Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 46 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against Cerezo Osaka FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Katsuhiro Nakayama has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Cerezo Osaka FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 15' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 37' Yuki Nogami puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
- 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' GOAL! Yudai Kimura scores on 45. Assisted by Sho Inagaki
- 46' Motohiko Nakajima is replacing Masaya Shibayama for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 51' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 54' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Katsuhiro Nakayama has done his job and it is now time for Shuhei Tokumoto to step up.
- 59' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- 64' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 68' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Shinnosuke Hatanaka is replaced by Ryosuke Shindo.
- 69' Ayumu Ohata makes way for Niko Takahashi at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 74' Cerezo Osaka FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Solomon Sakuragawa scoring 2 goals.
- 76' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vitor Bueno is hanging Shinji Kagawa on the field on 76 minute.
- 79' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 79 minute. Yuki Nogami leaves to be changed by Kensuke Nagai.
- 84' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 85' Vitor Bueno does the damage! The net is bulging and Cerezo Osaka FC surge ahead!
- 90' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Taichi Kikuchi comes on to replace Mateus.
- Cerezo Osaka FC will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Kensuke Nagai 79'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Gen Kato 90'
- 15
- 16
- 13
- 7
-
10
Mateus ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 90'
- 70
- 27
- 3
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 79'
Bench
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 79'
- 21
- 77
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 79'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 90'
- 6
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 54'
- 20
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Vitor Bueno 76'
- 44
- 9
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Niko Takahashi 69'
- 10
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Reiya Sakata 46'
- 31
- 19
- 48
- 1
Bench
-
3
Ryosuke Shindo ↑ 68'
- 35
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 46'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 76'
- 4
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 46'
- 16
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 69'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.31
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
66%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3%
4 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.