Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Don Robertson
- Assistant 1 Calum Spence
- Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)
5 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk FC | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United FC | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone FC | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | St. Mirren FC | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell FC | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen FC | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | Dundee United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Dec | Rangers FC | A | 0–6 | L |
| 30 Nov | Dundee FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | St. Johnstone FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Nov | Celtic FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Dec | Dundee FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Aberdeen FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | Celtic FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Nov | Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 9 | Points | 20 |
| 13 | Played | 12 |
| 2 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 4 |
| 13 | Scored | 26 |
| 29 | Conceded | 22 |
| -16 | GD | +4 |
| 0.69 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 15% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Greg Kiltie | 3 G | |
| Joe Hugill | 2 G | 2 A |
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G | |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
Heart of Midlothian FC
| Claudio Braga | 6 G | 2 A |
| Calvin Miller | 5 G | 1 A |
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Laurent Mendy | 3 G | |
| Joshua McPake | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Kilmarnock FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Liam Polworth, a Scotland , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 6' Controversy at the stadium! Robbie Deas argues furiously but the card stands.
- 11' It is a substitution in Kilmarnock FC team. Bobby Wales is replaced by David Watson on 11 minute.
- 16' James Penrice has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 16.
- 18' What a moment for Bruce Anderson! That strike on 18 puts his side firmly in control.
- 23' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Wright is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kilmarnock FC.
- 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 38' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 43' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kye Rowles on 45 minutes.
- 46' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Liam Donnelly comes on to replace Bruce Anderson.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 53' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Kenneth Vargas exits the field as James Wilson enters on 53.
- 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 63' Malachi Boateng has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 68' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Liam Boyce has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 71' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Marley Watkins exits the field as Innes Cameron enters on 71.
- 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heart of Midlothian FC that had 319 games and scored 349 goals.
- 84' Rory McKenzie gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Liam Donnelly and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' Fraser Murray has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
- 87' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Daniel Oyegoke exits the field as Adam Forrester enters on 87.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Kilmarnock FC take all three points.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Innes Cameron 71'
- 4
- 8
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↓ Liam Donnelly 46'
- 15
-
20
Robby McCrorie ↓ Kieran O'Hara 46'
- 3
- 31
- 5
- 6
-
24
Bobby Wales ↓ David Watson 11'
Bench
- 14
- 7
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↑ 46'
- 2
-
1
Kieran O'Hara ↑ 46'
-
18
Innes Cameron ↑ 71'
- 11
-
12
David Watson ↑ 11'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 15
- 1
- 4
-
17
Alan Forrest ↓ Jorge Grant 46'
-
16
Blair Spittal ↓ Liam Boyce 53'
- 29
-
5
Daniel Oyegoke ↓ Adam Forrester 87'
-
18
Malachi Boateng ↓ Yan Dhanda 46'
-
77
Kenneth Vargas ↓ James Wilson 53'
- 37
Bench
-
20
Yan Dhanda ↑ 46'
-
27
Liam Boyce ↑ 53'
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 46'
- 28
- 11
- 80
-
21
James Wilson ↑ 53'
- 25
-
35
Adam Forrester ↑ 87'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Craig Halkett | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2024-12-15
Kilmarnock FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-12-07
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Dundee FC
W
2024-12-01
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Aberdeen FC
D
2024-11-23
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–4
Celtic FC
L
2024-11-10
Rangers FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-11-02
St. Johnstone FC
1–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.18
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 76% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
69%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 16% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

