Sunday , 15 November 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 15 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 5,474 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruce Anderson pen 18' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Don Robertson
  • Assistant 1 Calum Spence
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
07 Dec Dundee United FC A 1–1 D
04 Dec Rangers FC A 0–6 L
30 Nov Dundee FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 0–1 L
10 Nov Celtic FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
07 Dec Dundee FC H 2–0 W
01 Dec Aberdeen FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov Celtic FC H 1–4 L
10 Nov Rangers FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #4
9 Points 20
13 Played 12
2 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 2 / 4
13 Scored 26
29 Conceded 22
-16 GD +4
0.69 PPG 1.67
15% Win % 50%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
Greg Kiltie 3 G
Joe Hugill 2 G 2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G
Heart of Midlothian FC
Claudio Braga 6 G 2 A
Calvin Miller 5 G 1 A
James Wilson 3 G
Laurent Mendy 3 G
Joshua McPake 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Kilmarnock FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Liam Polworth, a Scotland , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 6' Controversy at the stadium! Robbie Deas argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 11' It is a substitution in Kilmarnock FC team. Bobby Wales is replaced by David Watson on 11 minute.
  • 16' James Penrice has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 16.
  • 18' What a moment for Bruce Anderson! That strike on 18 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 23' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Wright is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kilmarnock FC.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kye Rowles on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Liam Donnelly comes on to replace Bruce Anderson.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 53' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Kenneth Vargas exits the field as James Wilson enters on 53.
  • 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 63' Malachi Boateng has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 68' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Liam Boyce has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 71' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Marley Watkins exits the field as Innes Cameron enters on 71.
  • 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heart of Midlothian FC that had 319 games and scored 349 goals.
  • 84' Rory McKenzie gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Liam Donnelly and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Fraser Murray has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
  • 87' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Daniel Oyegoke exits the field as Adam Forrester enters on 87.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Kilmarnock FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.18 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 76% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC31% Draw24% Heart of Midlothian FC45%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
69%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC19% Draw42% Heart of Midlothian FC39%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 22% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✗
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.