Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Júbilo Iwata | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Toyota Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata.
- 5' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Takuya Uchida has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shusuke Ota suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' A goal from the Japan international Yuki Nogami! He fires home on 15 to make it 1-0!
- 20' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rikizo Matsuhashi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 44' Kensuke Nagai adds to his 1 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 49' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 54' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
- 55' Kazuhiko Chiba gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Thomas Deng and will look to change the dynamic.
- 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 452 games and scored 412 goals.
- 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hiroki Akiyama on 62.
- 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Kasper Junker. He replaces Kensuke Nagai on 71 minute.
- 73' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Motoki Hasegawa departs to be replaced by Yoshiaki Takagi.
- 78' Taichi Kikuchi does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 83' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 85' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Eiji Miyamoto is replaced by Yuzuru Shimada on 85 minute.
- 89' Katsuhiro Nakayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Nogami on 89 minute.
- 90' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Ryuji Izumi exits the field as Ken Masui enters on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Kasper Junker 71'
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Ken Masui 90'
-
24
Akinari Kawazura ↓ Chang-rae Ha 90'
- 55
- 20
Bench
- 10
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 90'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 89'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 71'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 71'
-
3
Chang-rae Ha ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Thomas Deng ↓ Kazuhiko Chiba 55'
- 5
- 1
- 25
- 6
- 31
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 73'
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Yuji Ono 73'
- 27
- 14
-
8
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 85'
Bench
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 85'
-
99
Yuji Ono ↑ 73'
-
35
Kazuhiko Chiba ↑ 55'
- 19
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 73'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 73'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Taichi Kikuchi | 1 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
45%
Nagoya Grampus or Albirex Niigata
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

