Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 14 Dec 2025 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee Alex King

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Newcastle United Jets FC H 1–3 L
06 Dec Auckland FC A 1–3 L
29 Nov Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
22 Nov Macarthur FC H 0–1 L
08 Nov Auckland FC H 1–2 L
02 Nov Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Wellington Phoenix FC A 3–1 W
06 Dec Melbourne City FC H 0–1 L
30 Nov Auckland FC A 2–1 W
23 Nov Perth Glory FC H 1–2 L
09 Nov Brisbane Roar FC A 0–3 L
01 Nov Sydney FC H 1–4 L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Newcastle United Jets FC
#8 Position #1
33 Points 48
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 15 / 3 / 8
36 Scored 55
48 Conceded 39
-12 GD +16
1.27 PPG 1.85
35% Win % 58%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Newcastle United Jets FC xG
I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Newcastle United Jets FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC31% Draw24% Newcastle United Jets FC45%
Actual: Newcastle United Jets FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC
69%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Newcastle United Jets FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC23% Draw39% Newcastle United Jets FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
0 – 3
4.1%
0 – 0
3.6%
1 – 4
3.4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 14% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.