Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 2 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Don Robertson
- Assistant 1 Calum Spence
- Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | St. Mirren FC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Motherwell FC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers FC | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk FC | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee United FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | Dundee United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Dec | Rangers FC | A | 0–6 | L |
| 30 Nov | Dundee FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | St. Johnstone FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Nov | Celtic FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Dec | Dundee FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Aberdeen FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | Celtic FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Nov | Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 0 | Points | 3 |
| 2 | Played | 2 |
| 0 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 1 |
| 4 | Scored | 5 |
| 9 | Conceded | 2 |
| -5 | GD | +3 |
| 0.00 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 0% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC get this one started.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Derek McInnes will be considering his options from the bench.
- 6' Robbie Deas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 6.
- 11' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Bobby Wales trudges off to be replaced by David Watson on 11 minutes.
- 16' The referee has no hesitation. James Penrice is booked for Heart of Midlothian FC — card on 16.
- 18' GOAL! Bruce Anderson scores on 18.
- 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 33' Heart of Midlothian FC come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' Kilmarnock FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' Kye Rowles was booked on 45.
- 46' The crowd applauds Bruce Anderson as he leaves the pitch. Liam Donnelly steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 53' James Wilson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kenneth Vargas at the 53 minute mark.
- 58' With 0 assists to his name this season, Blair Spittal is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 63' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 68' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 71' Marley Watkins makes way for Innes Cameron at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
- 76' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 84' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Liam Donnelly departs to be replaced by Rory McKenzie.
- 85' Fraser Murray is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
- 87' Time for substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC. Daniel Oyegoke is replaced by Adam Forrester.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Innes Cameron 71'
- 4
- 8
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↓ Liam Donnelly 46'
- 15
-
20
Robby McCrorie ↓ Kieran O'Hara 46'
- 3
- 31
- 5
- 6
-
24
Bobby Wales ↓ David Watson 11'
Bench
- 14
- 7
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↑ 46'
- 2
-
1
Kieran O'Hara ↑ 46'
-
18
Innes Cameron ↑ 71'
- 11
-
12
David Watson ↑ 11'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 15
- 1
- 4
-
17
Alan Forrest ↓ Jorge Grant 46'
-
16
Blair Spittal ↓ Liam Boyce 53'
- 29
-
5
Daniel Oyegoke ↓ Adam Forrester 87'
-
18
Malachi Boateng ↓ Yan Dhanda 46'
-
77
Kenneth Vargas ↓ James Wilson 53'
- 37
Bench
-
20
Yan Dhanda ↑ 46'
-
27
Liam Boyce ↑ 53'
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 46'
- 28
- 11
- 80
-
21
James Wilson ↑ 53'
- 25
-
35
Adam Forrester ↑ 87'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Elton Kabangu | 1 |
| Marley Watkins | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2024-12-15
Kilmarnock FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-12-07
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Dundee FC
W
2024-12-01
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Aberdeen FC
D
2024-11-23
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–4
Celtic FC
L
2024-11-10
Rangers FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-11-02
St. Johnstone FC
1–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.26
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.13
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 88% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 5.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 3.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 4.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
35%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
79%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
86%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–0 not predicted1 – 0Actual
1 – 4
7.1%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 5
5.8%
0 – 4
5.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 5
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 4
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 6
4%
2 – 5
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 4% | 93% |
| -0.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| +0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +1 | 17% | 14% | 69% |
| +1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +2 | 31% | 18% | 51% |
| +2.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
2%
✗
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

