Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
- Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
- Assistant 2 Ryo Hirama
5 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 8.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| 18 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 5–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Feb | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 46 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 450 games and scored 410 goals.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sho Inagaki made 346 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 20' Hayato Okuda, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' Nagoya Grampus currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' Nelson Ishiwatari has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 380 appearances.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' The 29-year-old Shunta Tanaka has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Yuya Yamagishi puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
- 49' The referee calls foul for Rikito Inoue. He receives a card.
- 53' What a strike from Yuya Yamagishi! The score is 2-0.
- 54' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Yumeki Yokoyama comes on to replace Reiya Sakata.
- 59' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 61' Brilliant from the ! Ryuji Izumi makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 61.
- 63' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Motohiko Nakajima.
- 68' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Hidemasa Koda by Yuya Asano on 68 minute.
- 73' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Masaya Shibayama is withdrawn and Shinji Kagawa gets his opportunity.
- 74' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Thiago Andrade is replaced by Shion Homma on 74 minute.
- 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tsukasa Morishima suffering a number of foals already.
- 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Shion Homma on 83.
- 85' The whistle greets Hayato Okuda as he departs to be replaced by Dion Cools.
- 89' Soichiro Mori is replacing Yuki Nogami for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 90' Yudai Kimura was booked on 90.
- 90' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Tsukasa Morishima departs to be replaced by Takuya Uchida.
- Full Time. Nagoya Grampus beats Cerezo Osaka FC
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Soichiro Mori 89'
- 14
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Masahito Ono 89'
- 31
- 27
-
19
Hidemasa Koda ↓ Yuya Asano 68'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Shungo Sugiura 68'
- 22
Bench
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↑ 90'
- 18
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 68'
- 33
- 6
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 89'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 68'
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↑ 89'
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 44
- 23
- 66
- 10
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 74'
- 4
- 18
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↓ Yumeki Yokoyama 54'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Dion Cools 85'
- 48
- 9
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 85'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 73'
- 6
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 54'
- 5
- 3
- 21
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 74'
-
14
Yumeki Yokoyama ↑ 54'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
72%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
49%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–0 not predicted3 – 0Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 18% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

