Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Johnstone FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2026
Wed 14 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,021 HT 45' · FT 45'
Barry Douglas og 17' 1–0
Alan Forrest 31' 2–0
2–1 74' Graham Carey

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Johnstone FCPremier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Chris Rae (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Scott Anderson (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
10 May Motherwell FC H 3–0 W
03 May Ross County FC A 3–1 W
26 Apr Dundee FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Motherwell FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Dundee United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–2 L
10 May Ross County FC H 2–1 W
03 May Kilmarnock FC H 0–2 L
26 Apr Motherwell FC A 2–3 L
12 Apr Dundee United FC A 0–1 L
06 Apr Celtic FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-3-3

St. Johnstone FC Lineups

4-4-2

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.58 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 St. Johnstone FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC55% Draw25% St. Johnstone FC20%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
80%
Draw or St. Johnstone FC
45%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Johnstone FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC35% Draw48% St. Johnstone FC17%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Johnstone FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
39%
St. Johnstone FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.