Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Don Robertson
- Assistant 1 Calum Spence
- Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | Dundee United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Dec | Rangers FC | A | 0–6 | L |
| 30 Nov | Dundee FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | St. Johnstone FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Nov | Celtic FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Dec | Dundee FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Aberdeen FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | Celtic FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Nov | Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #1 |
| 28 | Points | 70 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 21 / 7 / 5 |
| 37 | Scored | 58 |
| 65 | Conceded | 28 |
| -28 | GD | +30 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 2.12 |
| 18% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Heart of Midlothian FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 6' Robbie Deas was booked on 6.
- 11' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Bobby Wales by David Watson on 11 minute.
- 16' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 16.
- 18' Bruce Anderson puts Kilmarnock FC on the lead.
- 23' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 28' James Penrice is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
- 33' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 38' Alan Forrest needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Kye Rowles. He receives a card.
- 46' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 46 minute. Bruce Anderson leaves to be changed by Liam Donnelly.
- 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 53' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Kenneth Vargas trudges off to be replaced by James Wilson on 53 minutes.
- 58' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 63' Heart of Midlothian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 71' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Innes Cameron on, Marley Watkins off on 71 minutes.
- 76' Over 76 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 81' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 84' Rory McKenzie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Liam Donnelly at the 84 minute mark.
- 85' Kilmarnock FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
- 87' Adam Forrester is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Oyegoke at the 87 minute mark.
- The points are shared — Kilmarnock FC 1-0 Heart of Midlothian FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Innes Cameron 71'
- 4
- 8
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↓ Liam Donnelly 46'
- 15
-
20
Robby McCrorie ↓ Kieran O'Hara 46'
- 3
- 31
- 5
- 6
-
24
Bobby Wales ↓ David Watson 11'
Bench
- 14
- 7
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↑ 46'
- 2
-
1
Kieran O'Hara ↑ 46'
-
18
Innes Cameron ↑ 71'
- 11
-
12
David Watson ↑ 11'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 15
- 1
- 4
-
17
Alan Forrest ↓ Jorge Grant 46'
-
16
Blair Spittal ↓ Liam Boyce 53'
- 29
-
5
Daniel Oyegoke ↓ Adam Forrester 87'
-
18
Malachi Boateng ↓ Yan Dhanda 46'
-
77
Kenneth Vargas ↓ James Wilson 53'
- 37
Bench
-
20
Yan Dhanda ↑ 46'
-
27
Liam Boyce ↑ 53'
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 46'
- 28
- 11
- 80
-
21
James Wilson ↑ 53'
- 25
-
35
Adam Forrester ↑ 87'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Uche Ikpeazu | 1 |
| Stephen Humphrys | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2024-12-15
Kilmarnock FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-12-07
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Dundee FC
W
2024-12-01
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Aberdeen FC
D
2024-11-23
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–4
Celtic FC
L
2024-11-10
Rangers FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-11-02
St. Johnstone FC
1–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.84
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
70%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.2%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
10.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.9%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 24% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

