Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 06:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 27,248 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuya Yamagishi 46' 1–0
Yuya Yamagishi 53' 2–0
Ryuji Izumi 61' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
  • Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
  • Assistant 2 Ryo Hirama
11 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W
22 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 5–6 L
18 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
14 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–3 L
07 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 5–1 W
01 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 5–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L
22 Mar Vissel Kobe H 1–1 D
18 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–2 L
14 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 2–1 W
07 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–0 D
28 Feb V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Cerezo Osaka FC
#3 Position #2
31 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
46 Scored 48
44 Conceded 38
+2 GD +10
1.72 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 61%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Cerezo Osaka FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ayumu Ohata, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' Hayato Okuda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' Nagoya Grampus is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yuya Yamagishi on 46.
  • 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rikito Inoue on 49.
  • 53' Goal! Yuya Yamagishi scores his 41 goal in 200 matches.
  • 54' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Reiya Sakata departs to be replaced by Yumeki Yokoyama.
  • 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' GOAL! Ryuji Izumi scores on 61. Assisted by Yudai Kimura
  • 63' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Yuya Asano. He replaces Hidemasa Koda on 68 minute.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Shinji Kagawa. He replaces Masaya Shibayama on 73 minute.
  • 74' Shion Homma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thiago Andrade on 74 minute.
  • 79' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
  • 83' Shion Homma is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Hayato Okuda is replaced by Dion Cools.
  • 89' Soichiro Mori has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Nogami on 89 minute.
  • 90' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 90.
  • 90' Takuya Uchida has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Cerezo Osaka FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus51% Draw21% Cerezo Osaka FC28%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
72%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
49%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus38% Draw36% Cerezo Osaka FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–0 not predicted
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 14% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 18% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.