Monday , 12 October 2026

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 29 Aug 2026 · 22:30 UTC Sports Illustrated Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Milan Iloski
0–2 50' Cavan Sullivan
0–3 64' Neil Pierre

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Drew Fischer
20 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 10.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Philadelphia Union H 1–3 L
22 Aug Chicago Fire FC H 1–1 D
19 Aug Nashville SC H 0–1 L
15 Aug Atlanta United FC A 1–2 L
01 Aug Orlando City SC H 3–2 W
25 Jul Charlotte FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug New York Red Bulls A 3–1 W
22 Aug Austin FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Internacional CF Miami H 2–2 D
16 Aug New York City FC A 3–2 W
01 Aug Atlanta United FC H 3–2 W
25 Jul Seattle Sounders FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls Philadelphia Union
#9 Position #6
36 Points 42
28 Played 28
10 / 6 / 12 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 10
38 Scored 56
52 Conceded 45
-14 GD +11
1.29 PPG 1.50
36% Win % 43%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
25% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

New York Red Bulls are 9th (36 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/5
16-30
4/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/9
61-75
2/6
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
7/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 11 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 8 G 1 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 17 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 9 G 2 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.16 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls22% Draw23% Philadelphia Union55%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw
46%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
78%
New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls18% Draw40% Philadelphia Union42%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap New York Red Bulls covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 21% 36%
+1.5 64% — 36%
+2 64% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.