FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

FC Tokyo

4 – 1

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 7' Kasper Junker

Y 17' Sho Inagaki

Y 29' Takuya Uchida

Henrique Trevisan 50' Y

Taishi Nozawa 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tokyo 25 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-14 FC Tokyo 4–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-05-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 FC Tokyo 2023-06-24 FC Tokyo 2–0 Nagoya Grampus 2023-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tokyo 2022-10-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tokyo

Recent Form

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	4–1	W
31 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–3	L
24 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–3	L
17 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–0	D
11 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–3	L
07 Aug	Gamba Osaka	A	0–0	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Sep	FC Tokyo	A	1–4	L
24 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–0	W
17 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
11 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	H	1–0	W
07 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	2–3	L
20 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

FC Tokyo		Nagoya Grampus
#12	Position	#3
37	Points	31
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
55	Scored	46
42	Conceded	44
+13	GD	+2
2.06	PPG	1.72
72%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

85% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

7/1

46-60

8/1

61-75

10/–

76+

7/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

5/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/5

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tokyo

Motoki Nagakura	8 G	3 A
Marcelo Ryan	5 G	2 A
Dani Gomez	5 G
Soma Anzai	5 G
Teruhito Nakagawa	4 G	2 A

Nagoya Grampus

Yuya Yamagishi	3 G
Takuya Uchida	2 G	1 A
Yudai Kimura	2 G	1 A
Naomichi Ueda	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FC Tokyo welcome Nagoya Grampus for this crunch clash at Ajinomoto Stadium.
5' Teruhito Nakagawa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
7' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 7.
12' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
13' A goal from the Japan international Keigo Higashi! He fires home on 13 to make it 1-0!
17' Nagoya Grampus receives a card for a hard tackle on 17.
22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
29' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Takuya Uchida.
31' Diego Oliveira doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
36' Teppei Oka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 449 appearances.
41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Masato Morishige, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
46' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Takuya Uchida is replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
50' That looks like a foul for a card for Henrique Trevisan.
55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kota Tawaratsumida suffering a number of foals already.
60' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yasuki Kimoto is hanging Henrique Trevisan on the field on 60 minute.
65' Takahiro Ko has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 65 minutes.
66' The supporters are chanting for Taichi Kikuchi. He replaces Ryosuke Yamanaka on 66 minute.
71' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
75' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Katsuhiro Nakayama on, Keiya Shiihashi off on 75 minutes.
78' FC Tokyo make a change. Ryotaro Araki trudges off to be replaced by Leon Nozawa on 78 minutes.
81' The Japan Teruhito Nakagawa breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 4-0!
85' Sho Inagaki has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
86' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Teruhito Nakagawa is replaced by Keita Yamashita on 86 minute.
87' The referee calls foul for Taishi Nozawa. He receives a card.
The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Tokyo take all three points.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

8
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Katsuhiro Nakayama 75'
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Katsuhiro Nakayama 46'
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Patric 66'
1
Mitch Langerak
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 66'
2
Yuki Nogami
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ryuji Izumi 46'
15
Sho Inagaki
77
Kasper Junker
24
Akinari Kawazura
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni

Bench

10
Patric ↑ 66'
16
Yohei Takeda
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 46'
17
Ken Masui
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 75'
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 66'
3
Chang-rae Ha

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	6
Kensuke Nagai	3
Kasper Junker	3
Diego Oliveira	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Keita Yamashita	1
Jo	1
Leandro	1

Head to Head

FC Tokyo Form

2024-09-14 FC Tokyo 4–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo L 2024-08-24 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–0 FC Tokyo L 2024-08-17 FC Tokyo 0–0 Tokyo Verdy D 2024-08-11 FC Tokyo 0–3 Kawasaki Frontale L 2024-08-07 Gamba Osaka 0–0 FC Tokyo D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-09-14 FC Tokyo 4–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-08-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tokyo Verdy W 2024-08-07 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-07-20 Vissel Kobe 3–3 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.98 FC Tokyo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.99 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo55% Draw20% Nagoya Grampus25%

Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes81% 0% No19%

Avg goals/match: 4.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	86%	14%
± 3.5	71%	29%
± 4.5	54%	46%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw

75%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

45%

FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo45% Draw32% Nagoya Grampus23%

Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

6.2%

3 – 1

2 – 2

3 – 2

5.8%

1 – 1

4.8%

4 – 1

Actual

4 – 2

4.3%

1 – 2

4.2%

2 – 3

3.9%

3 – 3

3.9%

2 – 0

3.3%

3 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap	FC Tokyo covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	23%	—	77%
-2	23%	16%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	18%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	12%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	7%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.