Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Cerezo Osaka FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 07:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Ryuji Izumi
Y 37' Mateus
Niko Takahashi 77' Y
Kyohei Noborizato 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
5
12
Cerezo Osaka FC 22 games · Avg 2.6 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-08-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-06-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Cerezo Osaka FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–1 D
02 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
14 Feb Gamba Osaka A 5–2 W
08 Dec FC Tōkyō A 0–3 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L
26 Feb FC Tōkyō A 1–3 L
22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L
08 Dec Yokohama F·Marinos A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Cerezo Osaka FC Nagoya Grampus
#2 Position #3
31 Points 31
18 Played 18
11 / 0 / 7 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
48 Scored 46
38 Conceded 44
+10 GD +2
1.72 PPG 1.72
61% Win % 56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Cerezo Osaka FC is hosting Nagoya Grampus for another epic battle.
  • 5' Shuhei Tokumoto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Cerezo Osaka FC in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • 11' The supporters are chanting for Mateus. He replaces Yuya Yamagishi on 11 minute.
  • 16' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Kensuke Nagai has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 26' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' Daiki Miya has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 33' Ryuji Izumi is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
  • 37' Mateus picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 47' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 49' The deadlock is broken! Sota Kitano gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 54' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Yuya Yamagishi scoring 2 goals.
  • 59' The 32-year-old Lucas Fernandes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' The whistle greets Ryuji Izumi as he departs to be replaced by Tsukasa Morishima.
  • 65' Hinata Kida makes way for Shinji Kagawa at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • 70' Shinnosuke Hatanaka, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Shuhei Tokumoto is replaced by Akinari Kawazura on 71 minute.
  • 76' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 77' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 82' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 85' A stunning finish from Mateus — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' Kyohei Noborizato is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Niko Takahashi by Kyohei Noborizato on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Arthur Papas

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Mateus 3
Satoki Uejo 2
Yumeki Yokoyama 2
Yuki Soma 2
Shuhei Akasaki 2
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni 2
Ryuji Izumi 2
Yuya Yamagishi 2

Head to Head

2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-08-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-06-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-02-26 Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-02-22 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2025-02-14 Gamba Osaka 2–5 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-12-08 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-02-26 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-02-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2025-02-15 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-12-08 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.52 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC50% Draw22% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
50%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Nagoya Grampus
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC40% Draw35% Nagoya Grampus25%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.7%
4 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.5%
1 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 15% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 18% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 14% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.