Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
1 1
Full Time
Tue 21 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
3
Millwall FC 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals Burnley FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Burnley FC H 1–1 D
18 Feb Sheffield United FC H 3–2 W
14 Feb Coventry City FC A 0–1 L
11 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
04 Feb Sunderland AFC H 1–1 D
21 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Millwall FC A 1–1 D
18 Feb Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
14 Feb Watford FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Preston North End FC H 3–0 W
07 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 2–1 W
04 Feb Norwich City FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at The Den. Millwall FC are looking to make home advantage count against Burnley FC.
  • 5' Arijanet Muric has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Aidomo Emakhu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Anass Zaroury is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
  • 20' Burnley FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 25' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 26' The referee has no hesitation. Ameen Al Dakhil is booked for Burnley FC — Yellow card on 26.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. Millwall FC in their trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact .
  • 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Rowett will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' Murray Wallace has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 382 appearances.
  • 51' Magnificent from Ashley Barnes! That is 42 goals in 342 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 52' A stunning finish from Ashley Barnes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 57' A quiet spell here at The Den. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 62' Millwall FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's shape.
  • 67' Jake Cooper has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 72' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Jamie Shackleton departs to be replaced by Romain Esse.
  • 73' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Duncan Watmore is withdrawn and Tom Bradshaw gets his opportunity.
  • 77' The referee has no hesitation. Tom Bradshaw is booked for Millwall FC — Yellow card on 77.
  • 82' Josh Brownhill is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 83' Charlie Taylor is replacing Ian Maatsen for the Burnley FC side.
  • 85' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tom Bradshaw makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 87' Nathan Tella has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vitinho on 87 minute.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Burnley FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC33% Draw30% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Burnley FC
67%
Millwall FC or Burnley FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC22% Draw50% Burnley FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
10.8%
1 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.