Burnley FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Watford FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | Preston North End FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Jan | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Feb | Reading FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Rotherham United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | Blackpool FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Burnley FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Slaven Bilic will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 13' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Connor Roberts on 13 minutes.
- 18' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 23' With 0 assists to his name this season, Christian Kabasele is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
- 28' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 32' Brilliant from the centre-forward! Joao Pedro makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 32.
- 36' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Hassane Kamara on 36 minutes.
- 40' Ameen Al Dakhil gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Louis Beyer and will look to change the dynamic.
- 41' Louis Beyer makes way for Ameen Al Dakhil at the 41 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
- 46' Bailey Peacock-Farrell has so much to prove this time. He replaces Arijanet Muric on 46 minute.
- 51' Ismael Kone is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact .
- 58' Ashley Barnes was booked on 58.
- 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 68' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 69' Watford FC make a change. Ken Sema trudges off to be replaced by Henrique Araujo on 69 minutes.
- 71' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ryan Porteous on 71 minutes.
- 71' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Ashley Barnes is withdrawn and Lyle Foster gets his opportunity.
- 76' Ismael Kone makes way for Imran Louza at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 81' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 85' Joao Pedro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 85.
- 86' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Connor Roberts is replaced by Michael Obafemi.
- 87' The whistle greets Joao Pedro as he departs to be replaced by Christian Kabasele.
- 90' Michael Obafemi was booked on 90.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 7
-
10
Ashley Barnes ↓ Lyle Foster 71'
- 14
- 49
- 24
-
36
Louis Beyer ↓ Ameen Al Dakhil 40'
- 29
- 23
- 19
- 18
Bench
- 4
-
15
Bailey Peacock-Farrell ↑ 46'
-
11
Scott Twine ↑ 71'
- 22
-
45
Michael Obafemi ↑ 86'
-
12
Lyle Foster ↑ 71'
-
28
Ameen Al Dakhil ↑ 40'
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Henrique Araujo 69'
- 44
-
7
Keinan Davis ↓ Matheus Martins 69'
- 23
- 14
- 3
- 1
- 22
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Christian Kabasele 87'
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Imran Louza 76'
Bench
-
27
Christian Kabasele ↑ 87'
- 26
- 34
-
6
Imran Louza ↑ 76'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 69'
- 42
-
21
Henrique Araujo ↑ 69'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| James Tarkowski | 2 |
| Kwadwo Baah | 1 |
| James Tarkowski | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
| Ashley Barnes | 1 |
| Mamadou Doumbia | 1 |
| Chris Wood | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Watford FC
52%
Burnley FC or Watford FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 23% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

