Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
1 1
Full Time
Tue 14 Feb 2023 · 20:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Watford FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Preston North End FC H 3–0 W
07 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 2–1 W
04 Feb Norwich City FC A 3–0 W
28 Jan Ipswich Town FC A 0–0 D
20 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Burnley FC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
04 Feb Reading FC A 2–2 D
28 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
21 Jan Rotherham United FC H 1–1 D
14 Jan Blackpool FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Burnley FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Slaven Bilic will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 13' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Connor Roberts on 13 minutes.
  • 18' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 23' With 0 assists to his name this season, Christian Kabasele is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
  • 28' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 32' Brilliant from the centre-forward! Joao Pedro makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 32.
  • 36' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Hassane Kamara on 36 minutes.
  • 40' Ameen Al Dakhil gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Louis Beyer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 41' Louis Beyer makes way for Ameen Al Dakhil at the 41 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • 46' Bailey Peacock-Farrell has so much to prove this time. He replaces Arijanet Muric on 46 minute.
  • 51' Ismael Kone is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact .
  • 58' Ashley Barnes was booked on 58.
  • 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 68' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 69' Watford FC make a change. Ken Sema trudges off to be replaced by Henrique Araujo on 69 minutes.
  • 71' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ryan Porteous on 71 minutes.
  • 71' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Ashley Barnes is withdrawn and Lyle Foster gets his opportunity.
  • 76' Ismael Kone makes way for Imran Louza at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 81' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 85' Joao Pedro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 85.
  • 86' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Connor Roberts is replaced by Michael Obafemi.
  • 87' The whistle greets Joao Pedro as he departs to be replaced by Christian Kabasele.
  • 90' Michael Obafemi was booked on 90.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC48% Draw28% Watford FC24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Watford FC
52%
Burnley FC or Watford FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC31% Draw50% Watford FC19%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.