Karlsruher SC vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

Karlsruher SC

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Sun 4 Mar 2018 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Karlsruher SC vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

Karlsruher SC 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Karlsruher SC 2.45

Draw 3.25

FC Erzgebirge Aue 3.00

Head-to-Head

Karlsruher SC 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2018-03-04 Karlsruher SC 2–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2017-10-13 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Karlsruher SC 2016-01-23 Karlsruher SC 1–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-08-16 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 Karlsruher SC 2015-02-04 Karlsruher SC 0–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

Karlsruher SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	2–3	L
25 Feb	TuS Erndtebruck	A	2–1	W
17 Feb	1. FC Nürnberg	H	1–1	D
10 Feb	FC Hansa Rostock	A	2–4	L
02 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–3	L
27 Jan	MSV Duisburg	H	1–1	D

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Karlsruher SC	A	3–2	W
24 Feb	FC Hansa Rostock	H	1–0	W
18 Feb	MSV Duisburg	A	1–0	W
11 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–0	W
03 Feb	1. CfR Pforzheim	A	1–1	D
27 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. FC Erzgebirge Aue get us underway at .
With this win, FC Erzgebirge Aue is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Karlsruher SC Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Karlsruher SC Form

2018-03-04 Karlsruher SC 2–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2018-02-25 TuS Erndtebruck 1–2 Karlsruher SC W 2018-02-17 Karlsruher SC 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg D 2018-02-10 FC Hansa Rostock 4–2 Karlsruher SC L 2018-02-02 Karlsruher SC 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2018-01-27 Karlsruher SC 1–1 MSV Duisburg D

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2018-03-04 Karlsruher SC 2–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-02-24 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 FC Hansa Rostock W 2018-02-18 MSV Duisburg 0–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-02-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2018-02-03 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2018-01-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.36 Karlsruher SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.53 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: Karlsruher SC or FC Erzgebirge Aue 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Karlsruher SC32% Draw27% FC Erzgebirge Aue41%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.89

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Karlsruher SC or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

68%

Karlsruher SC or FC Erzgebirge Aue

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Karlsruher SC25% Draw45% FC Erzgebirge Aue30%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 2

8.5%

0 – 1

7.7%

2 – 1

7.6%

0 – 0

7.4%

1 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

5.1%

1 – 3

4.3%

3 – 1

3.4%

0 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Karlsruher SC

Handicap	Karlsruher SC covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	17%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	20%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Karlsruher SC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.