Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2024-25 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,085 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Simon Murray

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FCPremier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ross Hardie (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 Chris Rae (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Buchanan (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Dundee FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Motherwell FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Dundee United FC H 0–1 L
29 Mar Celtic FC A 0–3 L
15 Mar Ross County FC H 2–0 W
02 Mar Hibernian FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Hibernian FC A 0–4 L
05 Apr St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
29 Mar Rangers FC H 3–4 L
16 Mar Dundee United FC A 4–2 W
01 Mar St. Johnstone FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Dundee FC
#1 Position #9
70 Points 33
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 16
58 Scored 34
28 Conceded 53
+30 GD -19
2.12 PPG 1.00
64% Win % 24%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Dundee FC are 9th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Tynecastle Park as Heart of Midlothian FC face off against Dundee FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Heart of Midlothian FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Jorge Grant has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 21 cards already picked up this season.
  • 27' The referee calls foul for Seb Palmer-Houlden. He receives a card.
  • 32' Joe Shaughnessy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heart of Midlothian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' Simon Murray does the damage! The net is bulging and Dundee FC surge ahead!
  • 43' The referee has no hesitation. Elton Kabangu is booked for Heart of Midlothian FC — card on 43.
  • 46' Another change for Heart of Midlothian FC made on 46 minute. Beni Baningime leaves to be changed by Musa Drammeh.
  • 51' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' Heart of Midlothian FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Dundee FC backline.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' Another change for Heart of Midlothian FC made on 63 minute. Sander Kartum leaves to be changed by Kenneth Vargas.
  • 68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 73' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryan Astley is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Dundee FC.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Trevor Carson on 75.
  • 77' The Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes a substitution. Blair Spittal departs to be replaced by Yan Dhanda.
  • 80' Imari Samuels has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ziyad Larkeche on 80 minute.
  • 85' Dundee FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 88' Poor challenge from Lyall Cameron. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' That is a card for Dundee FC. Clark Robertson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Elton Kabangu as he leaves the pitch. Alan Forrest steps in for Heart of Midlothian FC.
  • With this win, Dundee FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.05 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Dundee FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC56% Draw25% Dundee FC19%
Actual: Dundee FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Dundee FC
44%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Dundee FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC46% Draw42% Dundee FC12%
Actual: Dundee FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
11.3%
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Dundee FC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 24% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Dundee FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.