FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

FC Tokyo

4 – 1

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 7' Kasper Junker

Y 17' Sho Inagaki

Y 29' Takuya Uchida

Henrique Trevisan 50' Y

Taishi Nozawa 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tokyo 25 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-14 FC Tokyo 4–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-05-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 FC Tokyo 2023-06-24 FC Tokyo 2–0 Nagoya Grampus 2023-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tokyo 2022-10-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tokyo

Recent Form

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	4–1	W
31 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–3	L
24 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–3	L
17 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–0	D
11 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–3	L
07 Aug	Gamba Osaka	A	0–0	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Sep	FC Tokyo	A	1–4	L
24 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–0	W
17 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
11 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	H	1–0	W
07 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	2–3	L
20 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

FC Tokyo		Nagoya Grampus
#12	Position	#3
37	Points	31
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
55	Scored	46
42	Conceded	44
+13	GD	+2
2.06	PPG	1.72
72%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

71% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

4/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tokyo

Motoki Nagakura	5 G	2 A
Marcelo Ryan	3 G	2 A
Soma Anzai	3 G

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Ajinomoto Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Tōkyō and Nagoya Grampus.
5' FC Tōkyō have won 404 goals from 441 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
7' That is a card for Nagoya Grampus. Kasper Junker will be fuming at that decision.
12' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 443 games and scored 402 goals.
13' Keigo Higashi makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and FC Tokyo are in front.
17' The referee calls foul for Sho Inagaki. He receives a card.
22' FC Tōkyō is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
27' Keiya Shiihashi, a Japan , has 26 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
29' That looks like a foul for a card for Takuya Uchida.
31' Diego Oliveira makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and FC Tokyo are in front.
36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
41' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
46' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Katsuhiro Nakayama is hanging Takuya Uchida on the field on 46 minute.
50' Henrique Trevisan picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taishi Nozawa made 441 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
60' The crowd applauds Henrique Trevisan as he leaves the pitch. Yasuki Kimoto steps in for FC Tokyo.
65' Magnificent from Takahiro Ko! That is 7 goals in 407 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
66' Taichi Kikuchi is replacing Ryosuke Yamanaka for the Nagoya Grampus side.
71' Teruhito Nakagawa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
75' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Katsuhiro Nakayama comes on to replace Keiya Shiihashi.
78' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Leon Nozawa on, Ryotaro Araki off on 78 minutes.
81' Teruhito Nakagawa doubles the advantage! 0-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
85' Sho Inagaki doubles the advantage! 0-5 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
86' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Teruhito Nakagawa is withdrawn and Keita Yamashita gets his opportunity.
87' A moment of madness from Taishi Nozawa on 87 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
FC Tōkyō celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

8
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Katsuhiro Nakayama 75'
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Katsuhiro Nakayama 46'
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Patric 66'
1
Mitch Langerak
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 66'
2
Yuki Nogami
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ryuji Izumi 46'
15
Sho Inagaki
77
Kasper Junker
24
Akinari Kawazura
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni

Bench

10
Patric ↑ 66'
16
Yohei Takeda
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 46'
17
Ken Masui
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 75'
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 66'
3
Chang-rae Ha

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	6
Kensuke Nagai	3
Kasper Junker	3
Kensuke Nagai	2
Diego Oliveira	2
Jo	1
Noriyoshi Sakai	1
Kotaro Omori	1

Head to Head

FC Tokyo Form

2024-09-14 FC Tokyo 4–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo L 2024-08-24 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–0 FC Tokyo L 2024-08-17 FC Tokyo 0–0 Tokyo Verdy D 2024-08-11 FC Tokyo 0–3 Kawasaki Frontale L 2024-08-07 Gamba Osaka 0–0 FC Tokyo D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-09-14 FC Tokyo 4–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-08-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tokyo Verdy W 2024-08-07 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-07-20 Vissel Kobe 3–3 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.98 FC Tokyo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.99 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo55% Draw20% Nagoya Grampus25%

Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes81% 0% No19%

Avg goals/match: 4.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	86%	14%
± 3.5	71%	29%
± 4.5	54%	46%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw

75%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

45%

FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo45% Draw32% Nagoya Grampus23%

Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

6.2%

3 – 1

2 – 2

3 – 2

5.8%

1 – 1

4.8%

4 – 1

Actual

4 – 2

4.3%

1 – 2

4.2%

2 – 3

3.9%

3 – 3

3.9%

2 – 0

3.3%

3 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap	FC Tokyo covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	23%	—	77%
-2	23%	16%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	18%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	12%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	7%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.