Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell FC, Premier League 2024-25 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,496 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lawrence Shankland 30' 1–0
Lawrence Shankland 60' 2–0
Alan Forrest 62' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ryan Lee (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 Francis Connor
  • Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Motherwell FC H 3–0 W
03 May Ross County FC A 3–1 W
26 Apr Dundee FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Motherwell FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Dundee United FC H 0–1 L
29 Mar Celtic FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–3 L
03 May Dundee FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr St. Johnstone FC H 3–2 W
12 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
29 Mar Aberdeen FC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Motherwell FC
#3 Position #8
13 Points 8
7 Played 7
4 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
14 Scored 9
8 Conceded 11
+6 GD -2
1.86 PPG 1.14
57% Win % 29%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Motherwell FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Motherwell FC are 8th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Motherwell FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/5
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-3-3

Motherwell FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.29 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Motherwell FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC64% Draw21% Motherwell FC15%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Motherwell FC
36%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Motherwell FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC49% Draw39% Motherwell FC12%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
4 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Motherwell FC covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 22% 32%
-0.5 68% — 32%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.