Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2022-23

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 50' Connor Chapman

Y 77' Chris Ikonomidis

Y 79' Chris Ikonomidis

Y 90' Bruno Fornaroli

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-01 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-02-09 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2021-03-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 4–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Apr	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–2	L
17 Mar	Adelaide United FC	A	1–5	L
12 Mar	Sydney FC	H	1–0	W
04 Mar	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–1	W
24 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–1	D
17 Feb	Western United FC	A	3–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–1	W
19 Mar	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–0	W
13 Mar	Western United FC	H	1–2	L
04 Mar	Sydney FC	A	0–1	L
26 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#8	Position	#4
33	Points	40
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
36	Scored	44
48	Conceded	33
-12	GD	+11
1.27	PPG	1.54
35%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC get this one started.
5' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wellington Phoenix FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
15' Bruno Fornaroli has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
20' Wellington Phoenix FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' Oskar Zawada has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 25 minutes.
26' Brilliant from the forward! Oskar Zawada makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 26.
31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yan Sasse suffering a number of foals already.
36' Both keepers have barely been tested. Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
46' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Leigh Broxham is withdrawn and Stefan Nigro gets his opportunity.
47' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Stefan Nigro comes on to replace Leigh Broxham.
50' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 50.
51' Wellington Phoenix FC ring the changes. Joshua Laws has done his job and it is now time for Callan Elliot to step up.
56' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
58' Goal! Bruno Fornaroli scores his 63 goal in 208 matches.
59' Bruno Fornaroli does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
64' The 33-year-old Joshua Brillante has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
65' A tactical swap from Wellington Phoenix FC — David Ball on, Kosta Barbarouses off on 65 minutes.
66' Another change for Wellington Phoenix FC made on 66 minute. Kosta Barbarouses leaves to be changed by David Ball.
67' Another change for Wellington Phoenix FC made on 67 minute. Steven Peter Ugarkovic leaves to be changed by Clayton Lewis.
68' Raimon Marchan gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Connor Chapman and will look to change the dynamic.
71' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Ben Folami is replaced by Nishan Velupillay.
72' Nishan Velupillay is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ben Folami at the 72 minute mark.
75' The crowd applauds Sam Sutton as he leaves the pitch. Lucas Mauragis steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
76' Goal! Damien da Silva scores his 15 goal in 424 matches.
77' Chris Ikonomidis is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
79' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a Yellow card on 79.
84' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
89' Melbourne Victory FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
90' Poor challenge from Bruno Fornaroli. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ David Ball 65'
20
Oliver Sail
14
Alex Rufer
11
Bozhidar Kraev ↓ Benjamin Old 75'
31
Yan Sasse
6
Tim Payne
19
Sam Sutton ↓ Lucas Mauragis 75'
21
Joshua Laws ↓ Callan Elliot 51'
5
Steven Peter Ugarkovic ↓ Clayton Lewis 65'
9
Oskar Zawada

Bench

10
David Ball ↑ 65'
23
Clayton Lewis ↑ 65'
17
Callan Elliot ↑ 51'
24
Oskar van Hattum
12
Lucas Mauragis ↑ 75'
8
Benjamin Old ↑ 75'
40
Alex Paulsen

Coach Ufuk Talay

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Anthony Popovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Roy Krishna	4
Oskar Zawada	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Damien da Silva	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2023-04-01 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2023-03-17 Adelaide United FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2023-03-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Sydney FC W 2023-03-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-02-24 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-02-17 Western United FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-04-01 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-03-19 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2023-03-13 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western United FC L 2023-03-04 Sydney FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-02-18 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Melbourne City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.39 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.78 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC32% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC41%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.17

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

58%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

68%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC23% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC34%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

0 – 1

6.7%

0 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 0

5.8%

1 – 3

5.3%

1 – 0

5.1%

2 – 0

4.1%

0 – 3

3.8%

2 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	16%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	20%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.