Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–5 | L |
| 05 Oct | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 4–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 61 |
| 44 | Conceded | 53 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Nagoya Grampus kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Soichiro Mori, a Japan , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' Gamba Osaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' It’s high time Dani Poyatos made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 50' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Sho Inagaki scoring 1 goals.
- 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Keisuke Kurokawa, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' What composure from Ryoya Yamashita! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 61' The 30-year-old Shota Fukuoka has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 63' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Akinari Kawazura trudges off to be replaced by Kensuke Nagai on 63 minutes.
- 68' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Ryo Hatsuse by Keisuke Kurokawa on 68 minute.
- 72' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 72 minute. Soichiro Mori leaves to be changed by Yuki Nogami.
- 77' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
- 79' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kasper Junker is hanging Teruki Hara on the field on 79 minute.
- 84' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
- 85' Ryoya Yamashita makes way for Takeru Kishimoto at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
- 90' Makoto Mitsuta makes way for Tokuma Suzuki at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Gen Kato 72'
- 15
- 16
- 13
- 7
-
70
Teruki Hara ↓ Kasper Junker 79'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 63'
- 3
- 6
- 22
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↓ Yuki Nogami 72'
Bench
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 63'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 72'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 79'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 63'
- 55
- 20
- 35
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 72'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
21
Ryo Hatsuse ↓ Keisuke Kurokawa 68'
- 20
- 13
- 22
- 17
- 2
-
51
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Tokuma Suzuki 90'
- 3
- 27
-
44
Kanji Okunuki ↓ Ryotaro Meshino 68'
Bench
- 7
- 1
- 5
- 10
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 68'
-
4
Keisuke Kurokawa ↑ 68'
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 85'
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↑ 90'
- 23
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Ryoya Yamashita | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.27
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.65
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 4.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
55%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
67%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–2 not predicted0 – 2Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.6%
1 – 1
5.1%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 4
3.7%
1 – 4
3.3%
3 – 4
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 15% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 17% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
11%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

