Tuesday , 13 October 2026

Leicester City FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Fri 29 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leicester City FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
8 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Birmingham City FC H 2–0 W
23 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
16 Aug Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
10 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
25 May AFC Bournemouth A 0–2 L
18 May Ipswich Town FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
23 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
16 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
08 Aug Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
03 May Cambridge United FC A 2–1 W
30 Apr Blackpool FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC
Phil Neumann 2 G
Demarai Gray 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Leicester City FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6 Leicester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leicester City FC54% Draw26% Birmingham City FC20%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Leicester City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
46%
Leicester City FC or Birmingham City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leicester City FC36% Draw48% Birmingham City FC16%
Actual: Leicester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Leicester City FC

Handicap Leicester City FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.