Thursday , 2 July 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 09:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)
19 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 4.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 3–4 L
20 Apr Brisbane Roar FC H 0–0 D
12 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC A 0–1 L
06 Apr Melbourne City FC H 2–1 W
31 Mar Perth Glory FC H 2–1 W
14 Mar Western United FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Melbourne Victory FC A 4–3 W
20 Apr Melbourne City FC H 1–2 L
13 Apr Sydney FC A 1–2 L
05 Apr Brisbane Roar FC H 1–2 L
01 Apr Macarthur FC A 3–1 W
16 Mar Perth Glory FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Western Sydney Wanderers FC
#4 Position #12
40 Points 21
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 15
44 Scored 27
33 Conceded 43
+11 GD -16
1.54 PPG 0.81
42% Win % 19%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
19% Clean Sheets
Western Sydney Wanderers FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Western Sydney Wanderers FC are 12th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
0-15
/
16-30
/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
/2
61-75
/1
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
Bozhidar Kraev 5 G 2 A
Ryan Fraser 4 G 3 A
Brandon Borrello 4 G 2 A
Kosta Barbarouses 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Western Sydney Wanderers FC 75% + Over 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw25% Western Sydney Wanderers FC31%
Actual: Western Sydney Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Western Sydney Wanderers FC
56%
Melbourne Victory FC or Western Sydney Wanderers FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC37% Draw39% Western Sydney Wanderers FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Western Sydney Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Western Sydney Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.