Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2025-26 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 2 May 2026 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park 5,524 HT 45' · FT 45'
Robbie Deas 20' 1–0
Findlay Curtis 51' 2–0
Joe Hugill 64' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Clancy
  • Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
  • Assistant 2 Chris Gentles (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Dundee United FC H 3–0 W
25 Apr Aberdeen FC A 0–1 L
11 Apr Dundee FC H 2–2 D
04 Apr Hibernian FC A 0–3 L
21 Mar Livingston FC H 2–0 W
14 Mar Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Kilmarnock FC A 0–3 L
26 Apr Dundee FC H 3–0 W
11 Apr Livingston FC H 3–2 W
04 Apr Rangers FC A 2–4 L
22 Mar Celtic FC H 2–0 W
15 Mar Dundee FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Dundee United FC
#12 Position #11
0 Points 1
2 Played 2
0 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 0 / 1 / 1
4 Scored 1
9 Conceded 5
-5 GD -4
0.00 PPG 0.50
0% Win % 0%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Dundee United FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). Dundee United FC are 11th (1 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Dundee United FC
0-15
/2
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/2
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC is underway.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Dundee United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Brilliant from the ! Robbie Deas makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 20.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 28' Dundee United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 33' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 38' The -year-old Krisztian Keresztes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Dundee United FC's compact 3-4-3.
  • 48' It’s high time Jim Goodwin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 51' Magnificent from Findlay Curtis! That is 4 goals in 402 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 64' What composure from Joe Hugill! The England international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 69' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 69 minutes.
  • 74' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jim Goodwin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 79' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 84' The travelling Dundee United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 89' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Dundee United FC's 3-4-3 shape.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Dundee United FC.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.2 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Kilmarnock FC to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC71% Draw16% Dundee United FC13%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 4.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Dundee United FC
29%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC59% Draw31% Dundee United FC10%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
7.3%
4 – 1
6.3%
4 – 0
5.8%
1 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
5 – 1
4.1%
5 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Dundee United FC covers
-2.5 39% 61%
-2 39% 20% 41%
-1.5 59% 41%
-1 59% 18% 23%
-0.5 77% 23%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
5%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.