Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 15 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 5,474 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruce Anderson pen 18' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Don Robertson
  • Assistant 1 Calum Spence
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
07 Dec Dundee United FC A 1–1 D
04 Dec Rangers FC A 0–6 L
30 Nov Dundee FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 0–1 L
10 Nov Celtic FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
07 Dec Dundee FC H 2–0 W
01 Dec Aberdeen FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov Celtic FC H 1–4 L
10 Nov Rangers FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #4
0 Points 3
2 Played 2
0 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
4 Scored 5
9 Conceded 2
-5 GD +3
0.00 PPG 1.50
0% Win % 50%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC get this one started.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Derek McInnes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 6' Robbie Deas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 6.
  • 11' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Bobby Wales trudges off to be replaced by David Watson on 11 minutes.
  • 16' The referee has no hesitation. James Penrice is booked for Heart of Midlothian FC — card on 16.
  • 18' GOAL! Bruce Anderson scores on 18.
  • 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 28' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 33' Heart of Midlothian FC come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 43' Kilmarnock FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' Kye Rowles was booked on 45.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Bruce Anderson as he leaves the pitch. Liam Donnelly steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 53' James Wilson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kenneth Vargas at the 53 minute mark.
  • 58' With 0 assists to his name this season, Blair Spittal is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
  • 63' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 68' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 71' Marley Watkins makes way for Innes Cameron at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
  • 76' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 84' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Liam Donnelly departs to be replaced by Rory McKenzie.
  • 85' Fraser Murray is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC. Daniel Oyegoke is replaced by Adam Forrester.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.26 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.13 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 88% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC21% Draw14% Heart of Midlothian FC65%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 5.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 88%
12%
± 3.5 75%
25%
± 4.5 58%
42%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
35%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
79%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
86%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC9% Draw24% Heart of Midlothian FC67%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 4
7.1%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 5
5.8%
0 – 4
5.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 5
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 4
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 6
4%
2 – 5
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 4% 93%
-0.5 7% 93%
+0.5 17% 83%
+1 17% 14% 69%
+1.5 31% 69%
+2 31% 18% 51%
+2.5 49% 51%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
2%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.