Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Fri 19 Jan 2024 · 06:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 35' Adama Traore

Tim Payne 45' R

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kearney Robinson
Referee Daniel Elder

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-19 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-04-01 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–1	D
14 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	4–3	W
04 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	2–2	D
29 Dec	Sydney FC	A	1–3	L
23 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–0	W
18 Dec	Macarthur FC	A	3–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–1	D
13 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–1	D
06 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	3–2	W
30 Dec	Adelaide United FC	H	2–0	W
23 Dec	Melbourne City FC	A	0–0	D
16 Dec	Sydney FC	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#8	Position	#4
33	Points	40
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
36	Scored	44
48	Conceded	33
-12	GD	+11
1.27	PPG	1.54
35%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Wellington Phoenix FC host Melbourne Victory FC — let the battle begin!
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
20' Melbourne Victory FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
35' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 35.
40' Ben Old is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Wellington Phoenix FC tonight.
45' The referee shows Wellington Phoenix FC player a card on 45.
50' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Roderick Miranda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
55' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
63' Connor Chapman has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chris Ikonomidis on 63 minute.
68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chris Ikonomidis made 209 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
69' Fresh legs for Wellington Phoenix FC! Sam Sutton comes on to replace David Ball.
74' Jordi Valadon is replacing Jake Brimmer for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
79' What a moment for Connor Chapman! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
82' Daniel Arzani makes way for Eli Adams at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
83' The whistle greets Nicholas Pennington as he departs to be replaced by Mohamed Al-Taay.
88' The travelling Melbourne Victory FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
89' Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luke Supyk is hanging Bozhidar Kraev on the field on 89 minute.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

10
David Ball ↓ Sam Sutton 69'
4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses
14
Alex Rufer
11
Bozhidar Kraev ↓ Luke Supyk 89'
6
Tim Payne
40
Alex Paulsen
3
Finn Surman
15
Nicholas Pennington ↓ Mohamed Al-Taay 83'
8
Ben Old
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald ↓ Oskar van Hattum 83'

Bench

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 63'
14
Connor Chapman ↑ 63'
12
Ryan Teague ↑ 63'
24
Eli Adams ↑ 82'
40
Christian Siciliano
28
Franco Lino
27
Jordi Valadon ↑ 74'

Coach Tony Popović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Roy Krishna	4
Oskar Zawada	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Kosta Barbarouses	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2024-01-19 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-01-14 Perth Glory FC 3–4 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-01-04 Adelaide United FC 2–2 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-12-29 Sydney FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2023-12-23 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–0 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2023-12-18 Macarthur FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-01-19 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-01-13 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-01-06 Perth Glory FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-12-30 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC W 2023-12-23 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2023-12-16 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Sydney FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.29 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.76 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC31% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC42%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.05

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

57%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

69%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC22% Draw44% Melbourne Victory FC34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 1

7.5%

0 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

6.7%

0 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 3

5.3%

1 – 0

5.3%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

3.9%

2 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	15%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	21%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.