Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Fairgrounds Stadium.
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 14 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 15 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 16 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 17 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 18 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 19 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 20 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 21 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 22 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 23 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 24 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 25 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 26 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 27 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 28 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 29 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
| 30 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
| 01 Aug | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jul | Orlando City SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #12 |
| 40 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 12 / 4 / 2 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 35 | Scored | 45 |
| 14 | Conceded | 44 |
| +21 | GD | +1 |
| 2.22 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 67% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
19%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts). FC Cincinnati are 12th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/2
61-75
5/4
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 12 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 9 G | 5 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 12 G | 7 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 11 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 6 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Randall Leal | 4 |
| Charles Sapong | 4 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Sam Surridge | 3 |
| Brenner | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
2.67
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.97
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
80%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
41%
Nashville SC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 19% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 20% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
28%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

