Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 2–0 W
06 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
02 Apr FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L
29 Mar Albirex Niigata A 3–3 D
16 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
08 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L
06 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
02 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–0 W
29 Mar Yokohama FC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Tōkyō Verdy A 1–2 L
08 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka Nagoya Grampus
#5 Position #3
28 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
61 Scored 46
53 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.56 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G
Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Gamba Osaka launch into their encounter with Nagoya Grampus.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Gamba Osaka in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Gamba Osaka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 33' Yuki Nogami picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 36' The referee has no hesitation. Masahito Ono is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 36.
  • 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Taichi Kikuchi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Tsukasa Morishima on, Yuya Asano off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
  • 63' Issam Jebali doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 67' Kasper Junker is replacing Masahito Ono for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 72' The 27-year-old Makoto Mitsuta has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Keiya Shiihashi is replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 76' Ryoya Yamashita is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 77' Shu Kurata is replacing Juan Alano for the Gamba Osaka side.
  • 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 85' Takeru Kishimoto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryoya Yamashita at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Issam Jebali by Harumi Minamino on 90 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.9 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka55% Draw20% Nagoya Grampus25%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 70%
30%
± 4.5 52%
48%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
75%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
Gamba Osaka or Nagoya Grampus
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka44% Draw33% Nagoya Grampus23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
4.3%
4 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 16% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 18% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 12% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
15% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.