Thursday , 2 July 2026

St. Johnstone FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC McDiarmid Park 5,191 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–2 12' David Watson
0–2 53' Danny Armstrong pen

Overview

Match Preview

St. Johnstone FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at McDiarmid Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Iain Snedden
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
  • Assistant 2 Alastair Mather

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Kilmarnock FC H 0–2 L
26 Apr Motherwell FC A 2–3 L
12 Apr Dundee United FC A 0–1 L
06 Apr Celtic FC H 1–0 W
29 Mar Hibernian FC A 0–3 L
15 Mar Aberdeen FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May St. Johnstone FC A 2–0 W
26 Apr Ross County FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Celtic FC A 1–5 L
05 Apr Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
29 Mar St. Mirren FC A 1–5 L
15 Mar Hibernian FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. St. Johnstone FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Taylor Steven suffering a number of foals already.
  • 12' Kilmarnock FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by David Watson on 12.
  • 17' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 22' St. Johnstone FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 26' The referee shows St. Johnstone FC player a card on 26.
  • 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 36' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' Rory McKenzie is replacing Bobby Wales for the Kilmarnock FC side.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 53' What a strike from Danny Armstrong! The score is 0-2.
  • 58' St. Johnstone FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 63' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 65' The whistle greets Victor Griffith as he departs to be replaced by Nicky Clark.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Elliot Watt.
  • 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. St. Johnstone FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Danny Armstrong on 74.
  • 79' Fran Franczak has so much to prove this time. He replaces Josh McPake on 79 minute.
  • 84' Calvin Ramsay needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 87' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Fraser Murray by Calvin Ramsay on 87 minute.
  • 89' Liam Polworth has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Watson on 89 minute.
  • With this win, Kilmarnock FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.35 St. Johnstone FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: St. Johnstone FC or Kilmarnock FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
St. Johnstone FC37% Draw29% Kilmarnock FC34%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

St. Johnstone FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
63%
St. Johnstone FC or Kilmarnock FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
St. Johnstone FC28% Draw48% Kilmarnock FC24%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — St. Johnstone FC

Handicap St. Johnstone FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

St. Johnstone FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.