Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–5 | L |
| 05 Oct | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 4–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 61 |
| 44 | Conceded | 53 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
68%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Nagoya Grampus host Gamba Osaka — let the battle begin!
- 5' Gamba Osaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Japan international Takeru Kishimoto has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
- 25' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 40' Issam Jebali has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 176 appearances.
- 45' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 50' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Akinari Kawazura has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' Ryoya Yamashita doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 61' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
- 63' Kensuke Nagai gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Akinari Kawazura and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keisuke Kurokawa is hanging Ryo Hatsuse on the field on 68 minute.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Nogami. He replaces Soichiro Mori on 72 minute.
- 77' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 79' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kasper Junker is hanging Teruki Hara on the field on 79 minute.
- 84' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 85' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Ryoya Yamashita exits the field as Takeru Kishimoto enters on 85.
- 90' Tokuma Suzuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Makoto Mitsuta at the 90 minute mark.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Gen Kato 72'
- 15
- 16
- 13
- 7
-
70
Teruki Hara ↓ Kasper Junker 79'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 63'
- 3
- 6
- 22
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↓ Yuki Nogami 72'
Bench
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 63'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 72'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 79'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 63'
- 55
- 20
- 35
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 72'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
21
Ryo Hatsuse ↓ Keisuke Kurokawa 68'
- 20
- 13
- 22
- 17
- 2
-
51
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Tokuma Suzuki 90'
- 3
- 27
-
44
Kanji Okunuki ↓ Ryotaro Meshino 68'
Bench
- 7
- 1
- 5
- 10
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 68'
-
4
Keisuke Kurokawa ↑ 68'
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 85'
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↑ 90'
- 23
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 2 |
| Takashi Usami | 2 |
| Yoichiro Kakitani | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.27
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.65
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 4.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
55%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
67%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–2 not predicted0 – 2Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.6%
1 – 1
5.1%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 4
3.7%
1 – 4
3.3%
3 – 4
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 15% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 17% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
11%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

