Burnley FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Watford FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | Preston North End FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Jan | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Feb | Reading FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Rotherham United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | Blackpool FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Burnley FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #20 |
| 10 | Points | 15 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 1 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 8 |
| 22 | Scored | 13 |
| 31 | Conceded | 23 |
| -9 | GD | -10 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 7% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Burnley FC are 22nd (10 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Largie Ramazani | 4 G | 1 A |
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Burnley FC vs Watford FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 13' Connor Roberts picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 18' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact .
- 23' Arijanet Muric is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
- 28' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 32' Joao Pedro puts Watford FC on the lead.
- 36' Watford FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 40' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ameen Al Dakhil is hanging Louis Beyer on the field on 40 minute.
- 41' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Ameen Al Dakhil comes on to replace Louis Beyer.
- 46' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Arijanet Muric by Bailey Peacock-Farrell on 46 minute.
- 51' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 58' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ashley Barnes.
- 63' With 2 assists to his name this season, Hassane Kamara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Watford FC.
- 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Slaven Bilic will be considering his options from the bench.
- 69' Henrique Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ken Sema on 69 minute.
- 71' The referee shows Watford FC player a Yellow card on 71.
- 71' Lyle Foster gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Ashley Barnes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' The crowd applauds Ismael Kone as he leaves the pitch. Imran Louza steps in for Watford FC.
- 81' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 85' A moment of madness from Joao Pedro on 85 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 86' The crowd applauds Connor Roberts as he leaves the pitch. Michael Obafemi steps in for Burnley FC.
- 87' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Joao Pedro exits the field as Christian Kabasele enters on 87.
- 90' Michael Obafemi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 7
-
10
Ashley Barnes ↓ Lyle Foster 71'
- 14
- 49
- 24
-
36
Louis Beyer ↓ Ameen Al Dakhil 40'
- 29
- 23
- 19
- 18
Bench
- 4
-
15
Bailey Peacock-Farrell ↑ 46'
-
11
Scott Twine ↑ 71'
- 22
-
45
Michael Obafemi ↑ 86'
-
12
Lyle Foster ↑ 71'
-
28
Ameen Al Dakhil ↑ 40'
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Henrique Araujo 69'
- 44
-
7
Keinan Davis ↓ Matheus Martins 69'
- 23
- 14
- 3
- 1
- 22
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Christian Kabasele 87'
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Imran Louza 76'
Bench
-
27
Christian Kabasele ↑ 87'
- 26
- 34
-
6
Imran Louza ↑ 76'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 69'
- 42
-
21
Henrique Araujo ↑ 69'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| James Tarkowski | 2 |
| Kwadwo Baah | 1 |
| James Tarkowski | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
| Ashley Barnes | 1 |
| Mamadou Doumbia | 1 |
| Chris Wood | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Watford FC
49%
Burnley FC or Watford FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.