Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daichi Shiino (Japan)
- Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 2–3 | L |
| 04 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Mar | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 46 |
| +2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are looking to make home advantage count against Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Ataru Esaka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Fagiano Okayama FC come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Takashi Kiyama will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Towa Yamane, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 46' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hidemasa Koda is hanging Ryuji Izumi on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 59' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 59 minute. Takaya Kimura leaves to be changed by Jun Nishikawa.
- 64' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 65' Nagoya Grampus is taking the lead after the goal scored by Hidemasa Koda on 65.
- 67' Leonardo Gaucho gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Masaya Matsumoto and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Tsukasa Morishima is replaced by Kennedy Egbus Mikuni.
- 75' Nagoya Grampus currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 80' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Ataru Esaka trudges off to be replaced by Kota Kawano on 80 minutes.
- 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Ataru Esaka.
- 85' The referee has no hesitation. Kosei Ogura is booked for Fagiano Okayama FC — card on 85.
- 89' What an equalizer from Daichi Tagami!
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 14
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Hidemasa Koda 46'
- 70
- 31
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Masahito Ono 80'
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Shungo Sugiura 59'
- 22
Bench
- 18
- 2
-
19
Hidemasa Koda ↑ 46'
- 33
- 55
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 70'
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 80'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 59'
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 43
- 18
- 51
- 48
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kota Kawano 80'
- 28
- 98
- 5
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Jun Nishikawa 59'
-
45
Noah Browne ↓ Towa Yamane 46'
Bench
- 7
-
66
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 59'
-
88
Towa Yamane ↑ 46'
- 6
- 26
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
-
9
Leonardo Gaucho ↑ 67'
- 52
-
40
Kota Kawano ↑ 80'
Coach
Takashi Kiyama
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hidemasa Koda | 1 |
| Daichi Tagami | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2026-04-29
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2026-04-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2026-04-19
Gamba Osaka
6–5
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-11
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
2026-03-21
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.95
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
47%
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
4.1%
4 – 3
3%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 15% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 18% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 13% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.