Monday , 12 October 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sat 29 Aug 2026 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park 5,389 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Emmanuel Agyei
0–2 36' Zac Sapsford pen
0–3 41' Will Ferry
0–4 77' Jesse Randall

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Dundee United FC H 0–4 L
09 Aug Celtic FC H 1–5 L
02 Aug St. Johnstone FC A 3–4 L
17 May Livingston FC A 4–1 W
12 May Dundee FC H 3–1 W
09 May St. Mirren FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Kilmarnock FC A 4–0 W
22 Aug Dundee FC H 0–2 L
09 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–4 L
31 Jul Rangers FC H 1–1 D
17 May St. Mirren FC A 1–1 D
12 May Livingston FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Dundee United FC
#12 Position #6
5 Points 11
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 3
7 Scored 10
18 Conceded 11
-11 GD -1
0.63 PPG 1.38
13% Win % 38%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
Dundee United FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Dundee United FC are 6th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Dundee United FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Joe Hugill 1 G 1 A
Jason Holt 1 G
Greg Kiltie 1 G
Dundee United FC
Jesse Randall 2 G 2 A
Will Ferry 1 G 1 A
Lachlan Rose 1 G
Zac Sapsford 1 G
Emmanuel Agyei 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC are looking to make home advantage count against Dundee United FC.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Dundee United FC that had 190 games and scored 186 goals.
  • 10' Bert Esselink has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 10.
  • 12' A stunning finish from Emmanuel Agyei — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 17' Kilmarnock FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 19' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. George Stanger is hanging Robbie Deas on the field on 19 minute.
  • 24' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Max Stryjek suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' It’s high time Jim Goodwin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' Cathal McCarthy was booked on 35.
  • 36' What a strike from Zac Sapsford! The score is 0-2.
  • 38' It’s gonna be a card for Zac Sapsford.
  • 41' Will Ferry makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Dundee United FC are in front.
  • 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joe Hugill on 43.
  • 46' Jonathan Meier makes way for Jamie Brandon at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Dundee United FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their trying to find a way past Dundee United FC's compact .
  • 61' Algeria international Mehdi Merghem has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 63' The Dundee United FC manager makes a substitution. Mehdi Merghem departs to be replaced by Jesse Randall.
  • 64' Bailey Rice is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mark O'Hara at the 64 minute mark.
  • 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Will Ferry on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Zac Sapsford as he leaves the pitch. Neil Farrugia steps in for Dundee United FC.
  • 77' What composure from Jesse Randall! The New Zealand international strokes it home. 0-4.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Dundee United FC — Dario Naamo on, Daniel Bennie off on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Michael Forbes made 291 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Bailey Rice is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Dundee United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC27% Draw24% Dundee United FC49%
Actual: Dundee United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Dundee United FC
73%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC18% Draw40% Dundee United FC42%
Actual: Dundee United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Dundee United FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 21% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 18% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.