Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Ross County FC, Premier League 2024-25 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 5,425 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruce Anderson 36' 2–0
Liam Donnelly 69' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Ross County FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
  • Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
  • Assistant 2 David Dunne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Ross County FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Celtic FC A 1–5 L
05 Apr Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
29 Mar St. Mirren FC A 1–5 L
15 Mar Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
01 Mar Ross County FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
12 Apr St. Mirren FC A 2–3 L
05 Apr Aberdeen FC H 0–1 L
30 Mar Dundee United FC H 0–1 L
15 Mar Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
01 Mar Kilmarnock FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Kilmarnock FC host Ross County FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Ross County FC have won 224 goals from 212 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' Akil Wright is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ross County FC tonight.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Ross County FC's compact 3-1-4-2.
  • 25' Kilmarnock FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Ross County FC backline.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 36' Bruce Anderson doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 41' Ross County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Ross County FC team. Kacper Lopata is replaced by Michee Efete on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 53' A tactical swap from Ross County FC — Alex Samuel on, Nohan Kenneh off on 53 minutes.
  • 57' It’s a booking for Ross County FC player. Michee Efete gets a card.
  • 59' Joshua Nisbet is replacing Scott Allardice for the Ross County FC side.
  • 64' A quiet spell here at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Ross County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 65' Elijah Campbell has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 65.
  • 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Liam Donnelly makes it 2-0.
  • 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 76' The Ross County FC bench stirs into life. Zac Ashworth is withdrawn and Kieran Phillips gets his opportunity.
  • 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Fraser Murray, as he is very good at scoring at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 86' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 87' Rory McKenzie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fraser Murray at the 87 minute mark.
  • 90' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 90 minute. Bobby Wales leaves to be changed by Innes Cameron.
  • It finishes all square. Kilmarnock FC and Ross County FC share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Ross County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC51% Draw28% Ross County FC21%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Ross County FC
49%
Kilmarnock FC or Ross County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC34% Draw50% Ross County FC16%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Ross County FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Ross County FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.