Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Wed 18 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
14 Sep FC Tōkyō A 1–4 L
24 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
17 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
11 Aug Tokyo Verdy H 1–0 W
07 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L
14 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
25 Aug FC Machida Zelvia H 0–0 D
17 Aug Avispa Fukuoka A 1–0 W
12 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–0 W
07 Aug Jubilo Iwata H 2–2 D

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus55% Draw26% Albirex Niigata19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
45%
Nagoya Grampus or Albirex Niigata
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus38% Draw48% Albirex Niigata14%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46%
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.