Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Fri 10 Nov 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 8' Nicholas Pennington

Y 18' Finn Surman

Y 45' Lukas Kelly-Heald

Jason Geria 83' Y

Y 88' Tim Payne

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-04-01 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-02-09 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
29 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	5–3	W
21 Oct	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
29 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
04 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	H	5–2	W
28 Oct	Perth Glory FC	H	2–1	W
22 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	0–0	D
05 May	Adelaide United FC	A	0–2	L
29 Apr	Macarthur FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#4	Position	#8
40	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
44	Scored	36
33	Conceded	48
+11	GD	-12
1.54	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC get this one started.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sam Sutton, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
8' That looks like a foul for a card for Nicholas Pennington.
13' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
14' Ryan Teague puts Melbourne Victory FC on the lead.
18' It’s gonna be a card for Finn Surman.
23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zinedine Machach suffering a number of foals already.
33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
38' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Wellington Phoenix FC's shape.
41' Damien da Silva is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
45' Wellington Phoenix FC player sees a card in front of him.
50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alex Rufer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Melbourne Victory FC.
55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alex Paulsen made 209 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
56' The crowd applauds Nicholas Pennington as he leaves the pitch. David Ball steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
63' The supporters are chanting for Rai Marchan. He replaces Daniel Arzani on 63 minute.
68' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
71' A change in the Wellington Phoenix FC ranks — Lukas Kelly-Heald exits the field as Sam Sutton enters on 71.
75' Jake Brimmer is replacing Bruno Fornaroli for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
80' Fabian Monge has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
83' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a card on 83.
87' Jackson Manuel has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bozhidar Kraev on 87 minute.
88' Tim Payne catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Damien da Silva
8
Zinedine Machach
16
Stefan Nigro
20
Paul Izzo
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Rai Marchan 63'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Jake Brimmer 75'
14
Connor Chapman
12
Ryan Teague
2
Jason Geria ↓ Franco Lino 87'
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 75'
18
Fabian Monge ↓ Ben Folami 63'

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 63'
6
Leigh Broxham
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 75'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 75'
4
Rai Marchan ↑ 63'
40
Christian Siciliano
28
Franco Lino ↑ 87'

Coach Tony Popović

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
David Ball ↑ 56'
19
Sam Sutton ↑ 71'
8
Ben Old ↑ 56'
52
Jackson Manuel ↑ 87'
30
Alby Kelly-Heald
26
Isaac Hughes
42
Fergus Gillion

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Jake Brimmer	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-11-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 5–2 Brisbane Roar FC W 2023-10-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Perth Glory FC W 2023-10-22 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-05-05 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2023-04-29 Macarthur FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.03 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC55% Draw24% Wellington Phoenix FC21%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.13

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

45%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC42% Draw42% Wellington Phoenix FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

8.9%

1 – 0

8.2%

3 – 1

6.4%

0 – 0

3 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 2

5.2%

0 – 1

4.1%

3 – 2

3.6%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	18%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	22%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.