Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Fri 10 Nov 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 8' Nicholas Pennington

Y 18' Finn Surman

Y 45' Lukas Kelly-Heald

Jason Geria 83' Y

Y 88' Tim Payne

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Wellington Phoenix FC 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 25 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-04-01 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-02-09 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
29 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	5–3	W
21 Oct	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
29 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
04 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	H	5–2	W
28 Oct	Perth Glory FC	H	2–1	W
22 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	0–0	D
05 May	Adelaide United FC	A	0–2	L
29 Apr	Macarthur FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#9	Position	#1
3	Points	10
4	Played	4
0 / 3 / 1	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 0
5	Scored	7
6	Conceded	1
-1	GD	+6
0.75	PPG	2.50
0%	Win %	75%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

75% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

–/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Wellington Phoenix FC

Corban Piper	3 G
Riley Bidois	2 G
Nathan Walker	1 G	1 A
Rafael Duran	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC is underway.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
8' The referee shows Wellington Phoenix FC player a card on 8.
13' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 13 minutes.
14' The deadlock is broken! Ryan Teague gets on the scoresheet on 14 minutes.
18' Controversy at the stadium! Finn Surman argues furiously but the card stands.
23' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
33' Melbourne Victory FC have won 304 goals from 214 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
38' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nishan Velupillay is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wellington Phoenix FC.
41' Damien da Silva makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Melbourne Victory FC are in front.
45' Lukas Kelly-Heald catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
50' Wellington Phoenix FC is showing some good football. However, Wellington Phoenix FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
56' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Nicholas Pennington is withdrawn and David Ball gets his opportunity.
61' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
63' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Rai Marchan comes on to replace Daniel Arzani.
68' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 214 games and scored 304 goals.
71' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Lukas Kelly-Heald by Sam Sutton on 71 minute.
75' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Bruno Fornaroli trudges off to be replaced by Jake Brimmer on 75 minutes.
80' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
83' That looks like a foul for a card for Jason Geria.
87' The whistle greets Bozhidar Kraev as he departs to be replaced by Jackson Manuel.
88' The referee calls foul for Tim Payne. He receives a card.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Damien da Silva
8
Zinedine Machach
16
Stefan Nigro
20
Paul Izzo
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Rai Marchan 63'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Jake Brimmer 75'
14
Connor Chapman
12
Ryan Teague
2
Jason Geria ↓ Franco Lino 87'
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 75'
18
Fabian Monge ↓ Ben Folami 63'

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 63'
6
Leigh Broxham
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 75'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 75'
4
Rai Marchan ↑ 63'
40
Christian Siciliano
28
Franco Lino ↑ 87'

Coach Tony Popović

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
David Ball ↑ 56'
19
Sam Sutton ↑ 71'
8
Ben Old ↑ 56'
52
Jackson Manuel ↑ 87'
30
Alby Kelly-Heald
26
Isaac Hughes
42
Fergus Gillion

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Roy Krishna	4
Oskar Zawada	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Kosta Barbarouses	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-11-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 5–2 Brisbane Roar FC W 2023-10-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Perth Glory FC W 2023-10-22 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-05-05 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2023-04-29 Macarthur FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.9 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC30% Draw29% Wellington Phoenix FC41%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 2.31

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	40%	60%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

59%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

70%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC17% Draw50% Wellington Phoenix FC33%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

12.9%

0 – 0

12.2%

0 – 2

9.5%

1 – 2

8.6%

1 – 0

7.8%

2 – 1

5.5%

0 – 3

4.4%

1 – 3

4.1%

2 – 2

2 – 0

3.9%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	15%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	24%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	14%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.