Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2024-25 RELEGATION ROUND

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Premier League · 2024-25

Kilmarnock FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Dundee FC

Sat 10 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 5,669 HT 45' · FT 45'

Danny Armstrong 31' 1–0

1–1 76' Lyall Cameron

Bruce Anderson 77' 2–1

Robbie Deas 90+1' 3–1

3–2 90+5' Lyall Cameron

Y 30' Seb Palmer-Houlden

Liam Donnelly 47' Y

Y 56' Ziyad Larkeche

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Dundee FC 7 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Don Robertson
Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
Assistant 2 Steven Traynor (Scotland)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	7	18
2	Rangers FC	7	16
3	Heart of Midlothian FC	7	13
4	Dundee FC	7	10
5	St. Mirren FC	7	10
6	St. Johnstone FC	7	8
7	Aberdeen FC	7	8
8	Motherwell FC	7	8
9	Dundee United FC	7	8
10	Hibernian FC	7	7
11	Falkirk FC	7	6
12	Kilmarnock FC	7	5

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 15 games · Avg 3.5 goals Dundee FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-10 Kilmarnock FC 3–2 Dundee FC 2024-11-30 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 Dundee FC 2024-11-03 Dundee FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-10-05 Dundee FC 2–3 Kilmarnock FC 2024-05-18 Dundee FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	Dundee FC	H	3–2	W
03 May	St. Johnstone FC	A	2–0	W
26 Apr	Ross County FC	H	2–0	W
12 Apr	Celtic FC	A	1–5	L
05 Apr	Motherwell FC	H	2–0	W
29 Mar	St. Mirren FC	A	1–5	L

Dundee FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	Kilmarnock FC	A	2–3	L
03 May	Motherwell FC	H	1–2	L
26 Apr	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	1–0	W
13 Apr	Hibernian FC	A	0–4	L
05 Apr	St. Mirren FC	H	2–0	W
29 Mar	Rangers FC	H	3–4	L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Dundee FC
#12	Position	#4
5	Points	10
7	Played	7
1 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 3
6	Scored	9
15	Conceded	7
-9	GD	+2
0.71	PPG	1.43
14%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

93% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

29% Clean Sheets
Dundee FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Dundee FC are 4th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

–/2

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Dundee FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

2/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

2/1

61-75

–/1

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G
Greg Kiltie	1 G
Joe Hugill	1 G

Dundee FC

Joe Westley	3 G
Bradley Fink	2 G
Joe Bevan	1 G	1 A
Drey Wright	1 G
Charlie Reilly	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Dundee FC gets underway.
30' It’s a booking for Dundee FC player. Seb Palmer-Houlden gets a card.
31' Danny Armstrong adds to his 0 season tally! Kilmarnock FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
31' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Bobby Wales trudges off to be replaced by Kyle Vassell on 31 minutes.
47' The referee calls foul for Liam Donnelly. He receives a card.
56' The referee shows Dundee FC player a card on 56.
57' The crowd applauds Scott Tiffoney as he leaves the pitch. Oluwaseun Adewumi steps in for Dundee FC.
74' Dundee FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Finlay Robertson is hanging Seb Palmer-Houlden on the field on 74 minute.
76' Lyall Cameron has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
77' What a strike from Bruce Anderson! The score is 2-1.
81' The whistle greets Liam Donnelly as he departs to be replaced by Rory McKenzie.
86' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Liam Polworth comes on to replace David Watson.
Another three points for Kilmarnock FC.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Dundee FC Lineups

4-3-3

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Danny Armstrong	3
Lyall Cameron	3
Luke McCowan	3
Joe Hugill	3
Bruce Anderson	2
Matty Kennedy	2
Andrew Nelson	2
Robbie Deas	2

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2025-05-10 Kilmarnock FC 3–2 Dundee FC W 2025-05-03 St. Johnstone FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC W 2025-04-26 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Ross County FC W 2025-04-12 Celtic FC 5–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2025-04-05 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Motherwell FC W 2025-03-29 St. Mirren FC 5–1 Kilmarnock FC L

Dundee FC Form

2025-05-10 Kilmarnock FC 3–2 Dundee FC L 2025-05-03 Dundee FC 1–2 Motherwell FC L 2025-04-26 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–1 Dundee FC W 2025-04-13 Hibernian FC 4–0 Dundee FC L 2025-04-05 Dundee FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC W 2025-03-29 Dundee FC 3–4 Rangers FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.55 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.72 Dundee FC xG

I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Dundee FC 76% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC42% Draw24% Dundee FC34%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Dundee FC

58%

Kilmarnock FC or Dundee FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC27% Draw42% Dundee FC31%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted

3 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

11%

1 – 2

8.4%

2 – 1

7.6%

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 1

5.8%

0 – 2

5.6%

0 – 0

5.3%

1 – 0

5.1%

1 – 3

4.8%

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 3

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Dundee FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	17%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	19%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Dundee FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.