FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | San Diego FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #1 |
| 46 | Points | 77 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 23 / 8 / 3 |
| 67 | Scored | 71 |
| 75 | Conceded | 25 |
| -8 | GD | +46 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 35% | Win % | 68% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Nashville SC gets underway.
- 5' Tyler Boyd has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Evan Louro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 17' Ahmed Qasem has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan Perez on 17 minute.
- 22' Nashville SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 32' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 37' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' Kevin Denkey is replacing Ayoub Jabbari for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 48' Pavel Bucha catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 48.
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Evander suffering a number of foals already.
- 63' Jack Maher is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 69' The Nashville SC bench stirs into life. Josh Bauer is withdrawn and Andy Najar gets his opportunity.
- 73' Brilliant from the ! Brenner makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 73.
- 75' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 79' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Dominik Marczuk has done his job and it is now time for Alvas Powell to step up.
- 80' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Matt Miazga has done his job and it is now time for Teenage Hadebe to step up.
- 83' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Brian Anunga is withdrawn and Samuel Gidi gets his opportunity.
- 84' The England Sam Surridge breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 1-1!
- 89' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 90' Ahmed Qasem makes way for Teal Bunbury at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nashville SC.
- It finishes all square. FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 8
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Teenage Hadebe 80'
- 13
- 12
- 20
- 23
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Samuel Gidi 83'
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Ender Echenique 90'
-
26
Ayoub Jabbari ↓ Kevin Denkey 46'
-
15
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Alvas Powell 79'
Bench
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 79'
- 4
- 85
- 1
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↑ 46'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 80'
- 22
-
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 90'
-
–
Samuel Gidi ↑ 83'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 7
- 1
- 25
- 2
- 10
-
14
Jacob Shaffelburg ↓ Tyler Boyd 69'
-
20
Edvard Tagseth ↓ Patrick Yazbek 69'
- 5
-
24
Jonathan Perez ↓ Ahmed Qasem 17'
-
22
Josh Bauer ↓ Andy Najar 69'
Bench
- 12
-
11
Tyler Boyd ↑ 69'
-
31
Andy Najar ↑ 69'
- 3
- 99
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↑ 69'
- 33
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↑ 17'
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 6 |
| Randall Leal | 4 |
| Charles Sapong | 4 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Walker Zimmerman | 2 |
| Brenner | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC 77% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
58%
Draw or Nashville SC
65%
FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 21% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

