Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Feb | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–2 | W |
| 08 Dec | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Feb | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Dec | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #3 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 48 | Scored | 46 |
| 38 | Conceded | 44 |
| +10 | GD | +2 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 61% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Cerezo Osaka FC and Nagoya Grampus has kicked off!
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cerezo Osaka FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Ryuya Nishio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 6 cards already picked up this season.
- 11' Mateus has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuya Yamagishi on 11 minute.
- 16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cerezo Osaka FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 21' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 26' Cerezo Osaka FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 31' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 33' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Mateus.
- 42' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 47' Brazil international Lucas Fernandes has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 49' Magnificent from Sota Kitano! That is 8 goals in 374 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 59' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 61' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Tsukasa Morishima on, Ryuji Izumi off on 61 minutes.
- 65' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Shinji Kagawa on, Hinata Kida off on 65 minutes.
- 70' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 71' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Akinari Kawazura is hanging Shuhei Tokumoto on the field on 71 minute.
- 76' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Niko Takahashi.
- 82' Shunta Tanaka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 85' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mateus makes it 1-1.
- 90' Cerezo Osaka FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' The crowd applauds Niko Takahashi as he leaves the pitch. Kyohei Noborizato steps in for Cerezo Osaka FC.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Hayato Okuda 90'
- 44
- 14
- 13
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Shinji Kagawa 65'
- 33
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↓ Masaya Shibayama 65'
- 38
- 22
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 65'
-
6
Kyohei Noborizato ↑ 90'
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↑ 90'
- 55
- 11
- 7
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↑ 90'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 65'
- 1
Coach
Arthur Papas
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Asano 61'
- 2
- 15
- 4
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 61'
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Mateus 11'
- 3
- 55
Bench
- 17
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 61'
-
10
Mateus ↑ 11'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 61'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 61'
-
6
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 71'
- 20
- 35
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Shuhei Akasaki | 2 |
| Kennedy Egbus Mikuni | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.52
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
50%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.7%
4 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.5%
1 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 18% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

