FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 46 |
| 42 | Conceded | 44 |
| +13 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
83%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
7/1
61-75
10/–
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 7 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 4 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Katsuhiro Nakayama has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 7' A moment of madness from Takahiro Ko on 7 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
- 12' FC Tokyo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 17' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Takuya Uchida made 446 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 22' Takahiro Ko, a Japan , has 9 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 27' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' FC Tokyo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
- 47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 52' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' The Japan Kota Tawaratsumida breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 1-0!
- 58' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Kota Tawaratsumida is replaced by Motoki Nagakura.
- 61' Mateus is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuya Yamagishi at the 61 minute mark.
- 61' Kein Sato is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
- 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Tokyo winning 100% of all matches.
- 68' Takahiro Ko has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 68.
- 70' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kento Hashimoto is hanging Marcelo Ryan on the field on 70 minute.
- 75' The whistle greets Takuya Uchida as he departs to be replaced by Tsukasa Morishima.
- 77' FC Tokyo make a change. Kein Sato trudges off to be replaced by Hirokazu Ishihara on 77 minutes.
- 79' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Yudai Kimura exits the field as Tomoya Koyamatsu enters on 79.
- 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tokyo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 90' A moment of madness from Kento Hashimoto on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Nagoya Grampus.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 6
- 8
- 24
- 9
- 81
- 33
- 7
- 4
- 10
- 27
Bench
- 3
- 18
- 39
- 22
- 15
- 71
- 26
- 1
- 44
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 17
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Hidemasa Koda 75'
- 70
- 31
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Mateus 61'
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 79'
- 55
Bench
- 2
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 75'
-
10
Mateus ↑ 61'
-
58
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 79'
-
19
Hidemasa Koda ↑ 75'
- 3
- 33
- 41
- 36
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 6 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Kasper Junker | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Keigo Higashi | 1 |
| Kotaro Omori | 1 |
| Mateus | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.92
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
83%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
35%
FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.1%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.4%
1 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 18% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 19% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
22%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

