Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Jubilo Iwata | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Nagoya Grampus welcome Albirex Niigata for this crunch clash at Toyota Stadium.
- 5' Sho Inagaki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' A stunning finish from Yuki Nogami — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' Shuhei Tokumoto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Albirex Niigata tonight.
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rikizo Matsuhashi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 44' Kensuke Nagai does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kennedy Egbus Mikuni made 200 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 54' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 55' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Thomas Deng has done his job and it is now time for Kazuhiko Chiba to step up.
- 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 62' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Hiroki Akiyama gets a card.
- 67' Albirex Niigata come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 71' The whistle greets Kensuke Nagai as he departs to be replaced by Kasper Junker.
- 73' Yoshiaki Takagi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Motoki Hasegawa on 73 minute.
- 78' Taichi Kikuchi makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
- 83' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Shusuke Ota has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 85' Yuzuru Shimada is ready to make an impact after coming on for Eiji Miyamoto at the 85 minute mark.
- 89' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Yuki Nogami is replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
- 90' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ken Masui is hanging Ryuji Izumi on the field on 90 minute.
- 3-0 the final result. Albirex Niigata will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Kasper Junker 71'
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Ken Masui 90'
-
24
Akinari Kawazura ↓ Chang-rae Ha 90'
- 55
- 20
Bench
- 10
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 90'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 89'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 71'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 71'
-
3
Chang-rae Ha ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Thomas Deng ↓ Kazuhiko Chiba 55'
- 5
- 1
- 25
- 6
- 31
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 73'
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Yuji Ono 73'
- 27
- 14
-
8
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 85'
Bench
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 85'
-
99
Yuji Ono ↑ 73'
-
35
Kazuhiko Chiba ↑ 55'
- 19
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 73'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 73'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Taichi Kikuchi | 1 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 1 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 1 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
45%
Nagoya Grampus or Albirex Niigata
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.