Cambridge United FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cambridge United FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Abbey Stadium.
- Cambridge United FC 14 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Charles Breakspear
- Assistant 1 Paul Lister
- Assistant 2 Andrew Aylott
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Cambridge United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Apr | Blackpool FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Mansfield Town FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | Stevenage FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Burton Albion FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Crawley Town FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Cambridge United FC this season
Cambridge United FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cambridge United FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
6/3
61-75
4/5
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cambridge United FC
| Ben Knight | 4 G | 2 A |
| Shayne Lavery | 3 G | 2 A |
| Sullay Kaikai | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gassan Ahadme | 3 G | |
| Zak Bradshaw | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Birmingham City FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Nathan Bishop has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Grant Hanley has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 383 appearances.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' It looks surprising Cambridge United FC does not make any changes. Lukas Jutkiewicz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Christoph Klarer makes it 0-1.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 34' Elias Kachunga was booked on 34.
- 36' What a strike from Shayne Lavery! The score is 1-1.
- 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jay Stansfield is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Birmingham City FC.
- 46' Shayne Lavery makes way for Dominic Ballard at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cambridge United FC.
- 51' Krystian Bielik has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 60' A tactical swap from Birmingham City FC — Keshi Anderson on, Ethan Laird off on 60 minutes.
- 64' Krystian Bielik gets the nod from Birmingham City FC. He replaces Grant Hanley and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Elias Kachunga.
- 72' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Luke Harris has done his job and it is now time for Lukas Jutkiewicz to step up.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Taylor Gardner-Hickman on 75 minutes.
- 77' Kelland Watts has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
- 82' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kelland Watts makes it 2-1.
- 87' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Myung-jae Lee made 398 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Josh Stokes.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Birmingham City FC players.
Lineups
Cambridge United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 11
- 10
- 5
- 13
- 26
- 4
- 28
- 6
-
19
Shayne Lavery ↓ Dominic Ballard 46'
- 2
Bench
- 3
- 18
- 15
- 38
- 31
-
29
Dominic Ballard ↑ 46'
- 22
Coach
Neil Harris
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
31
Grant Hanley ↓ Krystian Bielik 64'
- 21
- 28
-
2
Ethan Laird ↓ Keshi Anderson 60'
- 4
- 19
- 12
- 18
-
26
Luke Harris ↓ Lukas Jutkiewicz 72'
- 13
- 16
Bench
- 30
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↑ 72'
- 45
- 9
-
6
Krystian Bielik ↑ 64'
-
14
Keshi Anderson ↑ 60'
- 24
Coach
Chris Davies
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kieran Dowell | 1 |
| Jay Stansfield | 1 |
| Luke Harris | 1 |
| Christoph Klarer | 1 |
| Shayne Lavery | 1 |
Head to Head
Cambridge United FC Form
2025-05-03
Cambridge United FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-04-26
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Cambridge United FC
L
2025-04-21
Cambridge United FC
1–2
Leyton Orient FC
L
2025-04-18
Huddersfield Town AFC
1–2
Cambridge United FC
W
2025-04-12
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Charlton Athletic FC
L
2025-04-05
Shrewsbury Town FC
0–1
Cambridge United FC
W
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-05-03
Cambridge United FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-04-30
Blackpool FC
0–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-04-27
Birmingham City FC
4–0
Mansfield Town FC
W
2025-04-24
Stevenage FC
0–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-04-21
Burton Albion FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-04-18
Birmingham City FC
0–0
Crawley Town FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95
Cambridge United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Birmingham City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Cambridge United FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
78%
Cambridge United FC or Birmingham City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
10%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 3
5.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Cambridge United FC
| Handicap | Cambridge United FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 24% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Cambridge United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.