Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Pavel Bucha 48' Y
Brenner 75' Y

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
30 Aug Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
23 Aug New York City FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Portland Timbers A 3–2 W
10 Aug Charlotte FC H 0–1 L
26 Jul Internacional CF Miami A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep FC Cincinnati A 1–2 L
31 Aug Atlanta United FC H 0–1 L
24 Aug Orlando City SC H 5–1 W
17 Aug New York City FC A 1–2 L
10 Aug St. Louis City A 1–3 L
26 Jul San Diego FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Nashville SC
#6 Position #1
26 Points 40
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 4 / 2
45 Scored 35
44 Conceded 14
+1 GD +21
1.44 PPG 2.22
39% Win % 67%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
42% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G
Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 10 G
Hany Mukhtar 6 G 4 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at TQL Stadium as FC Cincinnati face off against Nashville SC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nashville SC that had 215 games and scored 309 goals.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 17' The crowd applauds Jonathan Perez as he leaves the pitch. Ahmed Qasem steps in for Nashville SC.
  • 22' Pavel Bucha has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
  • 27' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
  • 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Miles Robinson made 287 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Ayoub Jabbari is replaced by Kevin Denkey.
  • 48' The referee calls foul for Pavel Bucha. He receives a card.
  • 53' The 28-year-old Evander has been sensational this season — 9 goals and 6 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 58' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 63' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 68' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 69' Time for substitution for Nashville SC. Josh Bauer is replaced by Andy Najar.
  • 73' A stunning finish from Brenner — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 75' Brenner was booked on 75.
  • 79' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Dominik Marczuk exits the field as Alvas Powell enters on 79.
  • 80' Teenage Hadebe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matt Miazga at the 80 minute mark.
  • 83' The whistle greets Brian Anunga as he departs to be replaced by Samuel Gidi.
  • 84' Goal! Sam Surridge scores his 63 goal in 14 matches.
  • 89' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Nashville SCTeal Bunbury on, Ahmed Qasem off on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Nashville SC xG
I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC 77% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati37% Draw23% Nashville SC40%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
60%
Draw or Nashville SC
63%
FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati23% Draw41% Nashville SC36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
4%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Nashville SC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.