Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Fir Park 7,481 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at Fir Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Clancy
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Gordon Crawford

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
29 Mar Aberdeen FC A 1–4 L
15 Mar St. Mirren FC H 2–2 D
01 Mar Rangers FC A 2–1 W
26 Feb Dundee FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Motherwell FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Dundee United FC H 0–1 L
29 Mar Celtic FC A 0–3 L
15 Mar Ross County FC H 2–0 W
02 Mar Hibernian FC A 1–2 L
26 Feb St. Mirren FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#4 Position #1
54 Points 70
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
52 Scored 58
29 Conceded 28
+23 GD +30
1.64 PPG 2.12
42% Win % 64%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC39% Draw32% Heart of Midlothian FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
61%
Motherwell FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC26% Draw54% Heart of Midlothian FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.