Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 6 Apr 2024 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee Lara Lee
7 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Melbourne City FC
#4 Position #6
40 Points 38
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
44 Scored 33
33 Conceded 33
+11 GD +0
1.54 PPG 1.46
42% Win % 38%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Melbourne Victory FC launch into their encounter with Melbourne City FC.
  • 4' Tolgay Arslan makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Melbourne City FC are in front.
  • 7' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Daniel Arzani gets a card.
  • 12' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne City FC's compact .
  • 17' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 22' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 27' Callum Talbot catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 27.
  • 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 34' Bruno Fornaroli doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jason Geria, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 40' That looks like a foul for a card for Damien da Silva.
  • 45' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • 60' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Mathew Leckie. He replaces Leo Natel on 62 minute.
  • 66' Controversy at the stadium! Max Caputo argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 71' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Melbourne City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 72' Melbourne City FC ring the changes. Max Caputo has done his job and it is now time for Jamie MacLaren to step up.
  • 77' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 82' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 83' Zinedine Machach was booked on 83.
  • 83' Chris Ikonomidis is ready to make an impact after coming on for Zinedine Machach at the 83 minute mark.
  • 86' Against the run of play, Damien da Silva has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Daniel Arzani by Roly Bonevacia on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.68 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC53% Draw25% Melbourne City FC22%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
47%
Melbourne Victory FC or Melbourne City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC36% Draw46% Melbourne City FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.