Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 6 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 38,880 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sho Inagaki 8' 1–0
Yudai Kimura 31' 2–0
2–1 90+5' Rin Mito

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koji Takasaki (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Yusuke Shiotsu
  • Assistant 2 Mikiya Nishimura

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
03 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–1 W
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
25 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–0 W
19 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
11 Apr Vissel Kobe A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
02 May Vissel Kobe H 5–0 W
29 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
25 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 7–6 W
22 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
19 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 6–5 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
#3 Position #5
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 61
44 Conceded 53
+2 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Nagoya Grampus have kicked off against Gamba Osaka. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 8' Nagoya Grampus is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sho Inagaki on 8.
  • 12' That looks like a foul for a card for Shuto Abe.
  • 17' Gamba Osaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 22' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Shuhei Tokumoto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 31' Yudai Kimura does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
  • 32' Goal! Yudai Kimura scores his 18 goal in 162 matches.
  • 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
  • 42' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 47' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 52' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 67' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 67.
  • 72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 77' Haruya Fujii needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Ryotaro Meshino. He receives a card.
  • 85' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 90' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nagoya Grampus to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.86 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.76 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 87%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus45% Draw20% Gamba Osaka35%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes87% 0% No13%
Avg goals/match: 5.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
65%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus35% Draw31% Gamba Osaka34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
2 – 4
3.5%
1 – 1
3.4%
4 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 12% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 16% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 15% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 11% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
7%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.