Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 21 Dec 2025 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Central Coast Mariners FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee
23 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Central Coast Mariners FC H 3–1 W
14 Dec Newcastle United Jets FC H 1–3 L
06 Dec Auckland FC A 1–3 L
29 Nov Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
22 Nov Macarthur FC H 0–1 L
08 Nov Auckland FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–3 L
12 Dec Auckland FC H 1–2 L
06 Dec Sydney FC H 1–2 L
29 Nov Melbourne City FC H 0–0 D
22 Nov Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
07 Nov Perth Glory FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Central Coast Mariners FC
#8 Position #9
33 Points 32
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 10
36 Scored 35
48 Conceded 42
-12 GD -7
1.27 PPG 1.23
35% Win % 31%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Central Coast Mariners FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Central Coast Mariners FC
0-15
/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A
Central Coast Mariners FC
Sabit James 6 G 2 A
Ali Auglah 5 G
Bailey Brandtman 4 G 2 A
Alfie McCalmont 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.84 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC49% Draw24% Central Coast Mariners FC27%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC
51%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Central Coast Mariners FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC34% Draw42% Central Coast Mariners FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.