Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 46 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nagoya Grampus is hosting Cerezo Osaka FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Cerezo Osaka FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 37' Yuki Nogami has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
- 42' Niko Takahashi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 45' GOAL! Yudai Kimura scores on 45. Assisted by Sho Inagaki
- 46' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Motohiko Nakajima comes on to replace Masaya Shibayama.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 54' The whistle greets Katsuhiro Nakayama as he departs to be replaced by Shuhei Tokumoto.
- 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
- 68' Ryosuke Shindo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shinnosuke Hatanaka on 68 minute.
- 69' The whistle greets Ayumu Ohata as he departs to be replaced by Niko Takahashi.
- 74' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 76' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Shinji Kagawa is withdrawn and Vitor Bueno gets his opportunity.
- 79' The whistle greets Yuki Nogami as he departs to be replaced by Kensuke Nagai.
- 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shinji Kagawa made 521 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' Vitor Bueno doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Taichi Kikuchi. He replaces Mateus on 90 minute.
- 2-1 the final result. Cerezo Osaka FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Kensuke Nagai 79'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Gen Kato 90'
- 15
- 16
- 13
- 7
-
10
Mateus ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 90'
- 70
- 27
- 3
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 79'
Bench
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 79'
- 21
- 77
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 79'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 90'
- 6
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 54'
- 20
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Vitor Bueno 76'
- 44
- 9
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Niko Takahashi 69'
- 10
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Reiya Sakata 46'
- 31
- 19
- 48
- 1
Bench
-
3
Ryosuke Shindo ↑ 68'
- 35
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 46'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 76'
- 4
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 46'
- 16
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 69'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.31
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
66%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3%
4 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.