Thursday , 1 October 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 15 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 5,474 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruce Anderson pen 18' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Don Robertson
  • Assistant 1 Calum Spence
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
07 Dec Dundee United FC A 1–1 D
04 Dec Rangers FC A 0–6 L
30 Nov Dundee FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 0–1 L
10 Nov Celtic FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
07 Dec Dundee FC H 2–0 W
01 Dec Aberdeen FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov Celtic FC H 1–4 L
10 Nov Rangers FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #3
5 Points 13
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 2
6 Scored 14
15 Conceded 8
-9 GD +6
0.71 PPG 1.86
14% Win % 57%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Musa Drammeh suffering a number of foals already.
  • 6' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Robbie Deas will be fuming at that decision.
  • 11' The supporters are chanting for David Watson. He replaces Bobby Wales on 11 minute.
  • 16' Poor challenge from James Penrice. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 18' Bruce Anderson has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 18 minutes.
  • 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 28' Robbie Deas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 17 cards already picked up this season.
  • 33' The energy levels are beginning to show. Derek McInnes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 38' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 45' Kye Rowles is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Kilmarnock FC team. Bruce Anderson is replaced by Liam Donnelly on 46 minute.
  • 51' Yan Dhanda has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 387 appearances.
  • 53' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Kenneth Vargas exits the field as James Wilson enters on 53.
  • 58' Kenneth Vargas is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 68' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Marley Watkins is replaced by Innes Cameron.
  • 76' A quiet spell here at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Heart of Midlothian FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 84' Rory McKenzie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Liam Donnelly at the 84 minute mark.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Fraser Murray. He receives a card.
  • 87' Heart of Midlothian FC ring the changes. Daniel Oyegoke has done his job and it is now time for Adam Forrester to step up.
  • Heart of Midlothian FC will have plenty to reflect on. Kilmarnock FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.89 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC27% Draw24% Heart of Midlothian FC49%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
73%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC14% Draw44% Heart of Midlothian FC42%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
0 – 2
10.9%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 3
6.9%
1 – 3
6.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 24% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 19% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✗
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.