Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
1 – 2
Full Time
Kilmarnock FC
Wed 30 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,402 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alan Forrest 44' 1–0
1–1 58' Matty Kennedy
1–2 63' Kyle Vassell
Y 52' Kyle Vassell
Y 65' Matty Kennedy
Y 77' Marley Watkins
James Penrice 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Euan Anderson
  • Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
  • Assistant 2 Gordon Crawford

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Celtic FC 7 18
2 Rangers FC 7 16
3 Heart of Midlothian FC 7 13
4 Dundee FC 7 10
5 St. Mirren FC 7 10
6 St. Johnstone FC 7 8
7 Aberdeen FC 7 8
8 Motherwell FC 7 8
9 Dundee United FC 7 8
10 Hibernian FC 7 7
11 Falkirk FC 7 6
12 Kilmarnock FC 7 5

Head-to-Head

7
6
9
Heart of Midlothian FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Kilmarnock FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-04-27 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-03-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC 2023-12-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-08-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–0 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct Kilmarnock FC H 1–2 L
27 Oct Hibernian FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct St. Mirren FC H 4–0 W
06 Oct Aberdeen FC A 2–3 L
28 Sep Ross County FC H 1–1 D
21 Sep St. Mirren FC A 1–2 L
Kilmarnock FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–1 W
26 Oct Ross County FC A 1–2 L
20 Oct Rangers FC H 1–0 W
05 Oct Dundee FC A 3–2 W
28 Sep Dundee United FC H 3–3 D
14 Sep St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Kilmarnock FC
#3 Position #12
13 Points 5
7 Played 7
4 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 4
14 Scored 6
8 Conceded 15
+6 GD -9
1.86 PPG 0.71
57% Win % 14%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G
Kilmarnock FC
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G
Greg Kiltie 1 G
Joe Hugill 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Tynecastle Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kye Rowles is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kilmarnock FC.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heart of Midlothian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Matty Kennedy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rory McKenzie made 264 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 44' Against the run of play, Alan Forrest has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 49' Marley Watkins has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 52' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kyle Vassell on 52 minutes.
  • 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heart of Midlothian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 58' Matty Kennedy adds to his 0 season tally! Kilmarnock FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 63' Kyle Vassell puts Kilmarnock FC on the lead.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Jorge Grant. He replaces Adam Forrester on 64 minute.
  • 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matty Kennedy on 65 minutes.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Jack Burroughs. He replaces Joe Wright on 69 minute.
  • 74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Barrie McKay. He replaces Cameron Devlin on 75 minute.
  • 77' Marley Watkins is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 78' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Marley Watkins trudges off to be replaced by Rory McKenzie on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 83 minute. Danny Armstrong leaves to be changed by Oliver Bainbridge.
  • 84' Yan Dhanda gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Alan Forrest and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 87.
  • Heart of Midlothian FC will have plenty to reflect on. Kilmarnock FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Chris Burke 4
Lawrence Shankland 3
Eamonn Brophy 2
Stephen Kingsley 2
Sean Clare 2
Stuart Findlay 2
Danny Armstrong 2
Elton Kabangu 1

Head to Head

2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-04-27 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-03-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC 2023-12-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-08-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–0 Kilmarnock FC

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC L 2024-10-27 Hibernian FC 1–1 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2024-10-19 Heart of Midlothian FC 4–0 St. Mirren FC W 2024-10-06 Aberdeen FC 3–2 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2024-09-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Ross County FC D 2024-09-21 St. Mirren FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L

Kilmarnock FC Form

2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC W 2024-10-26 Ross County FC 2–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2024-10-20 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Rangers FC W 2024-10-05 Dundee FC 2–3 Kilmarnock FC W 2024-09-28 Kilmarnock FC 3–3 Dundee United FC D 2024-09-14 St. Mirren FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.64 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC60% Draw21% Kilmarnock FC19%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
40%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC53% Draw36% Kilmarnock FC11%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
6.9%
4 – 0
5.3%
4 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 30% — 70%
-2 30% 20% 49%
-1.5 51% — 49%
-1 51% 21% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.