Thursday , 2 July 2026

Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Auckland FC A 1–3 L
29 Nov Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
22 Nov Macarthur FC H 0–1 L
08 Nov Auckland FC H 1–2 L
02 Nov Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–1 D
26 Oct Brisbane Roar FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Auckland FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#3 Position #8
42 Points 33
26 Played 26
11 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
42 Scored 36
29 Conceded 48
+13 GD -12
1.62 PPG 1.27
42% Win % 35%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
31% Clean Sheets
Auckland FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Auckland FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Auckland FC
Sam Cosgrove 12 G 4 A
Jesse Randall 9 G 8 A
Lachlan Brook 9 G 2 A
Guillermo May Bartesaghi 6 G 4 A
Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Auckland FC Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.44 Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Auckland FC to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC67% Draw19% Wellington Phoenix FC14%
Actual: Auckland FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Auckland FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
33%
Auckland FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC49% Draw38% Wellington Phoenix FC13%
Actual: Auckland FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
4.5%
0 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Auckland FC

Handicap Auckland FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 20% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 21% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.