Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2024-25

Heart of Midlothian FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Kilmarnock FC

Wed 30 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,402 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alan Forrest 44' 1–0

1–1 58' Matty Kennedy

1–2 63' Kyle Vassell

Y 52' Kyle Vassell

Y 65' Matty Kennedy

Y 77' Marley Watkins

James Penrice 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Euan Anderson
Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
Assistant 2 Gordon Crawford

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	13	31
2	Rangers FC	12	27
3	Falkirk FC	13	21
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	12	20
5	Dundee FC	12	17
6	Dundee United FC	12	17
7	St. Johnstone FC	13	17
8	St. Mirren FC	13	14
9	Motherwell FC	13	13
10	Hibernian FC	12	11
11	Aberdeen FC	12	11
12	Kilmarnock FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Kilmarnock FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-04-27 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-03-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC 2023-12-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-08-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–0 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Oct	Kilmarnock FC	H	1–2	L
27 Oct	Hibernian FC	A	1–1	D
19 Oct	St. Mirren FC	H	4–0	W
06 Oct	Aberdeen FC	A	2–3	L
28 Sep	Ross County FC	H	1–1	D
21 Sep	St. Mirren FC	A	1–2	L

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Oct	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	2–1	W
26 Oct	Ross County FC	A	1–2	L
20 Oct	Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
05 Oct	Dundee FC	A	3–2	W
28 Sep	Dundee United FC	H	3–3	D
14 Sep	St. Mirren FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Kilmarnock FC
#4	Position	#12
20	Points	9
12	Played	13
6 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	2 / 3 / 8
26	Scored	13
22	Conceded	29
+4	GD	-16
1.67	PPG	0.69
50%	Win %	15%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

6/4

61-75

3/1

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

1/4

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/3

61-75

2/3

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

Claudio Braga	6 G	2 A
Calvin Miller	5 G	1 A
James Wilson	3 G
Laurent Mendy	3 G
Joshua McPake	2 G	1 A

Kilmarnock FC

Greg Kiltie	3 G
Joe Hugill	2 G	2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Heart of Midlothian FC launch into their encounter with Kilmarnock FC.
5' Heart of Midlothian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' Heart of Midlothian FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
20' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact 4-4-2.
25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kilmarnock FC that had 272 games and scored 286 goals.
30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Derek McInnes might look to freshen things up shortly.
35' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
44' Magnificent from Alan Forrest! That is 22 goals in 1 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
49' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
52' The referee calls foul for Kyle Vassell. He receives a card.
57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
58' What an equalizer from Matty Kennedy!
63' Sensational shot from Kyle Vassell. Kilmarnock FC is back in the lead.
64' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Adam Forrester trudges off to be replaced by Jorge Grant on 64 minutes.
65' That looks like a foul for a card for Matty Kennedy.
69' Jack Burroughs is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joe Wright at the 69 minute mark.
74' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
75' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Cameron Devlin trudges off to be replaced by Barrie McKay on 75 minutes.
77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marley Watkins on 77 minutes.
78' The supporters are chanting for Rory McKenzie. He replaces Marley Watkins on 78 minute.
83' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Danny Armstrong is replaced by Oliver Bainbridge.
84' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Alan Forrest exits the field as Yan Dhanda enters on 84.
87' James Penrice picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

10
Barrie McKay ↑ 75'
20
Yan Dhanda ↑ 84'
27
Liam Boyce
3
Stephen Kingsley
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 64'
28
Zander Clark
4
Craig Halkett
5
Daniel Oyegoke ↑ 64'
21
James Wilson ↑ 75'

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

23
Marley Watkins ↓ Rory McKenzie 78'
4
Joe Wright ↓ Jack Burroughs 69'
8
Brad Lyons
9
Kyle Vassell ↓ Fraser Murray 83'
20
Robby McCrorie
3
Corrie Ndaba
5
Lewis Mayo
6
Robbie Deas
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Oliver Bainbridge 83'
12
David Watson
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Innes Cameron 83'

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Sean Clare	2
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Stephen Kingsley	2
Craig Halkett	1

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC L 2024-10-27 Hibernian FC 1–1 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2024-10-19 Heart of Midlothian FC 4–0 St. Mirren FC W 2024-10-06 Aberdeen FC 3–2 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2024-09-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Ross County FC D 2024-09-21 St. Mirren FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L

Kilmarnock FC Form

2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC W 2024-10-26 Ross County FC 2–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2024-10-20 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Rangers FC W 2024-10-05 Dundee FC 2–3 Kilmarnock FC W 2024-09-28 Kilmarnock FC 3–3 Dundee United FC D 2024-09-14 St. Mirren FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.65 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.22 Kilmarnock FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Heart of Midlothian FC57% Draw22% Kilmarnock FC21%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Kilmarnock FC

43%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC50% Draw36% Kilmarnock FC14%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.7%

3 – 1

7.6%

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 0

7.4%

3 – 0

6.4%

1 – 0

5.3%

2 – 2

5.2%

4 – 1

3 – 2

4.6%

4 – 0

4.2%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	19%	54%
-1.5	46%	—	54%
-1	46%	20%	34%
-0.5	66%	—	34%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	9%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.