Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cambridge United FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC Abbey Stadium 6,764 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Christoph Klarer
Shayne Lavery 36' 1–1
1–2 82' Kelland Watts og

Overview

Match Preview

Cambridge United FC vs Birmingham City FCLeague One at Abbey Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Breakspear
  • Assistant 1 Paul Lister
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Aylott

Head-to-Head

3
Cambridge United FC 3 games · Avg 4.0 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
26 Apr Burton Albion FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 1–2 L
18 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–1 W
12 Apr Charlton Athletic FC H 0–1 L
05 Apr Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Cambridge United FC A 2–1 W
30 Apr Blackpool FC A 2–0 W
27 Apr Mansfield Town FC H 4–0 W
24 Apr Stevenage FC A 1–0 W
21 Apr Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
18 Apr Crawley Town FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 Cambridge United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cambridge United FC22% Draw26% Birmingham City FC52%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Cambridge United FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
78%
Cambridge United FC or Birmingham City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cambridge United FC16% Draw46% Birmingham City FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
10%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 3
5.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Cambridge United FC

Handicap Cambridge United FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 24% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Cambridge United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.