Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2023-24 PLAYOFFS

A League · 2023-24
Sun 5 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Kate Jacewicz

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Melbourne City FC
#4 Position #6
40 Points 38
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
44 Scored 33
33 Conceded 33
+11 GD +0
1.54 PPG 1.46
42% Win % 38%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Melbourne City FC gets underway.
  • 5' The referee has no hesitation. Samuel Souprayen is booked for Melbourne City FC — card on 5.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 11' Daniel Arzani is having his name booked by the referee on 11.
  • 16' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne City FC's compact .
  • 21' Melbourne City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 26' Melbourne City FC have won 386 goals from 208 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 29' Samuel Souprayen doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 34' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Zinedine Machach on 37 minutes.
  • 38' James Jeggo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 38.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jamie MacLaren on 41.
  • 46' Melbourne City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
  • 50' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Bruno Fornaroli gets a card.
  • 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 60' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 65' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tony Popović might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Jake Brimmer is replaced by Jordi Valadon on 68 minute.
  • 73' Paul Izzo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 75' The Melbourne City FC bench stirs into life. Jamie MacLaren is withdrawn and Max Caputo gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Bruno Fornaroli makes way for Chris Ikonomidis at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Popović will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Adama Traore as he leaves the pitch. Kasey Bos steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 88' What a moment for Nishan Velupillay! That strike on 88 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' Terry Antonis catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The points are shared — Melbourne Victory FC 3-2 Melbourne City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC50% Draw25% Melbourne City FC25%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
50%
Melbourne Victory FC or Melbourne City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC35% Draw43% Melbourne City FC22%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.