Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 28 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 61 | Scored | 46 |
| 53 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Gamba Osaka launch into their encounter with Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Suita City Football Stadium. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 33' Poor challenge from Yuki Nogami. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 36' It’s gonna be a card for Masahito Ono.
- 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tsukasa Morishima is hanging Yuya Asano on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dani Poyatos will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Issam Jebali is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gamba Osaka.
- 63' Issam Jebali has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
- 67' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Kasper Junker on, Masahito Ono off on 67 minutes.
- 72' Gamba Osaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 74' Taichi Kikuchi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keiya Shiihashi at the 74 minute mark.
- 76' Magnificent from Ryoya Yamashita! That is 10 goals in 95 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 77' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Shu Kurata on, Juan Alano off on 77 minutes.
- 82' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 85' Takeru Kishimoto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryoya Yamashita at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Harumi Minamino comes on to replace Issam Jebali.
- The points are shared — Gamba Osaka 2-0 Nagoya Grampus. Honours even.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Harumi Minamino 90'
-
47
Juan Alano ↓ Shu Kurata 77'
- 20
-
4
Keisuke Kurokawa ↓ Shogo Sasaki 85'
- 6
- 22
- 17
- 2
- 16
- 51
- 3
Bench
- 1
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 77'
-
67
Shogo Sasaki ↑ 85'
- 40
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 85'
- 27
- 23
-
42
Harumi Minamino ↑ 90'
- 38
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 8
- 2
- 15
- 7
-
10
Mateus ↓ Ryosuke Yamanaka 77'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 46'
- 27
- 3
- 6
-
41
Masahito Ono ↓ Kasper Junker 67'
Bench
- 17
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 77'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 46'
- 4
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 67'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 74'
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 46'
- 35
- 30
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Takashi Usami | 2 |
| Yoichiro Kakitani | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.9
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
75%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
Gamba Osaka or Nagoya Grampus
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
4.3%
4 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 16% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 18% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 12% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

