Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 46 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Nagoya Grampus welcome Cerezo Osaka FC for this crunch clash at Toyota Stadium.
- 5' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' Japan international Teruki Hara has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Shinji Kagawa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
- 35' Yota Sato, a Japan , has 10 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 37' Brilliant from the ! Yuki Nogami makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 37.
- 42' Katsuhiro Nakayama has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 45' Yudai Kimura adds to his 1 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 46' Motohiko Nakajima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Masaya Shibayama on 46 minute.
- 51' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 54' The whistle greets Katsuhiro Nakayama as he departs to be replaced by Shuhei Tokumoto.
- 59' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 64' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 68' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Shinnosuke Hatanaka is withdrawn and Ryosuke Shindo gets his opportunity.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Niko Takahashi. He replaces Ayumu Ohata on 69 minute.
- 74' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 76' Shinji Kagawa makes way for Vitor Bueno at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 79' Kensuke Nagai is replacing Yuki Nogami for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 84' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 84.
- 85' What composure from Vitor Bueno! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 90' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taichi Kikuchi is hanging Mateus on the field on 90 minute.
- Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Kensuke Nagai 79'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Gen Kato 90'
- 15
- 16
- 13
- 7
-
10
Mateus ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 90'
- 70
- 27
- 3
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 79'
Bench
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 79'
- 21
- 77
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 79'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 90'
- 6
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 54'
- 20
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Vitor Bueno 76'
- 44
- 9
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Niko Takahashi 69'
- 10
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Reiya Sakata 46'
- 31
- 19
- 48
- 1
Bench
-
3
Ryosuke Shindo ↑ 68'
- 35
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 46'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 76'
- 4
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 46'
- 16
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 69'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Shuhei Akasaki | 2 |
| Kennedy Egbus Mikuni | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.31
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
66%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3%
4 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.