Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Júbilo Iwata | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Albirex Niigata.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Yuki Nogami makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Albirex Niigata's compact .
- 25' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 44' Kensuke Nagai does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 49' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 55' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kazuhiko Chiba is hanging Thomas Deng on the field on 55 minute.
- 60' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Hiroki Akiyama.
- 67' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 71' Kasper Junker is replacing Kensuke Nagai for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 73' The whistle greets Motoki Hasegawa as he departs to be replaced by Yoshiaki Takagi.
- 78' What composure from Taichi Kikuchi! The Japan international strokes it home. 3-0.
- 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 85' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Eiji Miyamoto departs to be replaced by Yuzuru Shimada.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Katsuhiro Nakayama. He replaces Yuki Nogami on 89 minute.
- 90' Ken Masui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryuji Izumi at the 90 minute mark.
- The final score is 3-0.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Kasper Junker 71'
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Ken Masui 90'
-
24
Akinari Kawazura ↓ Chang-rae Ha 90'
- 55
- 20
Bench
- 10
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 90'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 89'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 71'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 71'
-
3
Chang-rae Ha ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Thomas Deng ↓ Kazuhiko Chiba 55'
- 5
- 1
- 25
- 6
- 31
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 73'
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Yuji Ono 73'
- 27
- 14
-
8
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 85'
Bench
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 85'
-
99
Yuji Ono ↑ 73'
-
35
Kazuhiko Chiba ↑ 55'
- 19
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 73'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 73'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Taichi Kikuchi | 1 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
45%
Nagoya Grampus or Albirex Niigata
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

