FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 46 |
| 42 | Conceded | 44 |
| +13 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
67%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 6 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Kasper Junker | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Masato Morishige | 1 |
| Takahiro Ko | 1 |
| Adailton | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
3.14
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
83%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
34%
FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus
83%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
3 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
3 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 0
4.6%
4 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.6%
5 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 18% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 18% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 9% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
21%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
5%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

