
- 65
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Corey Baird 83'
- 91
- 21
- 20
- 9
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Alvas Powell 83'
- 27
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Brad Smith 80'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Kei Kamara 60'
- 3
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 83'
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 83'
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 80'
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 60'
- 37
- 19
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Kenji Mboma | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Ramiro Enrique | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.87
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.83
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
50%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
72%
Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.7%
1 – 1
5.5%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 4
4.4%
2 – 4
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 7% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 12% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 18% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +2 | 62% | 16% | 22% |
| +2.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

