Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell FC, Premier League 2024-25 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,496 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lawrence Shankland 30' 1–0
Lawrence Shankland 60' 2–0
Alan Forrest 62' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell FCPremier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ryan Lee (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 Francis Connor
  • Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Motherwell FC H 3–0 W
03 May Ross County FC A 3–1 W
26 Apr Dundee FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Motherwell FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Dundee United FC H 0–1 L
29 Mar Celtic FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–3 L
03 May Dundee FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr St. Johnstone FC H 3–2 W
12 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
29 Mar Aberdeen FC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Motherwell FC
#1 Position #4
70 Points 54
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 14 / 12 / 7
58 Scored 52
28 Conceded 29
+30 GD +23
2.12 PPG 1.64
64% Win % 42%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-3-3

Motherwell FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Motherwell FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC54% Draw27% Motherwell FC19%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Motherwell FC
46%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Motherwell FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC36% Draw49% Motherwell FC15%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Motherwell FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.