Wellington Phoenix FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Brisbane Roar FC

Sun 31 Mar 2024 · 00:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

David Ball 43' Y

Y 73' Henry Hore

Alex Rufer 81' R

Y 90' Corey Brown

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kearney Robinson
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Brisbane Roar FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-31 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-02-02 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-11-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 5–2 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-04-16 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-01-14 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
16 Mar	Sydney FC	H	2–1	W
09 Mar	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L
03 Mar	Adelaide United FC	H	3–2	W
24 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	0–0	D
18 Feb	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Mar	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	0–1	L
16 Mar	Macarthur FC	H	1–2	L
10 Mar	Sydney FC	A	1–1	D
03 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	H	3–2	W
23 Feb	Western United FC	H	2–2	D
17 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–3	L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Brisbane Roar FC
#8	Position	#11
33	Points	26
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 12
36	Scored	27
48	Conceded	36
-12	GD	-9
1.27	PPG	1.00
35%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Wellington Phoenix FC and Brisbane Roar FC has kicked off!
2' The deadlock is broken! Bozhidar Kraev gets on the scoresheet on 2 minutes.
7' Nikola Mileusnic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 233 appearances.
12' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alex Paulsen made 209 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
17' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wellington Phoenix FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
22' The home supporters are growing impatient. Wellington Phoenix FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
27' With 0 assists to his name this season, Thomas Waddingham is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Brisbane Roar FC.
32' Wellington Phoenix FC looks like a favorite considering 3 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
42' The energy levels are beginning to show. Giancarlo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
43' The referee has no hesitation. David Ball is booked for Wellington Phoenix FC — card on 43.
48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
53' Brisbane Roar FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
57' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Mohamed Al-Taay is withdrawn and Ben Old gets his opportunity.
62' It’s high time Luciano Trani made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
66' The supporters are chanting for Oskar van Hattum. He replaces David Ball on 66 minute.
71' Kai Trewin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
73' The referee calls foul for Henry Hore. He receives a card.
73' Jez Lofthouse is replacing Nikola Mileusnic for the Brisbane Roar FC side.
78' Supporters expect more eagerness from Macklin Freke, as he is very good at scoring at Wellington Regional Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
81' Poor challenge from Alex Rufer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
83' The whistle greets Kosta Barbarouses as he departs to be replaced by Lukas Kelly-Heald.
88' Brisbane Roar FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
90' Corey Brown catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
90' Ayom Majok is ready to make an impact after coming on for Antonee Burke-Gilroy at the 90 minute mark.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

10
David Ball ↓ Oskar van Hattum 66'
4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Lukas Kelly-Heald 83'
14
Alex Rufer
11
Bozhidar Kraev
19
Sam Sutton
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↓ Ben Old 57'
40
Alex Paulsen
3
Finn Surman
15
Nicholas Pennington ↓ Matt Sheridan 57'
17
Youstin Salas

Bench

24
Oskar van Hattum ↑ 66'
25
Jack Duncan
8
Ben Old ↑ 57'
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald ↑ 83'
5
Fin Conchie
43
Matt Sheridan ↑ 57'
23
Luke Supyk

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Corey Brown
10
Nikola Mileusnic ↓ Jez Lofthouse 73'
5
Tom Aldred
7
Florin Berenguer
1
Macklin Freke
27
Kai Trewin
23
Keegan Jelacic
13
Henry Hore ↓ Jonas Markovski 83'
21
Antonee Burke-Gilroy ↓ Ayom Majok 90'
26
Jay O'Shea
15
Thomas Waddingham

Bench

Coach Luciano Trani

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Oskar Zawada	6
Bozhidar Kraev	3
Steven Taylor	2
Eric Bautheac	2
Henry Hore	2
Florin Berenguer	2
Gary Hooper	2
David Williams	1

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2024-03-31 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2024-03-16 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Sydney FC W 2024-03-09 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2024-03-03 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Adelaide United FC W 2024-02-24 Perth Glory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-02-18 Macarthur FC 1–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2024-03-31 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2024-03-16 Brisbane Roar FC 1–2 Macarthur FC L 2024-03-10 Sydney FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-02-23 Brisbane Roar FC 2–2 Western United FC D 2024-02-17 Perth Glory FC 3–2 Brisbane Roar FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.7 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Brisbane Roar FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC54% Draw25% Brisbane Roar FC21%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.8

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Brisbane Roar FC

46%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Brisbane Roar FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC36% Draw45% Brisbane Roar FC19%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

8.6%

0 – 0

1 – 2

0 – 1

5.8%

3 – 1

5.3%

2 – 2

5.1%

3 – 0

4.8%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	22%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.