FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

FC Cincinnati

3 – 1

Full Time

Nashville SC

Sat 15 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium 25,513 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 31' Walker Zimmerman

Luciano Acosta pen 42' 1–1

Santiago Arias 74' 2–1

Aaron Boupendza 90+9' 3–1

Y 0' Taylor Washington

Y 0' Fafa Picault

Santiago Arias 26' Y

Luciano Acosta 45' Y

Matt Miazga 62' Y

YR 68' Taylor Washington

YR 70' Fafa Picault

Y 86' Luke Haakenson

Brandon Vazquez 87' Y

Aaron Boupendza 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Nashville SC 14 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Ramy Touchan
Assistant 1 Jose Da Silva

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 10 games · Avg 3.5 goals Nashville SC

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC 2023-03-26 Nashville SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-23 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Nashville SC 2021-10-27 FC Cincinnati 3–6 Nashville SC 2021-07-25 Nashville SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jul	Nashville SC	H	3–1	W
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
08 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D
01 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–2	D
24 Jun	D.C. United SC	A	0–3	L
21 Jun	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W

Nashville SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jul	FC Cincinnati	A	1–3	L
13 Jul	Philadelphia Union	H	0–2	L
09 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–1	L
02 Jul	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W
24 Jun	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–2	L
21 Jun	Montreal Impact FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Nashville SC
#7	Position	#1
20	Points	33
15	Played	14
5 / 5 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 3 / 1
36	Scored	31
37	Conceded	11
-1	GD	+20
1.33	PPG	2.36
33%	Win %	71%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

43% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nashville SC

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

–/1

46-60

3/–

61-75

3/2

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at TQL Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jacob Shaffelburg made 280 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
20' Nashville SC is showing some good football. However, Nashville SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Taylor Washington, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
35' The 35-year-old Fafa Picault has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nashville SC that had 211 games and scored 305 goals.
45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Willis is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nashville SC.
55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
65' Lukas MacNaughton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 280 appearances.
70' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
75' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
80' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
85' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Roman Celentano suffering a number of foals already.
90' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
Another three points for FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Nashville SC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brandon Vazquez	4
Randall Leal	4
Charles Sapong	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Sam Surridge	3
Evander	2
Brenner da Silva	2
Walker Zimmerman	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC W 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-07-08 Charlotte FC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution D 2023-06-24 D.C. United SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati L 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC W

Nashville SC Form

2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC L 2023-07-13 Nashville SC 0–2 Philadelphia Union L 2023-07-09 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 Nashville SC L 2023-07-02 Nashville SC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2023-06-24 Columbus Crew SC 2–0 Nashville SC L 2023-06-21 Montreal Impact FC 1–0 Nashville SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.72 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.26 Nashville SC xG

I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC 79% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati38% Draw21% Nashville SC41%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.98

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

60%

Draw or Nashville SC

62%

FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati25% Draw38% Nashville SC37%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.7%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 3

5.9%

2 – 3

5.1%

0 – 2

4.9%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 1

3.8%

0 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 4

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Nashville SC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	14%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	19%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	15%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.