Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Feb | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–2 | W |
| 08 Dec | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Feb | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Dec | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #3 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 48 | Scored | 46 |
| 38 | Conceded | 44 |
| +10 | GD | +2 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 61% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Cerezo Osaka FC to score. At the same time, Nagoya Grampus does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' A quiet spell here at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 11' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Yuya Yamagishi is replaced by Mateus.
- 16' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 21' Sho Inagaki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 26' Yohei Takeda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 33' That is a card for Nagoya Grampus. Ryuji Izumi will be fuming at that decision.
- 37' Controversy at the stadium! Mateus argues furiously but the card stands.
- 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 0% of all matches.
- 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 49' Sota Kitano doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 54' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 59' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' The whistle greets Ryuji Izumi as he departs to be replaced by Tsukasa Morishima.
- 65' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 65 minute. Hinata Kida leaves to be changed by Shinji Kagawa.
- 70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
- 71' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Akinari Kawazura on, Shuhei Tokumoto off on 71 minutes.
- 76' Mateus has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
- 77' Niko Takahashi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 82' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 85' Mateus doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' That is a card for Cerezo Osaka FC. Kyohei Noborizato will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Kyohei Noborizato on, Niko Takahashi off on 90 minutes.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Hayato Okuda 90'
- 44
- 14
- 13
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Shinji Kagawa 65'
- 33
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↓ Masaya Shibayama 65'
- 38
- 22
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 65'
-
6
Kyohei Noborizato ↑ 90'
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↑ 90'
- 55
- 11
- 7
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↑ 90'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 65'
- 1
Coach
Arthur Papas
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Asano 61'
- 2
- 15
- 4
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 61'
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Mateus 11'
- 3
- 55
Bench
- 17
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 61'
-
10
Mateus ↑ 11'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 61'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 61'
-
6
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 71'
- 20
- 35
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Shuhei Akasaki | 2 |
| Kennedy Egbus Mikuni | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.52
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
50%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.7%
4 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.5%
1 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 18% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

