Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 2 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Euan Anderson
- Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
- Assistant 2 Gordon Crawford
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | St. Mirren FC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Motherwell FC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers FC | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk FC | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee United FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | Kilmarnock FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Hibernian FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | St. Mirren FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | Aberdeen FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Ross County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | St. Mirren FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Ross County FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Dundee FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Sep | Dundee United FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Sep | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 2 | Played | 2 |
| 1 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| 5 | Scored | 4 |
| 2 | Conceded | 9 |
| +3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 0.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Heart of Midlothian FC host Kilmarnock FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heart of Midlothian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Matty Kennedy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact 4-4-2.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cameron Devlin made 215 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' Scotland international Lewis Mayo has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 44' Alan Forrest doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 49' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heart of Midlothian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 52' The referee calls foul for Kyle Vassell. He receives a card.
- 57' James Penrice is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
- 58' A goal from the Northern Ireland international Matty Kennedy! He fires home on 58 to make it 1-1!
- 63' Goal! Kyle Vassell scores his 26 goal in 357 matches.
- 64' Jorge Grant is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adam Forrester at the 64 minute mark.
- 65' Kilmarnock FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 65.
- 69' Joe Wright makes way for Jack Burroughs at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
- 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
- 75' Barrie McKay gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Cameron Devlin and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' The referee has no hesitation. Marley Watkins is booked for Kilmarnock FC — card on 77.
- 78' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rory McKenzie is hanging Marley Watkins on the field on 78 minute.
- 83' Oliver Bainbridge gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Danny Armstrong and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Another change for Heart of Midlothian FC made on 84 minute. Alan Forrest leaves to be changed by Yan Dhanda.
- 87' James Penrice catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
- It finishes all square. Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC share the spoils 1-2.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2
-
14
Cameron Devlin ↓ Barrie McKay 75'
- 15
- 1
-
17
Alan Forrest ↓ Yan Dhanda 84'
- 9
-
16
Blair Spittal ↓ James Wilson 75'
- 29
- 18
-
77
Kenneth Vargas ↓ Daniel Oyegoke 64'
-
35
Adam Forrester ↓ Jorge Grant 64'
Bench
-
10
Barrie McKay ↑ 75'
-
20
Yan Dhanda ↑ 84'
- 27
- 3
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 64'
- 28
- 4
-
5
Daniel Oyegoke ↑ 64'
-
21
James Wilson ↑ 75'
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Rory McKenzie 78'
-
4
Joe Wright ↓ Jack Burroughs 69'
- 8
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↓ Fraser Murray 83'
- 20
- 3
- 5
- 6
- 11
- 12
-
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Innes Cameron 83'
Bench
- 14
- 19
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 78'
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 83'
-
2
Jack Burroughs ↑ 69'
- 1
-
18
Innes Cameron ↑ 83'
- 24
-
51
Oliver Bainbridge ↑ 83'
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 1 |
| Matty Kennedy | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2024-10-30
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–2
Kilmarnock FC
L
2024-10-27
Hibernian FC
1–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2024-10-19
Heart of Midlothian FC
4–0
St. Mirren FC
W
2024-10-06
Aberdeen FC
3–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-09-28
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Ross County FC
D
2024-09-21
St. Mirren FC
2–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
5
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 93% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 6.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 100% |
|
0% |
| ± 1.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 2.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 3.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 4.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
28%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
86%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–2 not predicted1 – 2Actual
4 – 1
7%
5 – 1
6.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
6 – 1
5.7%
4 – 0
5.6%
5 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
4.7%
6 – 0
4.5%
4 – 2
4.4%
5 – 2
4.4%
7 – 1
4.1%
2 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| -2 | 61% | 16% | 23% |
| -1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| -1 | 77% | 11% | 12% |
| -0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +0.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 3% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
1%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.