FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | San Diego FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #1 |
| 26 | Points | 40 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 12 / 4 / 2 |
| 45 | Scored | 35 |
| 44 | Conceded | 14 |
| +1 | GD | +21 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 2.22 |
| 39% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 10 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 6 G | 4 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at TQL Stadium as FC Cincinnati face off against Nashville SC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nashville SC that had 215 games and scored 309 goals.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 17' The crowd applauds Jonathan Perez as he leaves the pitch. Ahmed Qasem steps in for Nashville SC.
- 22' Pavel Bucha has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
- 27' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Miles Robinson made 287 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Ayoub Jabbari is replaced by Kevin Denkey.
- 48' The referee calls foul for Pavel Bucha. He receives a card.
- 53' The 28-year-old Evander has been sensational this season — 9 goals and 6 assists is a remarkable return.
- 58' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 63' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 68' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 69' Time for substitution for Nashville SC. Josh Bauer is replaced by Andy Najar.
- 73' A stunning finish from Brenner — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 75' Brenner was booked on 75.
- 79' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Dominik Marczuk exits the field as Alvas Powell enters on 79.
- 80' Teenage Hadebe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matt Miazga at the 80 minute mark.
- 83' The whistle greets Brian Anunga as he departs to be replaced by Samuel Gidi.
- 84' Goal! Sam Surridge scores his 63 goal in 14 matches.
- 89' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 90' A tactical swap from Nashville SC — Teal Bunbury on, Ahmed Qasem off on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 8
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Teenage Hadebe 80'
- 13
- 12
- 20
- 23
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Samuel Gidi 83'
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Ender Echenique 90'
-
26
Ayoub Jabbari ↓ Kevin Denkey 46'
-
15
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Alvas Powell 79'
Bench
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 79'
- 4
- 85
- 1
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↑ 46'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 80'
- 22
-
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 90'
-
–
Samuel Gidi ↑ 83'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 7
- 1
- 25
- 2
- 10
-
14
Jacob Shaffelburg ↓ Tyler Boyd 69'
-
20
Edvard Tagseth ↓ Patrick Yazbek 69'
- 5
-
24
Jonathan Perez ↓ Ahmed Qasem 17'
-
22
Josh Bauer ↓ Andy Najar 69'
Bench
- 12
-
11
Tyler Boyd ↑ 69'
-
31
Andy Najar ↑ 69'
- 3
- 99
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↑ 69'
- 33
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↑ 17'
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Randall Leal | 4 |
| Charles Sapong | 4 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Sam Surridge | 3 |
| Brenner | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC 77% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
60%
Draw or Nashville SC
63%
FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
4%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 20% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

