Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Auckland FC A 1–3 L
29 Nov Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
22 Nov Macarthur FC H 0–1 L
08 Nov Auckland FC H 1–2 L
02 Nov Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–1 D
26 Oct Brisbane Roar FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Auckland FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#3 Position #8
42 Points 33
26 Played 26
11 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
42 Scored 36
29 Conceded 48
+13 GD -12
1.62 PPG 1.27
42% Win % 35%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Auckland FC Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.44 Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Auckland FC to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC67% Draw19% Wellington Phoenix FC14%
Actual: Auckland FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Auckland FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
33%
Auckland FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC49% Draw38% Wellington Phoenix FC13%
Actual: Auckland FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
4.5%
0 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Auckland FC

Handicap Auckland FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 20% 54%
-1.5 46% — 54%
-1 46% 21% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.