FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 46 |
| 42 | Conceded | 44 |
| +13 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC Tōkyō get us underway at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- 5' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 7' Kasper Junker is having his name booked by the referee on 7.
- 12' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Peter Cklamovski will be considering his options from the bench.
- 13' Keigo Higashi puts FC Tokyo on the lead.
- 17' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 22' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Taishi Nozawa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 27' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 29' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Takuya Uchida on 29 minutes.
- 31' Diego Oliveira is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 36' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' Katsuhiro Nakayama is replacing Takuya Uchida for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Henrique Trevisan on 50.
- 55' Akinari Kawazura has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 60' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Henrique Trevisan is withdrawn and Yasuki Kimoto gets his opportunity.
- 65' A stunning finish from Takahiro Ko — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 66' Taichi Kikuchi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryosuke Yamanaka at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' The 29-year-old Tsukasa Morishima has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 75' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Keiya Shiihashi trudges off to be replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama on 75 minutes.
- 78' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Leon Nozawa comes on to replace Ryotaro Araki.
- 81' Teruhito Nakagawa adds to his 0 season tally! FC Tokyo lead 0-4 — and this changes everything.
- 85' GOAL! Sho Inagaki scores on 85. Assisted by Ryuji Izumi
- 86' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Keita Yamashita on, Teruhito Nakagawa off on 86 minutes.
- 87' A moment of madness from Taishi Nozawa on 87 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
- Full Time. FC Tōkyō beats Nagoya Grampus
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 10
- 9
- 39
- 8
- 37
- 30
- 41
- 71
- 44
- 33
Bench
- 5
- 22
- 4
- 13
- 14
- 32
- 28
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Patric 66'
- 1
- 66
- 2
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ryuji Izumi 46'
- 15
- 77
- 24
- 20
Bench
-
10
Patric ↑ 66'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 46'
- 17
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 75'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 66'
- 3
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 6 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Kasper Junker | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Mateus | 1 |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 1 |
| Masato Morishige | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.98
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 4.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
75%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
4.8%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
3.9%
3 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.3%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 18% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 12% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 7% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

