Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 46 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka FC is underway.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Brazil international Thiago Andrade has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Cerezo Osaka FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Pablo Sabbag scoring 1 goals.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' Yohei Takeda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cerezo Osaka FC tonight.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yudai Kimura suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 37' Yuki Nogami adds to his 0 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' The Japan Yudai Kimura breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 2-0!
- 46' Motohiko Nakajima is ready to make an impact after coming on for Masaya Shibayama at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Vitor Bueno made 387 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 54' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 54 minute. Katsuhiro Nakayama leaves to be changed by Shuhei Tokumoto.
- 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 68' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 68 minute. Shinnosuke Hatanaka leaves to be changed by Ryosuke Shindo.
- 69' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Ayumu Ohata trudges off to be replaced by Niko Takahashi on 69 minutes.
- 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 76' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Shinji Kagawa exits the field as Vitor Bueno enters on 76.
- 79' The whistle greets Yuki Nogami as he departs to be replaced by Kensuke Nagai.
- 84' The 33-year-old Ryuji Izumi has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 85' What composure from Vitor Bueno! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Taichi Kikuchi. He replaces Mateus on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Kensuke Nagai 79'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Gen Kato 90'
- 15
- 16
- 13
- 7
-
10
Mateus ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 90'
- 70
- 27
- 3
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 79'
Bench
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 79'
- 21
- 77
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 79'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 90'
- 6
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 54'
- 20
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Vitor Bueno 76'
- 44
- 9
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Niko Takahashi 69'
- 10
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Reiya Sakata 46'
- 31
- 19
- 48
- 1
Bench
-
3
Ryosuke Shindo ↑ 68'
- 35
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 46'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 76'
- 4
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 46'
- 16
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 69'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Shuhei Akasaki | 2 |
| Kennedy Egbus Mikuni | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.31
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
66%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3%
4 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.