Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Wed 18 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
14 Sep FC Tōkyō A 1–4 L
24 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
17 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
11 Aug Tōkyō Verdy H 1–0 W
07 Aug Kyōto Sanga FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L
14 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
25 Aug FC Machida Zelvia H 0–0 D
17 Aug Avispa Fukuoka A 1–0 W
12 Aug Kyōto Sanga FC H 2–0 W
07 Aug Júbilo Iwata H 2–2 D

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Albirex Niigata.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Yuki Nogami makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Albirex Niigata's compact .
  • 25' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' Kensuke Nagai does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
  • 49' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kazuhiko Chiba is hanging Thomas Deng on the field on 55 minute.
  • 60' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Hiroki Akiyama.
  • 67' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 71' Kasper Junker is replacing Kensuke Nagai for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 73' The whistle greets Motoki Hasegawa as he departs to be replaced by Yoshiaki Takagi.
  • 78' What composure from Taichi Kikuchi! The Japan international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 85' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Eiji Miyamoto departs to be replaced by Yuzuru Shimada.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Katsuhiro Nakayama. He replaces Yuki Nogami on 89 minute.
  • 90' Ken Masui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryuji Izumi at the 90 minute mark.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus55% Draw26% Albirex Niigata19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
45%
Nagoya Grampus or Albirex Niigata
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus38% Draw48% Albirex Niigata14%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.