Sunday , 16 August 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 6 Apr 2024 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee Lara Lee
20 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 6.1 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Melbourne City FC
#4 Position #6
40 Points 38
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
44 Scored 33
33 Conceded 33
+11 GD +0
1.54 PPG 1.46
42% Win % 38%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
Melbourne City FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne City FC
0-15
/
16-30
4/
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/
61-75
3/
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Melbourne City FC
Max Caputo 8 G 1 A
Marcus Younis 7 G 3 A
Medin Memeti 5 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.68 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC53% Draw25% Melbourne City FC22%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
47%
Melbourne Victory FC or Melbourne City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC36% Draw46% Melbourne City FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.