Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 15 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 5,474 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruce Anderson pen 18' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Don Robertson
  • Assistant 1 Calum Spence
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
07 Dec Dundee United FC A 1–1 D
04 Dec Rangers FC A 0–6 L
30 Nov Dundee FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 0–1 L
10 Nov Celtic FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
07 Dec Dundee FC H 2–0 W
01 Dec Aberdeen FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov Celtic FC H 1–4 L
10 Nov Rangers FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#11 Position #1
28 Points 70
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
37 Scored 58
65 Conceded 28
-28 GD +30
0.85 PPG 2.12
18% Win % 64%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Heart of Midlothian FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 6' Robbie Deas was booked on 6.
  • 11' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Bobby Wales by David Watson on 11 minute.
  • 16' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 16.
  • 18' Bruce Anderson puts Kilmarnock FC on the lead.
  • 23' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 28' James Penrice is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 33' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' Alan Forrest needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Kye Rowles. He receives a card.
  • 46' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 46 minute. Bruce Anderson leaves to be changed by Liam Donnelly.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 53' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Kenneth Vargas trudges off to be replaced by James Wilson on 53 minutes.
  • 58' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 63' Heart of Midlothian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FCInnes Cameron on, Marley Watkins off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Over 76 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 81' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 84' Rory McKenzie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Liam Donnelly at the 84 minute mark.
  • 85' Kilmarnock FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
  • 87' Adam Forrester is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Oyegoke at the 87 minute mark.
  • The points are shared — Kilmarnock FC 1-0 Heart of Midlothian FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.84 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC30% Draw27% Heart of Midlothian FC43%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
70%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC15% Draw49% Heart of Midlothian FC36%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.2%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
10.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.9%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 13% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 24% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 16% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.