Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Cerezo Osaka FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 07:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Ryuji Izumi
Y 37' Mateus
Niko Takahashi 77' Y
Kyohei Noborizato 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
5
12
Cerezo Osaka FC 22 games · Avg 2.6 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-08-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-06-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Cerezo Osaka FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–1 D
02 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
14 Feb Gamba Osaka A 5–2 W
08 Dec FC Tokyo A 0–3 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L
26 Feb FC Tokyo A 1–3 L
22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L
08 Dec Yokohama F.Marinos A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Cerezo Osaka FC Nagoya Grampus
#2 Position #3
31 Points 31
18 Played 18
11 / 0 / 7 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
48 Scored 46
38 Conceded 44
+10 GD +2
1.72 PPG 1.72
61% Win % 56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Cerezo Osaka FC have kicked off against Nagoya Grampus. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 11' Mateus is replacing Yuya Yamagishi for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 16' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 21' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cerezo Osaka FC and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 26' Akinari Kawazura has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 369 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 33' Ryuji Izumi is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
  • 37' Mateus catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 37.
  • 42' Jin-hyeon Kim is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
  • 47' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 49' Cerezo Osaka FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sota Kitano on 45.
  • 54' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 59' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 61' Tsukasa Morishima gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Ryuji Izumi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' Shinji Kagawa is replacing Hinata Kida for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
  • 70' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Shuhei Tokumoto as he leaves the pitch. Akinari Kawazura steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 76' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Niko Takahashi on 77.
  • 82' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 85' Mateus doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Cerezo Osaka FC player. Kyohei Noborizato gets a card.
  • 90' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Niko Takahashi trudges off to be replaced by Kyohei Noborizato on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Cerezo Osaka FC 1-1 Nagoya Grampus. Honours even.

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Arthur Papas

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Mateus 3
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni 2
Ryuji Izumi 2
Yuya Yamagishi 2
Sota Kitano 2
Yudai Kimura 2
Solomon Sakuragawa 2
Satoki Uejo 2

Head to Head

2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-08-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-06-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-02-26 Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-02-22 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2025-02-14 Gamba Osaka 2–5 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-12-08 FC Tokyo 3–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-02-26 FC Tokyo 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-02-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2025-02-15 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-12-08 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.52 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC50% Draw22% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
50%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Nagoya Grampus
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC40% Draw35% Nagoya Grampus25%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.7%
4 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.5%
1 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 15% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 18% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 14% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.