Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
- Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
- Assistant 2 Ryo Hirama
11 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 5.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| 18 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 5–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Feb | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 46 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Cerezo Osaka FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ayumu Ohata, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' Hayato Okuda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 46' Nagoya Grampus is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yuya Yamagishi on 46.
- 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rikito Inoue on 49.
- 53' Goal! Yuya Yamagishi scores his 41 goal in 200 matches.
- 54' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Reiya Sakata departs to be replaced by Yumeki Yokoyama.
- 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 61' GOAL! Ryuji Izumi scores on 61. Assisted by Yudai Kimura
- 63' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Yuya Asano. He replaces Hidemasa Koda on 68 minute.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Shinji Kagawa. He replaces Masaya Shibayama on 73 minute.
- 74' Shion Homma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thiago Andrade on 74 minute.
- 79' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
- 83' Shion Homma is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
- 85' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Hayato Okuda is replaced by Dion Cools.
- 89' Soichiro Mori has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Nogami on 89 minute.
- 90' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 90.
- 90' Takuya Uchida has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Cerezo Osaka FC.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Soichiro Mori 89'
- 14
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Masahito Ono 89'
- 31
- 27
-
19
Hidemasa Koda ↓ Yuya Asano 68'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Shungo Sugiura 68'
- 22
Bench
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↑ 90'
- 18
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 68'
- 33
- 6
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 89'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 68'
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↑ 89'
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 44
- 23
- 66
- 10
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 74'
- 4
- 18
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↓ Yumeki Yokoyama 54'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Dion Cools 85'
- 48
- 9
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 85'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 73'
- 6
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 54'
- 5
- 3
- 21
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 74'
-
14
Yumeki Yokoyama ↑ 54'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
72%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
49%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–0 not predicted3 – 0Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 18% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

