Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2024-25

Heart of Midlothian FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Kilmarnock FC

Wed 30 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,402 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alan Forrest 44' 1–0

1–1 58' Matty Kennedy

1–2 63' Kyle Vassell

Y 52' Kyle Vassell

Y 65' Matty Kennedy

Y 77' Marley Watkins

James Penrice 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Euan Anderson
Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
Assistant 2 Gordon Crawford

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 21 games · Avg 2.1 goals Kilmarnock FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-04-27 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-03-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC 2023-12-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-08-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–0 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Oct	Kilmarnock FC	H	1–2	L
27 Oct	Hibernian FC	A	1–1	D
19 Oct	St. Mirren FC	H	4–0	W
06 Oct	Aberdeen FC	A	2–3	L
28 Sep	Ross County FC	H	1–1	D
21 Sep	St. Mirren FC	A	1–2	L

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Oct	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	2–1	W
26 Oct	Ross County FC	A	1–2	L
20 Oct	Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
05 Oct	Dundee FC	A	3–2	W
28 Sep	Dundee United FC	H	3–3	D
14 Sep	St. Mirren FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Kilmarnock FC
#1	Position	#11
70	Points	28
33	Played	33
21 / 7 / 5	W / D / L	6 / 10 / 17
58	Scored	37
28	Conceded	65
+30	GD	-28
2.12	PPG	0.85
64%	Win %	18%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Heart of Midlothian FC to score. At the same time, Kilmarnock FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Lewis Mayo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 402 appearances.
10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
20' Kilmarnock FC come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
25' The travelling Kilmarnock FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
30' Kyle Vassell has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
35' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
40' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact 4-4-2.
44' Heart of Midlothian FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Alan Forrest on 44.
49' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
52' Kyle Vassell catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 52.
57' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
58' Matty Kennedy adds to his 0 season tally! Kilmarnock FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
63' Kyle Vassell puts Kilmarnock FC on the lead.
64' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Adam Forrester exits the field as Jorge Grant enters on 64.
65' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Matty Kennedy will be fuming at that decision.
69' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Joe Wright has done his job and it is now time for Jack Burroughs to step up.
74' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
75' Time for substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC. Cameron Devlin is replaced by Barrie McKay.
77' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Marley Watkins will be fuming at that decision.
78' Marley Watkins makes way for Rory McKenzie at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
83' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Danny Armstrong by Oliver Bainbridge on 83 minute.
84' The Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes a substitution. Alan Forrest departs to be replaced by Yan Dhanda.
87' James Penrice catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

10
Barrie McKay ↑ 75'
20
Yan Dhanda ↑ 84'
27
Liam Boyce
3
Stephen Kingsley
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 64'
28
Zander Clark
4
Craig Halkett
5
Daniel Oyegoke ↑ 64'
21
James Wilson ↑ 75'

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

23
Marley Watkins ↓ Rory McKenzie 78'
4
Joe Wright ↓ Jack Burroughs 69'
8
Brad Lyons
9
Kyle Vassell ↓ Fraser Murray 83'
20
Robby McCrorie
3
Corrie Ndaba
5
Lewis Mayo
6
Robbie Deas
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Oliver Bainbridge 83'
12
David Watson
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Innes Cameron 83'

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Sean Clare	2
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Nathaniel Atkinson	1
Bruce Anderson	1

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC L 2024-10-27 Hibernian FC 1–1 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2024-10-19 Heart of Midlothian FC 4–0 St. Mirren FC W 2024-10-06 Aberdeen FC 3–2 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2024-09-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Ross County FC D 2024-09-21 St. Mirren FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L

Kilmarnock FC Form

2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC W 2024-10-26 Ross County FC 2–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2024-10-20 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Rangers FC W 2024-10-05 Dundee FC 2–3 Kilmarnock FC W 2024-09-28 Kilmarnock FC 3–3 Dundee United FC D 2024-09-14 St. Mirren FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.16 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.94 Kilmarnock FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Heart of Midlothian FC55% Draw24% Kilmarnock FC21%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 3.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Kilmarnock FC

45%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC46% Draw41% Kilmarnock FC13%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

10.4%

1 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

9.5%

1 – 0

9.2%

3 – 0

7.3%

3 – 1

6.8%

0 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 2

Actual

4 – 0

3.9%

4 – 1

3.8%

0 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	19%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	23%	36%
-0.5	64%	—	36%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	9%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.