Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2024-25 RELEGATION ROUND

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Premier League · 2024-25

Kilmarnock FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Dundee FC

Sat 10 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 5,669 HT 45' · FT 45'

Danny Armstrong 31' 1–0

1–1 76' Lyall Cameron

Bruce Anderson 77' 2–1

Robbie Deas 90+1' 3–1

3–2 90+5' Lyall Cameron

Y 30' Seb Palmer-Houlden

Liam Donnelly 47' Y

Y 56' Ziyad Larkeche

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Dundee FC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Don Robertson
Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
Assistant 2 Steven Traynor (Scotland)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 15 games · Avg 3.5 goals Dundee FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-10 Kilmarnock FC 3–2 Dundee FC 2024-11-30 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 Dundee FC 2024-11-03 Dundee FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-10-05 Dundee FC 2–3 Kilmarnock FC 2024-05-18 Dundee FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	Dundee FC	H	3–2	W
03 May	St. Johnstone FC	A	2–0	W
26 Apr	Ross County FC	H	2–0	W
12 Apr	Celtic FC	A	1–5	L
05 Apr	Motherwell FC	H	2–0	W
29 Mar	St. Mirren FC	A	1–5	L

Dundee FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	Kilmarnock FC	A	2–3	L
03 May	Motherwell FC	H	1–2	L
26 Apr	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	1–0	W
13 Apr	Hibernian FC	A	0–4	L
05 Apr	St. Mirren FC	H	2–0	W
29 Mar	Rangers FC	H	3–4	L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Dundee FC
#11	Position	#9
28	Points	33
33	Played	33
6 / 10 / 17	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 16
37	Scored	34
65	Conceded	53
-28	GD	-19
0.85	PPG	1.00
18%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

93% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Dundee FC are 9th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Kilmarnock FC and Dundee FC is underway.
30' That is a card for Dundee FC. Seb Palmer-Houlden will be fuming at that decision.
31' Kilmarnock FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Danny Armstrong on 31.
31' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Bobby Wales by Kyle Vassell on 31 minute.
47' A moment of madness from Liam Donnelly on 47 minutes earns him a card. Kilmarnock FC will be frustrated.
56' It’s a booking for Dundee FC player. Ziyad Larkeche gets a card.
57' Fresh legs for Dundee FC! Oluwaseun Adewumi comes on to replace Scott Tiffoney.
74' It is a substitution in Dundee FC team. Seb Palmer-Houlden is replaced by Finlay Robertson on 74 minute.
76' Magnificent from Lyall Cameron! That is 15 goals in 182 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
77' Kilmarnock FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Bruce Anderson on 77.
81' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Liam Donnelly has done his job and it is now time for Rory McKenzie to step up.
86' Liam Polworth is replacing David Watson for the Kilmarnock FC side.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Dundee FC.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Dundee FC Lineups

4-3-3

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Danny Armstrong	3
Lyall Cameron	3
Luke McCowan	3
Joe Hugill	3
Bruce Anderson	2
Matty Kennedy	2
Andrew Nelson	2
Robbie Deas	2

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2025-05-10 Kilmarnock FC 3–2 Dundee FC W 2025-05-03 St. Johnstone FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC W 2025-04-26 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Ross County FC W 2025-04-12 Celtic FC 5–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2025-04-05 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Motherwell FC W 2025-03-29 St. Mirren FC 5–1 Kilmarnock FC L

Dundee FC Form

2025-05-10 Kilmarnock FC 3–2 Dundee FC L 2025-05-03 Dundee FC 1–2 Motherwell FC L 2025-04-26 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–1 Dundee FC W 2025-04-13 Hibernian FC 4–0 Dundee FC L 2025-04-05 Dundee FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC W 2025-03-29 Dundee FC 3–4 Rangers FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.92 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.4 Dundee FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC52% Draw23% Dundee FC25%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.32

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Dundee FC

48%

Kilmarnock FC or Dundee FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC36% Draw42% Dundee FC22%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.6%

2 – 1

2 – 0

6.7%

1 – 2

6.6%

1 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 0

5.1%

0 – 1

4.4%

3 – 0

4.2%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Dundee FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	21%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Dundee FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.