Malaga CF vs Elche CF, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Malaga CF vs Elche CF — Segunda Division at Estadio La Rosaleda.
Match Details
- Referee Salvador Lax Franco (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Carlos Grande Rabadan (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Diego Fernandez Correas (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almeria | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandes | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Elche CF | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Granada CF | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sep | SD Huesca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Sep | Cordoba CF | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Albacete Balompie | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | CD Mirandes | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Malaga CF | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | CD Mirandes | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | Granada CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Sep | Real Zaragoza | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Cordoba CF | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | Albacete Balompie | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Estadio La Rosaleda. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 3' Agustin Alvarez Martinez puts Elche CF on the lead.
- 8' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 13' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Oscar Plano suffering a number of foals already.
- 18' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' The referee shows Elche CF player a card on 20.
- 25' Elche CF is showing some good football. However, Elche CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 29' Matia Barzic is replacing Pedro Bigas for the Elche CF side.
- 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Agustin Alvarez Martinez on 30.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Elche CF that had 236 games and scored 232 goals.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dioni on 45.
- 46' Another change for Malaga CF made on 46 minute. Yanis Rahmani leaves to be changed by Julen Lobete.
- 49' Goal! Nicolas Fernandez Marcau scores his 17 goal in 236 matches.
- 54' Dioni has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 55' Elche CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
- 60' Time for substitution for Malaga CF. Luismi is replaced by Dani Lorenzo.
- 61' Another change for Elche CF made on 61 minute. Gerard Hernandez leaves to be changed by Cristian Salvador.
- 64' It’s gonna be a card for Daniel Sanchez.
- 68' The referee shows Elche CF player a card on 68.
- 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 77' Goal! Mourad El Ghezouani scores his 14 goal in 236 matches.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Roko Baturina. He replaces Aaron Ochoa on 78 minute.
- 82' The referee shows Malaga CF player a card on 82.
- 87' It looks like no one’s ball. Malaga CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' Malaga CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- With this win, Elche CF is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Malaga CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12
- 20
- 21
- 19
- 1
- 17
- 26
- 35
- 4
- 3
- 18
Bench
- 23
- 9
- 24
- 5
- 2
- 14
- 8
- 10
- 13
- 22
- 29
- 25
Coach
Sergio Pellicer Garcia
Elche CF Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
6
Pedro Bigas ↓ Matia Barzic 29'
-
14
Aleix Febas ↓ Oscar Plano 78'
- 4
- 19
- 12
- 13
- 22
- 9
- 10
- 15
- 31
Bench
- 1
- 2
-
20
Cristian Salvador ↑ 61'
- 17
- 18
-
7
Oscar Plano ↑ 78'
- 8
- 16
-
30
Rodrigo Mendoza ↑ 78'
- 36
-
26
Matia Barzic ↑ 29'
Coach
Eder Sarabia
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mourad El Ghezouani | 2 |
| Agustin Alvarez Martinez | 1 |
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 1 |
| Sory Kaba | 1 |
Head to Head
Malaga CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96
Malaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Elche CF xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Elche CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Malaga CF or Draw
54%
Draw or Elche CF
74%
Malaga CF or Elche CF
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Elche CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 2
9.6%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Malaga CF
| Handicap | Malaga CF covers | Push | Elche CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Elche CF keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

