Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Fri 10 Nov 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 8' Nicholas Pennington

Y 18' Finn Surman

Y 45' Lukas Kelly-Heald

Jason Geria 83' Y

Y 88' Tim Payne

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-04-01 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-02-09 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
29 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	5–3	W
21 Oct	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
29 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
04 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	H	5–2	W
28 Oct	Perth Glory FC	H	2–1	W
22 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	0–0	D
05 May	Adelaide United FC	A	0–2	L
29 Apr	Macarthur FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#4	Position	#8
40	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
44	Scored	36
33	Conceded	48
+11	GD	-12
1.54	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at AAMI Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC.
5' Wellington Phoenix FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
8' Nicholas Pennington picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
13' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
14' What a strike from Ryan Teague! The score is 1-0.
18' Finn Surman was booked on 18.
23' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
28' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
33' Australia international Franco Lino has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
38' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
41' Brilliant from the ! Damien da Silva makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 41.
45' It’s a booking for Wellington Phoenix FC player. Lukas Kelly-Heald gets a card.
50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
55' Lukas Kelly-Heald has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 209 appearances.
56' The crowd applauds Nicholas Pennington as he leaves the pitch. David Ball steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
63' The whistle greets Daniel Arzani as he departs to be replaced by Rai Marchan.
68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Popović will be considering his options from the bench.
71' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Lukas Kelly-Heald is replaced by Sam Sutton.
75' The whistle greets Bruno Fornaroli as he departs to be replaced by Jake Brimmer.
80' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Wellington Phoenix FC's compact .
83' The referee has no hesitation. Jason Geria is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 83.
87' Jackson Manuel is replacing Bozhidar Kraev for the Wellington Phoenix FC side.
88' The referee shows Wellington Phoenix FC player a card on 88.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Damien da Silva
8
Zinedine Machach
16
Stefan Nigro
20
Paul Izzo
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Rai Marchan 63'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Jake Brimmer 75'
14
Connor Chapman
12
Ryan Teague
2
Jason Geria ↓ Franco Lino 87'
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 75'
18
Fabian Monge ↓ Ben Folami 63'

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 63'
6
Leigh Broxham
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 75'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 75'
4
Rai Marchan ↑ 63'
40
Christian Siciliano
28
Franco Lino ↑ 87'

Coach Tony Popović

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
David Ball ↑ 56'
19
Sam Sutton ↑ 71'
8
Ben Old ↑ 56'
52
Jackson Manuel ↑ 87'
30
Alby Kelly-Heald
26
Isaac Hughes
42
Fergus Gillion

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Roy Krishna	4
Oskar Zawada	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Kosta Barbarouses	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-11-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 5–2 Brisbane Roar FC W 2023-10-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Perth Glory FC W 2023-10-22 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-05-05 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2023-04-29 Macarthur FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.03 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC55% Draw24% Wellington Phoenix FC21%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.13

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

45%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC42% Draw42% Wellington Phoenix FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

8.9%

1 – 0

8.2%

3 – 1

6.4%

0 – 0

3 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 2

5.2%

0 – 1

4.1%

3 – 2

3.6%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	18%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	22%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.