Friday , 2 October 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Le Havre AC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 19:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Le Havre AC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Bastien Dechepy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Le Havre AC H 6–2 W
04 Oct FC Metz A 3–0 W
30 Sep AFC Ajax H 4–0 W
26 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–1 W
22 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W
16 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 2–6 L
05 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–2 D
28 Sep FC Metz A 0–0 D
21 Sep FC Lorient H 1–1 D
14 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–1 L
31 Aug OGC Nice H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Le Havre AC
#17 Position #18
3 Points 2
5 Played 5
1 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 3
7 Scored 4
8 Conceded 7
-1 GD -3
0.60 PPG 0.40
20% Win % 0%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
20% Clean Sheets
Le Havre AC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts). Le Havre AC are 18th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Le Havre AC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G
Le Havre AC
Mbwana Samatta 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Le Havre AC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.68 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Le Havre AC xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille72% Draw17% Le Havre AC11%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
89%
Draw or Le Havre AC
28%
Olympique de Marseille or Le Havre AC
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille54% Draw35% Le Havre AC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted
6 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.2%
4 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.6%
5 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Le Havre AC covers
-2.5 32% — 68%
-2 32% 21% 47%
-1.5 53% — 47%
-1 53% 20% 27%
-0.5 73% — 27%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Le Havre AC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.