FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

FC Cincinnati

3 – 1

Full Time

Nashville SC

Sat 15 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium 25,513 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 31' Walker Zimmerman

Luciano Acosta pen 42' 1–1

Santiago Arias 74' 2–1

Aaron Boupendza 90+9' 3–1

Y 0' Taylor Washington

Y 0' Fafa Picault

Santiago Arias 26' Y

Luciano Acosta 45' Y

Matt Miazga 62' Y

YR 68' Taylor Washington

YR 70' Fafa Picault

Y 86' Luke Haakenson

Brandon Vazquez 87' Y

Aaron Boupendza 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Nashville SC 27 games · 60 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Ramy Touchan
Assistant 1 Jose Da Silva

5 games this season 🟨 6.4/game ⚽ 17.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 11 games · Avg 3.5 goals Nashville SC

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC 2023-03-26 Nashville SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-23 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Nashville SC 2021-10-27 FC Cincinnati 3–6 Nashville SC 2021-07-25 Nashville SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jul	Nashville SC	H	3–1	W
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
08 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D
01 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–2	D
24 Jun	D.C. United SC	A	0–3	L
21 Jun	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W

Nashville SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jul	FC Cincinnati	A	1–3	L
13 Jul	Philadelphia Union	H	0–2	L
09 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–1	L
02 Jul	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W
24 Jun	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–2	L
21 Jun	Montreal Impact FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Nashville SC
#9	Position	#1
33	Points	60
26	Played	27
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	18 / 6 / 3
55	Scored	55
64	Conceded	21
-9	GD	+34
1.27	PPG	2.22
31%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nashville SC

0-15

3/1

16-30

7/3

31-45

5/2

46-60

6/2

61-75

5/6

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Nashville SC

Sam Surridge	16 G	1 A
Hany Mukhtar	13 G	6 A
Warren Madrigal	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. FC Cincinnati host Nashville SC — let the battle begin!
5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
10' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sergio Santos suffering a number of foals already.
20' Fafa Picault has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
25' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Randall Leal is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
45' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
50' Nashville SC is showing some good football. However, Nashville SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
55' Nick Hagglund is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
60' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
65' Nashville SC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
75' Over 75 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
80' Lukas MacNaughton, a Canada , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
85' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
90' The travelling Nashville SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
Another three points for FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Nashville SC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Charles Sapong	4
Brandon Vazquez	4
Sam Surridge	4
Randall Leal	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Brenner da Silva	2
Evander	2
Walker Zimmerman	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC W 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-07-08 Charlotte FC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution D 2023-06-24 D.C. United SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati L 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC W

Nashville SC Form

2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC L 2023-07-13 Nashville SC 0–2 Philadelphia Union L 2023-07-09 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 Nashville SC L 2023-07-02 Nashville SC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2023-06-24 Columbus Crew SC 2–0 Nashville SC L 2023-06-21 Montreal Impact FC 1–0 Nashville SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.65 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.16 Nashville SC xG

I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC 78% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati38% Draw22% Nashville SC40%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.81

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

60%

Draw or Nashville SC

62%

FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati24% Draw39% Nashville SC37%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 2

6.7%

2 – 1

6.3%

1 – 3

5.9%

0 – 2

5.3%

2 – 3

4.8%

0 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

3.7%

0 – 3

3.7%

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Nashville SC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	15%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	19%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	15%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.