FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at K's denki Stadium Mito.
- FC Mito Holly Hock 18 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ming Fu
- Assistant 1 Yusuke Shiotsu
- Assistant 2 Bumpei Ueda
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 5–4 | W |
| 24 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FC Mito Holly Hock | A | 4–5 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Mito Holly Hock | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #13 |
| 18 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 0 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 35 | Scored | 42 |
| 50 | Conceded | 33 |
| -15 | GD | +9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 33% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Mito Holly Hock are 19th (18 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Mito Holly Hock
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Mito Holly Hock kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It looks surprising FC Mito Holly Hock does not make any changes. Sang-ho Na has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' The 30-year-old Arata Watanabe has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 17' FC Machida Zelvia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Hokuto Shimoda on 17.
- 22' Kenta Itakura has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 27' FC Machida Zelvia have won 116 goals from 94 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 32' The travelling FC Machida Zelvia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 37' The energy levels are beginning to show. Go Kuroda might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 42' Koshi Osaki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Mito Holly Hock so far.
- 47' FC Mito Holly Hock currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ibrahim Dresevic makes it 0-2.
- 53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 63' The FC Mito Holly Hock manager makes a substitution. Yuto Yamashita departs to be replaced by Taishi Semba.
- 67' Hiroki Mochizuki is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 68' FC Mito Holly Hock manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Koki Ando is hanging Matheus Leiria Dos Santos on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' Kanji Kuwayama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 76' Keiya Sento makes way for Kanji Kuwayama at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
- 77' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Shota Fujio has done his job and it is now time for Tete Yengi to step up.
- 79' Another substitution for FC Mito Holly Hock to replace Asahi Masuyama by Shota Yamashita on 79 minute.
- 84' FC Mito Holly Hock looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Koki Ando scoring 1 goals.
- 87' Gen Shoji has so much to prove this time. He replaces Futa Tokumura on 87 minute.
- 88' Kanji Kuwayama is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- 90' GOAL! Koki Ando fires home to make it 1-3!
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Machida Zelvia.
Lineups
FC Mito Holly Hock Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
- 21
-
9
Ryo Nemoto ↓ Keisuke Tada 68'
- 10
- 17
- 4
- 7
- 3
- 25
-
48
Yuto Yamashita ↓ Taishi Semba 63'
- 70
Bench
- 51
-
19
Taishi Semba ↑ 63'
-
33
Koki Ando ↑ 68'
- 89
- 44
- 53
- 24
-
29
Keisuke Tada ↑ 68'
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 11
- 23
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 76'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Tete Yengi 77'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Kotaro Hayashi 76'
- 24
-
34
Futa Tokumura ↓ Gen Shoji 87'
- 6
Bench
- 27
-
3
Gen Shoji ↑ 87'
- 13
- 88
- 16
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 76'
-
99
Tete Yengi ↑ 77'
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 76'
- 60
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Koki Ando | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Mito Holly Hock Form
2026-04-29
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–4
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2026-04-24
FC Tokyo
5–2
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
2026-04-19
FC Mito Holly Hock
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2026-04-11
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–1
FC Mito Holly Hock
W
2026-04-04
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–3
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-03-22
Kashiwa Reysol
3–0
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
FC Mito Holly Hock xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.78
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 86%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Mito Holly Hock win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 3.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 4.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
Double Chance
FC Mito Holly Hock or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
56%
FC Mito Holly Hock or FC Machida Zelvia
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–4 not predicted5 – 4Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 3
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 1
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
4 – 2
3.4%
3 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Mito Holly Hock
| Handicap | FC Mito Holly Hock covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 11% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 15% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 16% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 12% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
FC Mito Holly Hock keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.