Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Inter&Co Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jun | St. Louis City | A | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 May | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #8 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 63 | Scored | 67 |
| 78 | Conceded | 75 |
| -15 | GD | -8 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 38% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/10
31-45
5/8
46-60
10/10
61-75
7/5
76+
13/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 16 G | 4 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 14 G | 6 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Orlando City SC to score. At the same time, FC Cincinnati does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Orlando City SC in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 10' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Orlando City SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' Orlando City SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Martin Ojeda scoring 2 goals.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' Orlando City SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Pavel Bucha needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' That looks like a foul for a card for Gilberto Flores.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Marco Pasalic argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' The whistle greets Ivan Angulo as he departs to be replaced by Luis Muriel.
- 49' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Evander on 45.
- 54' Controversy at the stadium! Ramiro Enrique argues furiously but the card stands.
- 59' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 60' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kei Kamara is hanging Gerardo Valenzuela on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 70' Another change for Orlando City SC made on 70 minute. Rodrigo Schlegel leaves to be changed by Rafael Santos.
- 74' The deadlock is broken! Evander gets on the scoresheet on 74 minutes.
- 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 80' Brad Smith is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lukas Engel at the 80 minute mark.
- 83' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Corey Baird comes on to replace Evander.
- 87' What a strike from Marco Pasalic! The score is 1-2.
- 90' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' Fresh legs for Orlando City SC! Nicolas Rodriguez comes on to replace Martin Ojeda.
- Another three points for FC Cincinnati.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 6
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Luis Muriel 46'
- 7
- 5
- 4
- 87
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↓ Kyle Smith 80'
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 46'
-
3
Rafael Santos ↑ 70'
- 68
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 80'
- 12
- 25
-
11
Nicolas Rodriguez ↑ 90'
- 65
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Corey Baird 83'
- 91
- 21
- 20
- 9
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Alvas Powell 83'
- 27
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Brad Smith 80'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Kei Kamara 60'
- 3
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 83'
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 83'
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 80'
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 60'
- 37
- 19
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Ramiro Enrique | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
63%
Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.9%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.4%
3 – 3
3.3%
0 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 17% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

