Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 20 Dec 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee
7 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Melbourne City FC A 1–0 W
13 Dec Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
05 Dec Macarthur FC A 0–0 D
28 Nov Brisbane Roar FC A 0–1 L
22 Nov Sydney FC A 0–3 L
08 Nov Melbourne City FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Melbourne Victory FC
#6 Position #4
38 Points 40
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
33 Scored 44
33 Conceded 33
+0 GD +11
1.46 PPG 1.54
38% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.01 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC33% Draw30% Melbourne Victory FC37%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
67%
Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC21% Draw52% Melbourne Victory FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.