Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Fri 10 Nov 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 8' Nicholas Pennington

Y 18' Finn Surman

Y 45' Lukas Kelly-Heald

Jason Geria 83' Y

Y 88' Tim Payne

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-04-01 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-02-09 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
29 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	5–3	W
21 Oct	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
29 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
04 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	H	5–2	W
28 Oct	Perth Glory FC	H	2–1	W
22 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	0–0	D
05 May	Adelaide United FC	A	0–2	L
29 Apr	Macarthur FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#4	Position	#8
40	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
44	Scored	36
33	Conceded	48
+11	GD	-12
1.54	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC has kicked off!
5' Melbourne Victory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
8' It’s a booking for Wellington Phoenix FC player. Nicholas Pennington gets a card.
13' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
14' Ryan Teague has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Finn Surman.
23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Finn Surman made 209 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
28' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
33' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Wellington Phoenix FC backline.
38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
41' Damien da Silva does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
45' Wellington Phoenix FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Popović will be considering his options from the bench.
55' Alex Rufer, a New Zealand , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
56' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Nicholas Pennington is replaced by David Ball.
61' Stefan Nigro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
63' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Daniel Arzani exits the field as Rai Marchan enters on 63.
68' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
71' Fresh legs for Wellington Phoenix FC! Sam Sutton comes on to replace Lukas Kelly-Heald.
75' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Jake Brimmer on, Bruno Fornaroli off on 75 minutes.
80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jason Geria on 83.
87' The supporters are chanting for Jackson Manuel. He replaces Bozhidar Kraev on 87 minute.
88' Tim Payne has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 88.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Damien da Silva
8
Zinedine Machach
16
Stefan Nigro
20
Paul Izzo
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Rai Marchan 63'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Jake Brimmer 75'
14
Connor Chapman
12
Ryan Teague
2
Jason Geria ↓ Franco Lino 87'
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 75'
18
Fabian Monge ↓ Ben Folami 63'

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 63'
6
Leigh Broxham
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 75'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 75'
4
Rai Marchan ↑ 63'
40
Christian Siciliano
28
Franco Lino ↑ 87'

Coach Tony Popović

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
David Ball ↑ 56'
19
Sam Sutton ↑ 71'
8
Ben Old ↑ 56'
52
Jackson Manuel ↑ 87'
30
Alby Kelly-Heald
26
Isaac Hughes
42
Fergus Gillion

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
David Ball	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-11-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 5–2 Brisbane Roar FC W 2023-10-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Perth Glory FC W 2023-10-22 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-05-05 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2023-04-29 Macarthur FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.03 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC55% Draw24% Wellington Phoenix FC21%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.13

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

45%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC42% Draw42% Wellington Phoenix FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

8.9%

1 – 0

8.2%

3 – 1

6.4%

0 – 0

3 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 2

5.2%

0 – 1

4.1%

3 – 2

3.6%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	18%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	22%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.